242 Wiley Mill Rd · Fawn Grove, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A diamond in the rough in peaceful southern York County. Home is in need of rehab. Water and sewer are unknown. Sold "as-is".
Key facts
- Patio doors
- Private rural lot
- Modern kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Dirt driveway; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Well water; On-site septic; 200+ amp electric service; Electric hot water
- Home design: Detached structure; Rural location; Public blacktop road access
- Construction: Wood siding; Stone foundation; Slate and metal roof; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: Cleared, sloping, rural lot; Porch(es); Shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range/oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level; One bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One half bathroom on the upper level
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s); Electric baseboard heat; Ductless / mini-split cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Plaster walls
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Electric dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (2.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $147k (2.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,081 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+, cost of living B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- South Eastern SD (rural): math 41% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #147 of 539 in PA (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: South Eastern Ms (math 24% / reading 57%, grade F, #248 of 512 statewide, top 50%, 407 students, 31% FRL); Kennard-Dale Hs (math 72%, 713 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $755 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $150k implies a 552% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.59%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $9,428
- Equity at exit
- $47,338
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $45,183
- Equity at exit
- $60,040
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17352
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,468 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,805/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $161
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-04-10$149,900 Active
-
2013-11-22soldstatus $23,000 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
A diamond in the rough in peaceful southern York County. Home is in need of rehab. Water and sewer are unknown. Sold "as-is".
-
2013-10-30historical 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
A diamond in the rough in peaceful southern York County. Home is in need of rehab. Water and sewer are unknown. Sold "as-is".
-
2013-10-14$25,000 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
A diamond in the rough in peaceful southern York County. Home is in need of rehab. Water and sewer are unknown. Sold "as-is".
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,805 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,087 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- +$282/yr (+$23/mo · 15.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,615
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,805
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,409
- − Management
- −$1,409
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$516
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$124
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,051/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Eastern SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222170
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,143
- Composite
- 44.86/100
- National rank
- #2728
- State rank
- #147 of 539 in PA
Livability — Fawn Grove
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1081
- US rank
- #12217
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,397
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.50%
- Current HPI
- 271.2282
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+499.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-11-22 Sold (MLS) $23,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-10-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-10-14 Listed $25,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,805 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…