91 Tombleson Rd · Stevenson, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +4.7/30.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$512,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled in the charming community of Home Valley at the base of Wind Mountain, and right along the Columbia River, this beautifully renovated ranch-style home offers the perfect blend of comfort, flexibility, and Gorge lifestyle living. Set on an enchanting property of almost 3/4 of an acre, the home welcomes you with timeless hardwood floors, abundant natural light, and thoughtfully updated spaces. With 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, plus two versatile bonus rooms, there is ample flexibility for a home office or additional sleeping areas. The lower level is full of opportunity, creating the potential for a private primary suite, recreation room or multi-generational living. Spanning 2,555 square feet, the layout is both functional and inviting. Step outside to a gardener’s paradise with mature flowering trees, an idyllic setting for entertaining with a newly constructed deck featuring unobstructed views of Mount Defiance and surrounding range. A spacious, heated and insulated gear room doubles as a functional workshop, ideal for tuning gear, projects, and year-round storage. Additional highlights include heated bathroom floors, RV parking, epic wood burning stove and a cement sports court complete with basketball hoop. Located a short stroll from the beach at Home Valley park (the start and end point for outrigger and foiling downwinders), you’ll have easy access to water sports, Wind River boat ramp, playground, sports fields, and endless adventure right outside your door. This is a rare opportunity to own a move-in-ready home with stunning surroundings and an unbeatable lifestyle.
Key facts
- 0.73 acre lot
- Built 1957
- Listed 84 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $512k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $286k (44.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (52.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $242k (52.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#179 in WA, #4,705 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
- Stevenson-Carson School District (rural): math 32% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #209 of 291 in WA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Skamania County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $55k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $51k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$88k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($481k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $350k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 53% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.47% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.69%
- DSCR
- 0.52
- GRM
- 17.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $698,152
- List price
- $512,000
- Delta
- -26.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $197,370
- Equity at exit
- $461,250
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.50×
- Total profit
- $644,808
- Equity at exit
- $994,703
Cash invested: $143,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98648
- Home prices YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 17.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,425 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,685
- Tax from tax record
- −$294 /mo · $3,524/yr
- Insurance
- −$213
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$509
- Net cashflow
- $-1,277
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-987 | -5% $-1,132 | +0% $-1,277 | +5% $-1,421 | +10% $-1,566 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,468 | -5% $-1,372 | +0% $-1,277 | +5% $-1,181 | +10% $-1,085 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,019 | -0.5pp $-1,146 | base $-1,277 | +0.5pp $-1,409 | +1.0pp $-1,544 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $128,000
- Closing costs
- $15,360
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $512,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $512,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $512,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $512,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $512,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $512,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $512,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $512,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $512,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $512,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $512,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $512,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $512,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $512,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $512,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $512,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-17status Pending 1619-char remark
Show marketing remark (1619 chars)
Nestled in the charming community of Home Valley at the base of Wind Mountain, and right along the Columbia River, this beautifully renovated ranch-style home offers the perfect blend of comfort, flexibility, and Gorge lifestyle living. Set on an enchanting property of almost 3/4 of an acre, the home welcomes you with timeless hardwood floors, abundant natural light, and thoughtfully updated spaces. With 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, plus two versatile bonus rooms, there is ample flexibility for a home office or additional sleeping areas. The lower level is full of opportunity, creating the potential for a private primary suite, recreation room or multi-generational living. Spanning 2,555 square feet, the layout is both functional and inviting. Step outside to a gardener’s paradise with mature flowering trees, an idyllic setting for entertaining with a newly constructed deck featuring unobstructed views of Mount Defiance and surrounding range. A spacious, heated and insulated gear room doubles as a functional workshop, ideal for tuning gear, projects, and year-round storage. Additional highlights include heated bathroom floors, RV parking, epic wood burning stove and a cement sports court complete with basketball hoop. Located a short stroll from the beach at Home Valley park (the start and end point for outrigger and foiling downwinders), you’ll have easy access to water sports, Wind River boat ramp, playground, sports fields, and endless adventure right outside your door. This is a rare opportunity to own a move-in-ready home with stunning surroundings and an unbeatable lifestyle.
-
2026-05-13price $512,000 1619-char remark
Show marketing remark (1619 chars)
Nestled in the charming community of Home Valley at the base of Wind Mountain, and right along the Columbia River, this beautifully renovated ranch-style home offers the perfect blend of comfort, flexibility, and Gorge lifestyle living. Set on an enchanting property of almost 3/4 of an acre, the home welcomes you with timeless hardwood floors, abundant natural light, and thoughtfully updated spaces. With 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, plus two versatile bonus rooms, there is ample flexibility for a home office or additional sleeping areas. The lower level is full of opportunity, creating the potential for a private primary suite, recreation room or multi-generational living. Spanning 2,555 square feet, the layout is both functional and inviting. Step outside to a gardener’s paradise with mature flowering trees, an idyllic setting for entertaining with a newly constructed deck featuring unobstructed views of Mount Defiance and surrounding range. A spacious, heated and insulated gear room doubles as a functional workshop, ideal for tuning gear, projects, and year-round storage. Additional highlights include heated bathroom floors, RV parking, epic wood burning stove and a cement sports court complete with basketball hoop. Located a short stroll from the beach at Home Valley park (the start and end point for outrigger and foiling downwinders), you’ll have easy access to water sports, Wind River boat ramp, playground, sports fields, and endless adventure right outside your door. This is a rare opportunity to own a move-in-ready home with stunning surroundings and an unbeatable lifestyle.
-
2026-03-19$540,000 Active 1619-char remark
Show marketing remark (1619 chars)
Nestled in the charming community of Home Valley at the base of Wind Mountain, and right along the Columbia River, this beautifully renovated ranch-style home offers the perfect blend of comfort, flexibility, and Gorge lifestyle living. Set on an enchanting property of almost 3/4 of an acre, the home welcomes you with timeless hardwood floors, abundant natural light, and thoughtfully updated spaces. With 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, plus two versatile bonus rooms, there is ample flexibility for a home office or additional sleeping areas. The lower level is full of opportunity, creating the potential for a private primary suite, recreation room or multi-generational living. Spanning 2,555 square feet, the layout is both functional and inviting. Step outside to a gardener’s paradise with mature flowering trees, an idyllic setting for entertaining with a newly constructed deck featuring unobstructed views of Mount Defiance and surrounding range. A spacious, heated and insulated gear room doubles as a functional workshop, ideal for tuning gear, projects, and year-round storage. Additional highlights include heated bathroom floors, RV parking, epic wood burning stove and a cement sports court complete with basketball hoop. Located a short stroll from the beach at Home Valley park (the start and end point for outrigger and foiling downwinders), you’ll have easy access to water sports, Wind River boat ramp, playground, sports fields, and endless adventure right outside your door. This is a rare opportunity to own a move-in-ready home with stunning surroundings and an unbeatable lifestyle.
-
2023-02-17soldstatus $350,000 Closed 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Spacious house on a large lot. Centrally located in Home Valley with close proximity to Portland and all the adventures in the Gorge. Solid home that could easily be a 5 bedroom. Walkout daylight basement that could be turned into separate living space. Hardwood floors throughout much of the main living area. A little bit of TLC and this place will shine!
-
2023-02-02status Pending 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Spacious house on a large lot. Centrally located in Home Valley with close proximity to Portland and all the adventures in the Gorge. Solid home that could easily be a 5 bedroom. Walkout daylight basement that could be turned into separate living space. Hardwood floors throughout much of the main living area. A little bit of TLC and this place will shine!
-
2023-01-07$400,000 Active 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Spacious house on a large lot. Centrally located in Home Valley with close proximity to Portland and all the adventures in the Gorge. Solid home that could easily be a 5 bedroom. Walkout daylight basement that could be turned into separate living space. Hardwood floors throughout much of the main living area. A little bit of TLC and this place will shine!
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2007-08-05soldstatus $245,000
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2007-08-03soldstatus $293,242
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2007-06-03historical
-
2006-06-01$255,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,524 · $294/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,018 · $418/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,494/yr (+$124/mo · 42.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,095
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,680
- − Property taxes
- −$3,524
- − Insurance
- −$2,560
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,328
- − Management
- −$2,328
- − Depreciation
- −$14,895
- Taxable loss
- −$25,218
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,052
- After-tax cash flow
- $-9,266/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stevenson-Carson School District
- NCES district ID
- 5308520
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,512
- Composite
- 37.73/100
- National rank
- #8766
- State rank
- #209 of 291 in WA
Livability — Stevenson
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #179
- US rank
- #4705
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,353
Population outlook (Skamania County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,886 people
- By 2030
- 12,036 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 11,995 · +0.9%
- By 2050
- 11,607 · -2.3%
- By 2075
- 10,881 · -8.5%
- By 2100
- 10,392 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Portuguese 4% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Skamania
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.0% · R 54.2% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: 5.3pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+9.5 2016: R+12.6 2012: R+1.3 2008: D+5.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.97%
- Current HPI
- 333.2329
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+100.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $512,000 RMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $540,000 RMLS
- 2023-02-17 Sold (MLS) $350,000 RMLS
- 2023-02-02 Pending — RMLS
- 2023-01-07 Listed $400,000 RMLS
- 2007-08-05 Sold (MLS) $245,000 RMLS
- 2007-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $293,242 Public Records
- 2007-06-03 Delisted — RMLS
- 2006-06-01 Listed $255,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+14.6%/yrLatest (2026): $3,524 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…