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1209 11th Ave SE
C+ Composite 60.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

1209 11th Ave SE · Decatur, AL 35601
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,068 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 69 Days on market
Built 1958 6,969 sqft lot $117/sqft · 24% below area Est $165k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don't let this one get away. This 3bdrm 2bath home located in Southeast Decatur offers multiple opportunities from investment to first time home owner.

Key facts

  • 6,969 sq ft lot
  • Built 1958
  • Listed 69 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $195 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (4.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#28 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
  • Decatur City (urban): math 22% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #66 of 129 in AL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 231 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Morgan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
8.16%
Cash-on-cash
6.68%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,155
List price
$125,000
Delta
-24.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1209 11th Ave SE 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,068 (0%) 1mo $118,500 $111 99
1120 7th Ave SE 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-3%) 0mo $120,000 $115 83
1024 9th Ave SE 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-6%) 7mo $164,000 $163 70
1804 Enolam Blvd SE 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,032 (-3%) 2mo $164,900 $160 66
1605 SE 7th St 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,113 (+4%) 5mo $130,000 $117 62
1607 10th Avenue Ct SE 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,095 (+2%) 10mo $175,000 $160 61
1002 7th Ave SE 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,172 (+10%) 2mo $153,000 $131 61
1628 8th St SE 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,012 (-5%) 8mo $155,000 $153 56
1907 Harrison St 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,075 (+1%) 10mo $154,900 $144 56
911 9th Ave SE 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 964 (-10%) 7mo $115,000 $119 55
1207 North St SE 0.55mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,172 (+10%) 6mo $136,000 $116 44
1611 Tower St SE 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 980 (-8%) 10mo $135,000 $138 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-5,855
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$19,353
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35601

Home prices YoY
-26.5%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
223
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,197 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $521/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$195

Break-even live

Break-even rent $951
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1628 8th St SE Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 1012 $1,200 $1.19 43d 1 0.48mi
1801 7th St SE Decatur, AL 4.0 2.0 1475 $1,550 $1.05 43d 1 0.55mi
1221 North St SE Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 937 $775 $0.83 43d 2 0.59mi
1821 7th St SE Decatur, AL 3.0 1.0 908 $1,100 $1.21 23d 1 0.61mi
1205 Broadus Ave SE Decatur, AL 3.0 2.0 1306 $1,195 $0.92 43d 1 0.68mi
603 Prospect Dr SE Decatur, AL 3.0 1.0 1362 $1,795 $1.32 43d 1 0.68mi
1018 Grant St SE Unit 1026-4 Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 890 $800 $0.90 43d 1 0.88mi
1018 Grant St SE Unit 1018-4 Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 890 $775 $0.87 43d 1 0.89mi
818 Grant St SE Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 910 $1,300 $1.43 43d 1 0.91mi
1208 2nd Ave SW Unit 1208 28 Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 850 $825 $0.97 43d 1 0.92mi
1220 2nd Ave SW Unit 2nd 7 Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 850 $825 $0.97 43d 1 0.92mi
227 8th St SW Unit 19 Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 850 $825 $0.97 43d 1 0.92mi
1314 Pennylane SE Decatur, AL 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,198 $1.09 23d 1 0.92mi
2136 Eastbrook SE Decatur, AL 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,495 $1.07 43d 1 0.99mi
102 Elm Ct NE Decatur, AL 3.0 1.0 1216 $1,450 $1.19 23d 1 1.05mi
315 Hillside Rd SW Decatur, AL 3.0 1.5 1344 $1,400 $1.04 43d 1 1.08mi
1602 Brookridge Dr SW Decatur, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 797 $1,174 $1.47 43d 13 1.11mi
324 Cardinal Dr SW Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 681 $952 $1.40 43d 14 1.31mi
2115 Central Pkwy SW Decatur, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0 821 $950 $1.16 43d 1 1.31mi
2234 Harrison St SE Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 850 $925 $1.09 14d 1 1.32mi
201 Bluebird Ln SW Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 950 $898 $0.94 43d 11 1.36mi
516 Ferry St NE Decatur, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 23d 1 1.41mi
609 7th Ave SW Decatur, AL 4.0 2.0 1380 $1,425 $1.03 43d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Don't let this one get away. This 3bdrm 2bath home located in Southeast Decatur offers multiple opportunities from investment to first time home owner.

  2. 2026-03-06
    listed $125,000 Active 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Don't let this one get away. This 3bdrm 2bath home located in Southeast Decatur offers multiple opportunities from investment to first time home owner.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$521 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$521 · $43/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,367
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$521
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,149
− Management
−$1,149
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$284
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$68
After-tax cash flow
$2,270/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Decatur City
NCES district ID
0101170
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$42,170
Composite
26.21/100
National rank
#7261
State rank
#66 of 129 in AL

Livability — Decatur

Score
72/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#5989

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Decatur, AL
County
Morgan County · 67,628 people
City population
67,628
Metro
Decatur, AL
Population (ZIP)
35,449
Household income
$51,429
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
1386.0

Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
118,775 people
By 2030
116,979 · -1.5%
By 2040
111,800 · -5.9%
By 2050
105,181 · -11.4%
By 2075
87,736 · -26.1%
By 2100
67,624 · -43.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 24% Two or more races 10% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Morgan

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.2% · R 75.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -52.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.6 2020: R+49.2 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+43.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -89.26%
Current HPI
247.8437
Rent YoY
▲ 4.67%
Metro
Decatur, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending VMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $125,000 VMLS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $521 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…