1520 Maralyn Dr · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.6/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,870
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CHARMING & MOVE-IN READY SPLIT-LEVEL HOME WITH SPACIOUS DECK AND NEW PAINT THROUGHOUT! Welcome home to this inviting 3BDRM, 1.5BA split-level that offers comfort, functionality, and plenty of space to enjoy both inside and out. Perfect for first-time homebuyers or those looking to downsize, this home provides a thoughtful layout with room to live, relax and entertain.
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- Built 1975
- Listed 97 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (11.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $170k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.19%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $189,284
- List price
- $169,870
- Delta
- -10.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1149 Westridge Cir | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,365 (-1%) | 1mo | $238,000 | $174 | 82 |
| 1717 Sonia Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,451 (+5%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $79 | 68 |
| 4512 Bonnett Way | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,473 (+6%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $153 | 62 |
| 4645 Bonnett Cir | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-6%) | 5mo | $210,000 | $162 | 58 |
| 904 Kathryne Cir | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,431 (+3%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $126 | 56 |
| 1904 Croydon Cir | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,396 (+1%) | 8mo | $203,500 | $146 | 55 |
| 1711 Old Springville Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-10%) | 1mo | $84,000 | $67 | 55 |
| 1755 Sonia Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,460 (+6%) | 11mo | $182,000 | $125 | 54 |
| 4653 Bonnett Cir | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,458 (+5%) | 9mo | $221,000 | $152 | 51 |
| 4269 Fieldstone Way | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,276 (-8%) | 4mo | $184,900 | $145 | 46 |
| 1801 Molly Ln | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-15%) | 5mo | $249,000 | $212 | 38 |
| 5290 Austin St | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,202 (-13%) | 2mo | $172,500 | $144 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-13,327
- Equity at exit
- $25,328
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $17,669
- Equity at exit
- $14,687
Cash invested: $47,564 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35235
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,503 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $723/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $166
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,468
- Closing costs
- $5,096
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1830 Christian St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1468 | $1,375 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1808 Brewster Rd Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $1,515 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1761 Big Mountain Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $1,575 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1733 Molly Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1570 | $1,460 | $0.93 | 10d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1935 Springlake Ct Unit 1 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,095 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1748 Sonia Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1401 | $1,395 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1819 Valley Run Cir Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1694 | $1,761 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1760 Sonia Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,635 | $1.05 | 1d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1814 Valley Run Cir Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1817 Lyle Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1361 | $1,605 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1845 Stonehenge Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1358 | $1,323 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1729 Tall Oak Cir Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1403 | $1,630 | $1.16 | 1d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1753 Tall Oak Cir Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,225 | $0.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1516 Highland Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,675 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1868 Carraway St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1819 | $1,500 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1700 Serene Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1543 | $1,630 | $1.06 | 2d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 856 Parkbrook Trl Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,180 | $1.28 | 2d | 10 | 0.83mi |
| 2025 Brewster Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $1,450 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1421 Brewster Cir Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1439 | $1,525 | $1.06 | 1d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 509 20th Ave NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,200 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1440 Hickory Ln Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $1,625 | $1.12 | 1d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 413 20th Ct NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1540 | $1,375 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 744 Vaughn Cir Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $1,561 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 341 Argonne Dr NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,300 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2232 6th St NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,150 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1360 Orlando Cir NE Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $1,455 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1328 Oak Ter Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1772 | $1,581 | $0.89 | 12d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1340 Orlando Cir NE Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1329 | $1,166 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 213 Meadwood Dr NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1194 | $995 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2249 4th Place Cir NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2415 Ormond Dr Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1194 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 241 Lake Drive Cir NE Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1358 | $1,025 | $0.75 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1235 Little Brook Ln Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1787 | $2,400 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1720 2nd St NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 239 Lake Drive Cir NE Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1159 | $1,125 | $0.97 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2202 Cheshire Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1536 | $1,325 | $0.86 | 2d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 332 23rd Ave NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 3d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2258 Cheshire Dr Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,050 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2229 3rd St NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $1,125 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,870 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,870 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,870 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,870 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,870 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,870 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,870 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,870 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,870 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,870 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,870 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,870 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,870 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $169,870 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
CHARMING & MOVE-IN READY SPLIT-LEVEL HOME WITH SPACIOUS DECK AND NEW PAINT THROUGHOUT! Welcome home to this inviting 3BDRM, 1.5BA split-level that offers comfort, functionality, and plenty of space to enjoy both inside and out. Perfect for first-time homebuyers or those looking to downsize, this home provides a thoughtful layout with room to live, relax and entertain.
-
2026-03-13$172,900 Active 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
CHARMING & MOVE-IN READY SPLIT-LEVEL HOME WITH SPACIOUS DECK AND NEW PAINT THROUGHOUT! Welcome home to this inviting 3BDRM, 1.5BA split-level that offers comfort, functionality, and plenty of space to enjoy both inside and out. Perfect for first-time homebuyers or those looking to downsize, this home provides a thoughtful layout with room to live, relax and entertain.
-
2026-03-11historical $172,900 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
CHARMING & MOVE-IN READY SPLIT-LEVEL HOME WITH SPACIOUS DECK AND NEW PAINT THROUGHOUT! Welcome home to this inviting 3BDRM, 1.5BA split-level that offers comfort, functionality, and plenty of space to enjoy both inside and out. Perfect for first-time homebuyers or those looking to downsize, this home provides a thoughtful layout with room to live, relax and entertain.
-
1995-11-01soldstatus $64,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $723 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $723 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,042
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,515
- − Property taxes
- −$723
- − Insurance
- −$849
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,443
- − Management
- −$1,443
- − Depreciation
- −$4,942
- Taxable loss
- −$874
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$210
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,201/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,526
- Household income
- $63,295
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 941.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 30% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.62%
- Current HPI
- 204.6532
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.39%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+161.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $169,870 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $172,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-11 Coming Soon $172,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1995-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $723 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…