10523 Berry Branch Ln · Bryan, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Some images shown may be from a previously built Stylecraft home of similar design. Actual options, colors, and selections may vary. Contact us for details! This two-story townhome offers a smart, efficient layout beginning with an open living room that welcomes you upon entry. To the left, a one-car garage connects to a small hallway that includes a convenient powder room. Beyond the living space is a galley-style kitchen featuring a walk-in pantry, with the staircase to the second floor located nearby. A back door sits just off the kitchen for easy outdoor access. Upstairs, you'll find three bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a utility closet, all designed for everyday convenience.
Key facts
- Open living room
- Utility closet
- Walk in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $240k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-126/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (0.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (12.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $211k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.9% in Bryan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#99 in TX, #3,341 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, employment D+.
- Bryan ISD (urban): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #608 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sam Houston El (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #505 of 4,322 statewide, top 13%, 457 students, 38% FRL); Sam Rayburn (math 42% / reading 34%, grade F, #717 of 1,662 statewide, top 44%, 1,173 students, 74% FRL); Travis B Bryan H S (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,419 students, 67% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 1718 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.19%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $289,401
- List price
- $239,900
- Delta
- -17.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10604 Knox Landing Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (+5%) | 0mo | $268,420 | $190 | 75 |
| 10650 Knox Landing Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (+5%) | 4mo | $268,895 | $190 | 68 |
| 4791 Native Tree Ln | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (+15%) | 4mo | $285,000 | $184 | 63 |
| 4533 Wisenbaker Way | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (+7%) | 5mo | $289,900 | $200 | 56 |
| 10632 Knox Landing Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,595 (+18%) | 2mo | $275,920 | $173 | 53 |
| 4410 Albritton Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (+12%) | 2mo | $292,900 | $194 | 50 |
| 10652 Knox Landing Dr | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,665 (+24%) | 3mo | $288,030 | $173 | 48 |
| 1753 Summit Crossing Ln | 1.32mi | 3/3.0 | 1,450 (+8%) | 2mo | $328,000 | $226 | 48 |
| 10631 Knox Landing Dr | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,665 (+24%) | 1mo | $283,580 | $170 | 48 |
| 4521 Wisenbaker Way | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (+12%) | 6mo | $289,900 | $192 | 47 |
| 10649 Knox Landing Dr | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,665 (+24%) | 3mo | $288,380 | $173 | 46 |
| 1762 Lonetree Dr | 1.43mi | 3/3.0 | 1,467 (+9%) | 2mo | $329,000 | $224 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-39,221
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-33,693
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77845
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 1718
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,112 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$300 /mo · $3,598/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$21
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $-10
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $155 | -5% $72 | +0% $-10 | +5% $-93 | +10% $-176 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-177 | -5% $-94 | +0% $-10 | +5% $73 | +10% $156 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $110 | -0.5pp $51 | base $-10 | +0.5pp $-73 | +1.0pp $-136 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4760 Holm Oak Rd College Station, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $1,980 | $1.37 | 6d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 4777 Native Tree Ln Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1652 | $2,200 | $1.33 | 6d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 10633 Burgundy Berry Way College Station, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $1,900 | $1.41 | 6d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 10618 Burgundy Berry Way College Station, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1509 | $2,200 | $1.46 | 6d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 10652 Knox Landing Dr College Station, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 0d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1720 Summit Crossing Ln College Station, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 983 | $2,205 | $2.24 | 0d | 24 | 1.15mi |
| 1710 Lonetree Dr College Station, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1599 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 6d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1762 Dakota Ln Unit 1328094P College Station, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1506 | $2,852 | $1.89 | 117d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1761 Dakota Ln College Station, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1598 | $2,250 | $1.41 | 117d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3819 Black Hawk Ln Unit 1328095P College Station, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $4,264 | $3.67 | 109d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3806 Blackhawk Ln College Station, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1309 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 6d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- List price $235,900
Exterior
- Parking
- 1-car garage1 total parking space
- Home design
- Single-family propertyActive listing
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 1,346
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom
- Interior features
- Spec-built home (The 1340 plan)
Listing history 50 events
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2026-09-24days on market $239,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $239,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $239,900 Active 22 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $239,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $239,900 Active 20 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $239,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $239,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $239,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $239,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $239,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $239,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $239,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $239,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $239,900 Active 5 DOM
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2026-09-04price $239,900 Active 4 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $237,900 Active 4 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $237,900 Active 3 DOM
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2026-08-31days on market $237,900 Active 1 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $237,900 Active 100 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $237,900 Active 99 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $237,900 Active 98 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $237,900 Active 97 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $237,900 Active 96 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $237,900 Active 95 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $237,900 Active 94 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $237,900 Active 93 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $237,900 Active 92 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $237,900 Active 91 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $237,900 Active 90 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $237,900 Active 89 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $237,900 Active 88 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $237,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $237,900 Active 86 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $237,900 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $237,900 Active 84 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $237,900 Active 83 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $237,900 Active 82 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $237,900 Active 81 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $237,900 Active 80 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $237,900 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $237,900 Active 78 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $237,900 Active 77 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $237,900 Active 76 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $237,900 Active 75 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $237,900 Active 74 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $237,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $237,900 Active 70 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $237,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $237,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $237,900 Active 64 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,343
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$3,598
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,027
- − Management
- −$2,027
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$4,179
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,003
- After-tax cash flow
- $877/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This two-story townhome is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. A fresh coat of paint and a new light fixture would significantly enhance its curb appeal and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Rental Replace light fixture — Improves aesthetics and functionality ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bryan ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811790
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,895
- Composite
- 26.26/100
- National rank
- #7253
- State rank
- #608 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bryan
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #3341
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bryan, TX
- County
- Brazos County · 267,942 people
- City population
- 101,772
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 76,764
- Household income
- $88,851
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Brazos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,942 people
- By 2030
- 296,630 · +10.7%
- By 2040
- 354,560 · +32.3%
- By 2050
- 414,616 · +54.7%
- By 2075
- 562,158 · +109.8%
- By 2100
- 678,828 · +153.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazos
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.9% · R 61.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+35.3 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.31%
- Current HPI
- 175.9669
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.13%
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…