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686 Brown Rd
B+ Composite 78.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$73,000

686 Brown Rd · Maben, MS 39750
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1997 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fresh air, space to spread out, and room to make it your own. This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home sitting on a full 1-acre lot in Maben offers the kind of space buyers keep asking for. Whether you're looking for your first home, downsizing without giving up land, or simply wanting a little more privacy, this one checks the boxes. Enjoy quiet country living while still being within reach of nearby conveniences. Plenty of yard space for entertaining, pets, gardening, or future additions.

Key facts

  • Quiet country living
  • Plenty of yard space
  • Full 1-acre lot

Tags

FULL 1-ACRE LOTQUIET COUNTRY LIVINGPLENTY OF YARD SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 4 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house); One story; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Built (year source: owner)
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; 1-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Move-in ready condition; Refrigerator included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $73k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $618 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
  • Recommended offer: $71k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#209 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Oktibbeha County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($505 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
  • Oktibbeha County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 40% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,810 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.85%
Cap rate
16.46%
Cash-on-cash
36.31%
DSCR
2.62
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.5%
Equity multiple
3.83×
Total profit
$57,797
Equity at exit
$43,064
10-year hold
IRR
43.0%
Equity multiple
7.85×
Total profit
$139,944
Equity at exit
$75,763

Cash invested: $20,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39750

Home prices YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,354 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$383
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $455/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$618

Break-even live

Break-even rent $571
Max offer price $73,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,250
Closing costs
$2,190
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $73,000 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $73,000 Active 32 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $73,000 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $73,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $73,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $73,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $73,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $73,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $73,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-05-06
    listed $73,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$455 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$577 · $48/mo
Expected delta
+$122/yr (+$10/mo · 26.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 40% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,247
− Mortgage interest
−$4,089
− Property taxes
−$455
− Insurance
−$365
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,300
− Management
−$1,300
− Depreciation
−$2,124
Taxable income
$6,615
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,588
After-tax cash flow
$5,834/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Maben

Score
60/100
State rank
#209
US rank
#18487

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,932

Population outlook (Oktibbeha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,451 people
By 2030
59,182 · +6.7%
By 2040
66,259 · +19.5%
By 2050
73,899 · +33.3%
By 2075
96,183 · +73.5%
By 2100
111,630 · +101.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 28% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oktibbeha

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.0% · R 49.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-0.3pp no change · 2008: 0.0pp · 2024: -0.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.3 2020: D+6.5 2016: D+1.1 2012: D+1.9 2008: D+0.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.38%
Current HPI
194.8557
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $73,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $455 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…