🏷️ Likely Rental
8602 Kaltz St · Center Line, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable end unit townhouse. Two bedroom one and half bath freshly redone and ready for you to bring your furniture. Floors will be redone, fresh paint throughout home including basement. This is a cooperative, with a monthly carrying fee of $450. The sale is cash only and must be used as a primary residence. Application fee is $75. Carrying charges cover; all interior and exterior maintenance (only excluding the a/c unit, washer and dryer), water, trash, snow, clubhouse, taxes, and more.
Key facts
- $450 HOA
- Built 1966
- Listed 15 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $55k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 5.7% in Center Line — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#190 in MI, #4,835 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, health & safety D.
- Van Dyke Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #512 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Marjorie Carlson Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,203 of 1,397 statewide, top 87%, 349 students, 92% FRL); Lincoln Middle School (math 7% / reading 22%, grade F, #460 of 493 statewide, top 93%, 401 students, 96% FRL); Lincoln High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #692 of 713 statewide, top 98%, 440 students, 91% FRL).
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 82d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 86% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $47k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.94%
- DSCR
- 2.29
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $161,616
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -65.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8083 Kaltz St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,723 (+15%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $78 | 56 |
| 7059 Dodge Ave | 1.01mi | 2/2.0 | 1,443 (-4%) | 1mo | $73,000 | $51 | 56 |
| 24326 Juliet Dr | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 1,603 (+7%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $94 | 52 |
| 8285 Chapp Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-20%) | 2mo | $169,900 | $142 | 50 |
| 7285 Helen | 0.96mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,635 (+9%) | 1mo | $227,500 | $139 | 44 |
| 8132 Cadillac Ave | 0.93mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,670 (+11%) | 0mo | $166,000 | $99 | 41 |
| 8057 Paige Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,336 (-11%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $146 | 38 |
| 11096 Busch Ave | 0.82mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,859 (+24%) | 0mo | $226,000 | $122 | 35 |
| 25219 Rubin Rd | 0.95mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,271 (-15%) | 2mo | $244,990 | $193 | 34 |
| 11844 Harold St | 1.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,808 (+20%) | 1mo | $227,000 | $126 | 32 |
| 5966 Engleman Ave | 1.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,776 (+18%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $118 | 32 |
| 11369 Cadillac Ave | 0.98mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,864 (+24%) | 1mo | $206,000 | $111 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $15,044
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 31.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.91×
- Total profit
- $44,779
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 6 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 18.0 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $64,950 ($42/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 149 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +156.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 48015
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,521 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $825/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$450
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $371
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $409 | -5% $390 | +0% $371 | +5% $352 | +10% $333 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $251 | -5% $311 | +0% $371 | +5% $432 | +10% $492 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $399 | -0.5pp $385 | base $371 | +0.5pp $357 | +1.0pp $343 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25132 Saint Clement Dr Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2112 | $2,200 | $1.04 | 59d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 25125 Campbell Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2086 | $2,000 | $0.96 | 97d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 8659 Harding Center Line, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 40d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 8707 Continental Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 100d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 8625 Dale Center Line, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1179 | $1,796 | $1.52 | 139d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 7256 Ready Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 120d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 11332 Republic Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,400 | $1.23 | 40d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 25005 Lawrence Ave Center Line, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1000 | $955 | $0.95 | 139d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 7271 Wiegand Center Line, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1176 | $1,700 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 11484 Republic Ave Unit E Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1118 | $1,350 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 11099 Dodge Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,150 | $0.97 | 116d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 11280 Dodge Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,395 | $1.29 | 10d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 11082 Maxwell Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1180 | $1,850 | $1.57 | 7d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 11493 Maxwell Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1177 | $1,350 | $1.15 | 82d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 11472 Cadillac Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,395 | $1.25 | 0d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7068 Ford Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $950 | $0.67 | 34d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8647 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 89d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 7568 Hudson Ave Unit 2 Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1415 | $900 | $0.64 | 100d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 7568 Hudson Ave Unit 1 Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1415 | $1,100 | $0.78 | 100d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8734 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 76d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 7044 Hudson Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1730 | $1,650 | $0.95 | 63d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 11809 McKinley Dr Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1212 | $1,800 | $1.49 | 113d | 1 | 1.33mi |
HOA detail $450/mo · $5,400/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashexterior maint.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $55,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $55,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $55,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $55,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $55,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $55,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $55,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $55,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $55,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $55,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $55,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $55,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $55,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $55,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $55,000 Active 419 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $55,000 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $55,000 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $55,000 Active 416 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $55,000 Active 414 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $55,000 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-07-23$55,000 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $55,000 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $55,000 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $55,000 Active 409 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $55,000 Active 408 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $55,000 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $55,000 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $55,000 Active 404 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $55,000 Active 403 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $55,000 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $55,000 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $55,000 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $55,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $55,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $55,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $55,000 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $55,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $55,000 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $55,000 Active 392 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $55,000 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $55,000 Active 390 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $55,000 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $55,000 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $55,000 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $55,000 Active 386 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $55,000 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $55,000 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $55,000 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $55,000 Active 380 DOM
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2026-06-21pricedays on market $55,000 Active 379 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,251
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$825
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,460
- − Management
- −$1,460
- − HOA
- −$5,400
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $4,150
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$996
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,461/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This end-unit townhouse is in good condition with fresh paint and hardwood floors. It's ready for a new owner to move in and add their personal touch.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting throughout the home — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both New flooring in kitchen and bathrooms — Updated flooring improves functionality and appearance ↑
- Both New kitchen appliances — Modern appliances increase functionality and appeal ↑
- Both New bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Van Dyke Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2634680
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,231
- Composite
- 10.46/100
- National rank
- #9784
- State rank
- #512 of 540 in MI
Livability — Center Line
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #190
- US rank
- #4835
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Center Line, MI
- County
- Macomb · 925,296 people
- City population
- 8,448
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,448
- Household income
- $52,857
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1% of renters
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 30% Asian 11% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% German 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Other Indo-European 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.73%
- Current HPI
- 256.7842
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+25.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-30 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-09-30 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-26 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-09-26 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-03 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-03 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-11-19 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-19 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-02-28 Sold (MLS) $47,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-02-28 Sold (MLS) $47,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-02-17 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-28 Listed $52,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-28 Listed $52,000 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…