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212 N Oak Dr
C- Composite 54.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

212 N Oak Dr · Belton, MO 64012
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,016 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1960 6,186 sqft lot Est $306k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling Investors! This is an opportunity to own a duplex in the growing Belton submarket! This duplex has desirable two-bedroom 1.5 bath townhome-style units. Each unit is two stories with parking out front. Every unit has washer-dryer hook-ups in the living area plus a ~600 sf unfinished basement. All of the utilities are sub-metered – including water. Low expense ratios and proven rental upside with renovations. 1050/mo rents are being achieved in the same neighborhood with the same layout.

Key facts

  • Unfinished basement
  • Washer dryer hookups
  • Additional storage

Tags

DUPLEXUNFINISHED BASEMENTWASHER DRYER HOOKUPSADDITIONAL STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 6,186 square feet (public records)
  • Financial info: Operating expenses include other items (multi-family); Two total units (both 2-bedroom); Current occupancy: unknown—verify

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 parking spaces (off street)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Separate meters
  • Home design: Duplex residential income property; Two stories; Zoned R2
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Has basement
  • Exterior features: Off-street parking

Interior

  • Kitchen: Includes refrigerator and electric range
  • Bedrooms: Two-bedroom units
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bath and 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (has cooling)
  • Interior features: Refrigerator; Electric range
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (11.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.7% in Belton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#52 in MO, #3,782 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
  • Belton 124 (suburban): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #216 of 324 in MO (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 588 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cass County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $220,489 (11.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.20%
Cash-on-cash
3.22%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$306,432
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
207 King Ave 0.60mi 4/1.0 1,984 (-2%) 3mo $85,000 $43 59
404 Hillcrest Cir 0.65mi 4/2.5 1,920 (-5%) 4mo $330,000 $172 56
304 Givan Ct 0.59mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,849 (-8%) 3mo $340,000 $184 49
124 Redbud Ln 0.46mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,834 (-9%) 10mo $307,000 $167 48
110 Hillcrest Rd 0.67mi 4/3.0 1,955 (-3%) 19mo $242,000 $124 48
522 N Park Dr 0.64mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,044 (+1%) 19mo $265,000 $130 45
301 Lacy Ct 0.69mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,042 (+1%) 18mo $310,000 $152 44
214 Lacy Ln 0.70mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,050 (+2%) 19mo $304,000 $148 41
212 W Walnut St 0.74mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,127 (+6%) 16mo $335,000 $157 36
308 Mill St 0.73mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,918 (-5%) 18mo $310,000 $162 36
202 E South Ave 0.75mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,736 (-14%) 9mo $244,900 $141 23
310 Baldwin St 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,760 (-13%) 15mo $219,500 $125 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-23,692
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$15,587
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64012

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
204
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,205 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,664/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$463
Net cashflow
$188

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,967
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
161 Rainbow Dr Belton, MO 3.0 2.0 1624 $1,478 $0.91 23d 1 0.35mi
214 Lacy Ln Belton, MO 3.0 2.5 2562 $2,455 $0.96 21d 1 0.73mi
211 Apple Blossom Ln Belton, MO 4.0 2.5 1414 $2,066 $1.46 2d 1 0.87mi
610 Winter Dr Belton, MO 4.0 3.0 1959 $2,673 $1.36 23d 1 1.08mi
117 Monroe Ave Belton, MO 3.0 2.5 1972 $1,950 $0.99 7d 1 1.10mi
611 W Sunrise Dr Belton, MO 3.0 2.5 1496 $1,990 $1.33 7d 1 1.17mi
805 Emerson Dr Belton, MO 4.0 3.0 1942 $2,355 $1.21 12d 1 1.18mi
904 Ridge Dr Belton, MO 5.0 2.0 1728 $1,950 $1.13 23d 1 1.36mi
909 Ridge Dr Belton, MO 3.0 2.0 1539 $1,756 $1.14 20d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $250,000 Pending 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $250,000 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-05-22
    status Active
  8. 2026-05-16
    status Pending
  9. 2026-05-02
    status Active
  10. 2026-04-07
    historical
  11. 2026-04-02
    listed $250,000 Active
  12. 2024-04-23
    soldstatus
  13. 2023-02-01
    soldstatus Closed 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Calling Investors! This is an opportunity to own a duplex in the growing Belton submarket! This duplex has desirable two-bedroom 1.5 bath townhome-style units. Each unit is two stories with parking out front. Every unit has washer-dryer hook-ups in the living area plus a ~600 sf unfinished basement. All of the utilities are sub-metered – including water. Low expense ratios and proven rental upside with renovations. 1050/mo rents are being achieved in the same neighborhood with the same layout.

  14. 2022-12-23
    status Pending 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Calling Investors! This is an opportunity to own a duplex in the growing Belton submarket! This duplex has desirable two-bedroom 1.5 bath townhome-style units. Each unit is two stories with parking out front. Every unit has washer-dryer hook-ups in the living area plus a ~600 sf unfinished basement. All of the utilities are sub-metered – including water. Low expense ratios and proven rental upside with renovations. 1050/mo rents are being achieved in the same neighborhood with the same layout.

  15. 2022-12-13
    listed $190,000 Active 504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (504 chars)

    Calling Investors! This is an opportunity to own a duplex in the growing Belton submarket! This duplex has desirable two-bedroom 1.5 bath townhome-style units. Each unit is two stories with parking out front. Every unit has washer-dryer hook-ups in the living area plus a ~600 sf unfinished basement. All of the utilities are sub-metered – including water. Low expense ratios and proven rental upside with renovations. 1050/mo rents are being achieved in the same neighborhood with the same layout.

  16. 2020-09-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,664 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,425 · $202/mo
Expected delta
+$761/yr (+$63/mo · 45.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,459
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$1,664
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,117
− Management
−$2,117
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$1,965
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$472
After-tax cash flow
$2,728/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belton 124
NCES district ID
2904620
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$56,946
Composite
29.73/100
National rank
#6446
State rank
#216 of 324 in MO

Livability — Belton

Score
76/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#3782

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belton, MO
County
Cass County · 65,358 people
City population
29,304
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
29,304
Household income
$71,814
Rent vs Own
34.9% rent · 65.1% own
Severe rent burden
1081.0

Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,292 people
By 2030
106,109 · +0.8%
By 2040
105,786 · +0.5%
By 2050
102,062 · -3.1%
By 2075
88,569 · -15.9%
By 2100
68,293 · -35.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cass

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.1) · D 33.3% · R 65.4% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -32.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.1 2020: R+31.6 2016: R+35.9 2012: R+28.4 2008: R+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -244.76%
Current HPI
214.6157
Rent YoY
▲ 5.17%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.6% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-16 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-02 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $250,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-02-01 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-23 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-13 Listed $190,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,664 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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