3225 Otto St · Lansing, IL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$171,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Highest and best by 5/15 at 5 pm * * * REACTIVATED WITH NEW REPAIRS TO THE BASEMENT FOUNDATION! * * * YOU'LL LOVE THIS WELL-MAINTAINED, MOVE-IN READY LANSING BRICK RANCH HOME! THIS GREAT HOME SITS ON A HALF ACRE LOT WITH A HUGE BACKYARD! THE NEIGHBORHOOD IS EXCEPTIONAL, AND IT'S A 3 MINUTE DRIVE FROM INDIANA. IT ALSO FEATURES 3 SPACIOUS BEDROOMS, WELL MAINTAINED HARDWOOD FLOORS, FRESHLY PAINTED WALLS, NEW CEILING FAN, A BRAND-NEW BOILER HEATING SYSTEM, NEWLY SERVICED A/C CONDENSER, AN ATTACHED 2.5 CAR GARAGE, AND 2 FIREPLACES. SELLING AS-IS; CASH CONVENTIONAL OR RENOVATION FINANCING ONLY. SCHEDULE AN APPOINTMENT TODAY!
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Huge backyard
- Half acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel number 33051000460000; Directions: Burnham Avenue to Otto Street
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (owned) on asphalt driveway; Total parking for 2 vehicles (2 garage spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Single-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Vinyl siding and frame construction; Built before 1978 (61–70 years old)
- Construction: Vinyl siding over frame construction
- Exterior features: Approximately 0.25–0.49 acre lot; School bus service
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Ceramic tile flooring in kitchen (13 x 9)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (14 x 14) with hardwood flooring; Second bedroom on main level (10 x 10) with hardwood flooring; Third bedroom on main level (11 x 10) with hardwood flooring
- Flooring: Hardwood in bedrooms and master; Carpet in living room; Ceramic tile in kitchen and dining area; Other flooring in several rooms and basement areas
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating
- Interior features: Partially finished full basement; CO detectors; Ceiling fan(s); One fireplace in the living room; Total of 8 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Utility room in basement (17 x 18)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $171k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $171k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.8% in Lansing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#296 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, health & safety D+.
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 395 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 395 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.27%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $242,109
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18551 Walter St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,250 (-2%) | 9mo | $210,500 | $168 | 80 |
| 3316 Ann St | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 1,264 (-1%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $206 | 73 |
| 18727 Sherman St | 0.27mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,264 (-1%) | 9mo | $239,000 | $189 | 71 |
| 3007 190th St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-4%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $162 | 70 |
| 3152 189th St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,196 (-7%) | 8mo | $270,000 | $226 | 65 |
| 18302 Roy St | 0.43mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,254 (-2%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $159 | 64 |
| 18747 Sherman St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,102 (-14%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $135 | 62 |
| 3320 191st St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-10%) | 2mo | $207,000 | $180 | 54 |
| 2916 189th St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (-15%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $201 | 43 |
| 18240 Wildwood Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+9%) | 6mo | $264,000 | $189 | 41 |
| 3328 193rd St | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,373 (+7%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $226 | 40 |
| 8560 Forest Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,139 (-11%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $193 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-9,105
- Equity at exit
- $25,497
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $16,380
- Equity at exit
- $14,785
Cash invested: $47,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60438
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,060 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$897
- Tax from tax record
- −$369 /mo · $4,430/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $290
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,750
- Closing costs
- $5,130
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3341 S Schultz Dr Lansing, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $2,250 | $1.55 | 10d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 18335 Sherman St Unit 3 Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 1d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2824 186th St Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,900 | $2.07 | 10d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 18343 Oakwood Ave Lansing, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,700 | $1.59 | 1d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 18361 Glen Oak Ave Unit 1E Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 18550 Torrence Ave #25 Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 12d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 18381 Torrence Ave Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3020 178th St Unit C1 Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 1d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3020 178th St Apt C7 Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 17723 Exchange Ave Unit 17723-1N Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 1d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 232 Gregory Ave Munster, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $2,450 | $1.53 | 1d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $171,000 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $171,000 Active 394 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $171,000 Active 393 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $171,000 Active 392 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $171,000 Active 390 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $171,000 Active 386 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $171,000 Active 385 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $171,000 Active 384 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $171,000 Active 381 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $171,000 Active 380 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $171,000 Active 379 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $171,000 Active 378 DOM
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2026-05-31statusdays on market $171,000 Active 377 DOM
-
2026-05-18historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2026-05-08status Active
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2026-04-27historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2026-03-03price $171,000
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2025-10-14price $178,900
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2025-09-09price $179,900
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2025-08-27price $184,900
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2025-08-15status Active
-
2025-08-13historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2025-07-01price $189,900
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2025-06-16price $194,900
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2025-05-19$199,900 Active
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2025-02-24historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2025-02-22historical
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2025-01-10price
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2024-11-02price
-
2024-09-16status Active
-
2024-05-01historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2024-04-18Active
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2023-12-28historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2023-12-27status Active
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2023-11-10historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2023-11-09historical
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2023-10-14price
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2023-09-18price
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2023-09-01price
-
2023-08-25Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,430 · $369/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,430 · $369/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,719
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,579
- − Property taxes
- −$4,430
- − Insurance
- −$855
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,978
- − Management
- −$1,978
- − Depreciation
- −$4,975
- Taxable income
- $925
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$222
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,259/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
- NCES district ID
- 1738940
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,207
- Composite
- 10.27/100
- National rank
- #9793
- State rank
- #563 of 620 in IL
Livability — Lansing
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #296
- US rank
- #5698
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lansing, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 28,806
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,806
- Household income
- $75,681
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 830.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.65%
- Current HPI
- 210.3398
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-14.5% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $171,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $178,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-09 Price Changed $179,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $184,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-15 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-13 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-01 Price Changed $189,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-16 Price Changed $194,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-19 Listed $199,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-24 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-22 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-10 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-02 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-16 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-01 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-18 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-28 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-27 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-10 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-09 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-14 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-18 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-01 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-25 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2023): $4,430 · +43.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…