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39 Wawanda Ave
F Composite 34.53
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.0/30.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$275,000

39 Wawanda Ave · Liberty, NY 12754
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,726 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1930 7,405 sqft lot Est $273k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move in 4 Bedroom with 2 full bath home in quiet residential setting Hard wood floors throughout, with a recently renovated master bedroom and master bath. Large Dining room, great for entertaining. Large Living Room. Front Mud Room with two spacious closets. Updated Kitchen with Stainless Steel appliances, tile floor and granite counter tops, and large pantry. Rear entrance to the kitchen has Full Laundry Room with Washer and Dryer. Basement and full walk up attic, that's great storage. Second floor bedroom includes a screened in, walk out balcony. Large lot that is mostly lawn with some trees for shade and a raised bed garden for vegetables. Paved driveway with carport, new roof installed 2016 with a 5 year transferable warranty. Nearby amenities include: Scenic Hiking trails, Bountiful Fishing spots, Shopping, Casino, Restaurants, and more! Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,

Key facts

  • Ample closet space
  • Ensuite bathroom
  • Large walk in closet

Tags

ENTRANCE FOYERAMPLE CLOSET SPACEMAIN-FLOOR PRIMARY BEDROOMENSUITE BATHROOMLARGE WALK IN CLOSETPRIVATE JULIET BALCONY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space); Covered parking; Driveway; Total 3 parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected; Electricity connected (NYSEG); Propane available; Cable and phone available; Trash collection (public)
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Actual property condition
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Full basement; Attic with stairs, unfinished walk-up
  • Exterior features: Fire pit; Juliet balcony; Deck; Front and back yard; Near golf course, public transit and shops

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven and gas range; Refrigerator; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom located on the first floor
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors; Laminate floors
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central air
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Entrance foyer; Formal dining room; Pantry; Primary bathroom; Master suite on main level; Washer/dryer hookup; Bay windows; Deck
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Electric dryer hookup; Washer hookup; Dedicated laundry room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-648 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (41.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (34.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $161k (41.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#890 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Liberty Central School District (town): math 31% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #569 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Liberty Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,577 of 2,108 statewide, top 77%, 691 students, 64% FRL); Liberty Middle School (math 12% / reading 29%, grade F, #664 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 529 students, 68% FRL); Liberty High School (math 92% / reading 70%, grade A, #495 of 1,100 statewide, top 46%, 596 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 48% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 45% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Liberty Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $111k; list at $275k implies a 147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $160,543 (41.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
3.47%
Cash-on-cash
-10.10%
DSCR
0.55
GRM
12.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$272,708
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
65 Winslow Pl 0.24mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,728 (+0%) 18mo $250,000 $145 67
39 Winslow Pl 0.13mi 2/1.5 1,960 (+14%) 5mo $220,000 $112 65
11 Winslow Pl 0.09mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,628 (-6%) 17mo $260,000 $160 63
13 California 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,904 (+10%) 5mo $300,000 $158 59
28 Winslow Pl 0.11mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,619 (-6%) 23mo $274,000 $169 58
21 Woodland Ave 0.26mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,975 (+14%) 5mo $318,000 $161 53
25 Champlin Ave 0.63mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,795 (+4%) 23mo $176,000 $98 38
19 Osterhout Ln 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,500 (-13%) 10mo $250,000 $167 36
3 Pinehurst Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (-12%) 14mo $220,000 $146 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$108,637
Equity at exit
$247,742
10-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
5.58×
Total profit
$352,632
Equity at exit
$534,265

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12754

Home prices YoY
28.0%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$513 /mo · $6,158/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$-648

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,620
Max offer price $160,543
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-492 -5% $-570 +0% $-648 +5% $-726 +10% $-804
Rent -10% $-790 -5% $-719 +0% $-648 +5% $-577 +10% $-506
Rate -1.0pp $-509 -0.5pp $-578 base $-648 +0.5pp $-719 +1.0pp $-792

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
90 Champlin Ave Unit 1 Liberty, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 45d 1 0.51mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-04-10
    listed $275,000 Active
  2. 2019-07-18
    soldstatus $111,300
  3. 2019-07-15
    soldstatus $105,000 Sold 911-char remark
    Show marketing remark (911 chars)

    Move in 4 Bedroom with 2 full bath home in quiet residential setting Hard wood floors throughout, with a recently renovated master bedroom and master bath. Large Dining room, great for entertaining. Large Living Room. Front Mud Room with two spacious closets. Updated Kitchen with Stainless Steel appliances, tile floor and granite counter tops, and large pantry. Rear entrance to the kitchen has Full Laundry Room with Washer and Dryer. Basement and full walk up attic, that's great storage. Second floor bedroom includes a screened in, walk out balcony. Large lot that is mostly lawn with some trees for shade and a raised bed garden for vegetables. Paved driveway with carport, new roof installed 2016 with a 5 year transferable warranty. Nearby amenities include: Scenic Hiking trails, Bountiful Fishing spots, Shopping, Casino, Restaurants, and more! Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,

  4. 2019-05-23
    status Pending 911-char remark
    Show marketing remark (911 chars)

    Move in 4 Bedroom with 2 full bath home in quiet residential setting Hard wood floors throughout, with a recently renovated master bedroom and master bath. Large Dining room, great for entertaining. Large Living Room. Front Mud Room with two spacious closets. Updated Kitchen with Stainless Steel appliances, tile floor and granite counter tops, and large pantry. Rear entrance to the kitchen has Full Laundry Room with Washer and Dryer. Basement and full walk up attic, that's great storage. Second floor bedroom includes a screened in, walk out balcony. Large lot that is mostly lawn with some trees for shade and a raised bed garden for vegetables. Paved driveway with carport, new roof installed 2016 with a 5 year transferable warranty. Nearby amenities include: Scenic Hiking trails, Bountiful Fishing spots, Shopping, Casino, Restaurants, and more! Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,

  5. 2019-03-06
    status Active 911-char remark
    Show marketing remark (911 chars)

    Move in 4 Bedroom with 2 full bath home in quiet residential setting Hard wood floors throughout, with a recently renovated master bedroom and master bath. Large Dining room, great for entertaining. Large Living Room. Front Mud Room with two spacious closets. Updated Kitchen with Stainless Steel appliances, tile floor and granite counter tops, and large pantry. Rear entrance to the kitchen has Full Laundry Room with Washer and Dryer. Basement and full walk up attic, that's great storage. Second floor bedroom includes a screened in, walk out balcony. Large lot that is mostly lawn with some trees for shade and a raised bed garden for vegetables. Paved driveway with carport, new roof installed 2016 with a 5 year transferable warranty. Nearby amenities include: Scenic Hiking trails, Bountiful Fishing spots, Shopping, Casino, Restaurants, and more! Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,

  6. 2019-02-18
    historical 911-char remark
    Show marketing remark (911 chars)

    Move in 4 Bedroom with 2 full bath home in quiet residential setting Hard wood floors throughout, with a recently renovated master bedroom and master bath. Large Dining room, great for entertaining. Large Living Room. Front Mud Room with two spacious closets. Updated Kitchen with Stainless Steel appliances, tile floor and granite counter tops, and large pantry. Rear entrance to the kitchen has Full Laundry Room with Washer and Dryer. Basement and full walk up attic, that's great storage. Second floor bedroom includes a screened in, walk out balcony. Large lot that is mostly lawn with some trees for shade and a raised bed garden for vegetables. Paved driveway with carport, new roof installed 2016 with a 5 year transferable warranty. Nearby amenities include: Scenic Hiking trails, Bountiful Fishing spots, Shopping, Casino, Restaurants, and more! Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,

  7. 2018-12-11
    price $107,000 911-char remark
    Show marketing remark (911 chars)

    Move in 4 Bedroom with 2 full bath home in quiet residential setting Hard wood floors throughout, with a recently renovated master bedroom and master bath. Large Dining room, great for entertaining. Large Living Room. Front Mud Room with two spacious closets. Updated Kitchen with Stainless Steel appliances, tile floor and granite counter tops, and large pantry. Rear entrance to the kitchen has Full Laundry Room with Washer and Dryer. Basement and full walk up attic, that's great storage. Second floor bedroom includes a screened in, walk out balcony. Large lot that is mostly lawn with some trees for shade and a raised bed garden for vegetables. Paved driveway with carport, new roof installed 2016 with a 5 year transferable warranty. Nearby amenities include: Scenic Hiking trails, Bountiful Fishing spots, Shopping, Casino, Restaurants, and more! Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,

  8. 2018-09-18
    listed $115,000 Active 911-char remark
    Show marketing remark (911 chars)

    Move in 4 Bedroom with 2 full bath home in quiet residential setting Hard wood floors throughout, with a recently renovated master bedroom and master bath. Large Dining room, great for entertaining. Large Living Room. Front Mud Room with two spacious closets. Updated Kitchen with Stainless Steel appliances, tile floor and granite counter tops, and large pantry. Rear entrance to the kitchen has Full Laundry Room with Washer and Dryer. Basement and full walk up attic, that's great storage. Second floor bedroom includes a screened in, walk out balcony. Large lot that is mostly lawn with some trees for shade and a raised bed garden for vegetables. Paved driveway with carport, new roof installed 2016 with a 5 year transferable warranty. Nearby amenities include: Scenic Hiking trails, Bountiful Fishing spots, Shopping, Casino, Restaurants, and more! Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,

  9. 2018-02-16
    historical
  10. 2017-06-26
    listed $129,900
  11. 2004-08-16
    soldstatus $127,000
  12. 2002-06-27
    soldstatus $62,000
  13. 1992-12-16
    soldstatus $62,700
  14. 1983-09-01
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,158 · $513/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,158 · $513/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,600
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$6,158
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,728
− Management
−$1,728
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$12,794
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,070
After-tax cash flow
$-4,704/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Liberty Central School District
NCES district ID
3617220
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,542
Composite
27.65/100
National rank
#6920
State rank
#569 of 590 in NY

Livability — Liberty

Score
62/100
State rank
#890
US rank
#17254

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Liberty, NY
City population
8,525
Population (ZIP)
8,525

Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,974 people
By 2030
65,609 · -4.9%
By 2040
58,878 · -14.6%
By 2050
52,500 · -23.9%
By 2075
39,941 · -42.1%
By 2100
28,880 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan

2024 margin
R (+16.7) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.5pp · 2024: -16.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.7 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+10.4 2008: D+9.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 100.10%
Current HPI
457.3342
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+759.4% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $275,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $111,300 Public Records
  • 2019-07-15 Sold (MLS) $105,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-05-23 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-03-06 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-18 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-11 Price Changed $107,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-09-18 Listed $115,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-02-16 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-26 Listed $129,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $127,000 Public Records
  • 2002-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 1992-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $62,700 Public Records
  • 1983-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,158 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…