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203 Lenox Ave Triplex
C- Composite 53.88
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$630,000

203 Lenox Ave · Bridgeport, CT 06605
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,047 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1920 3,920 sqft lot Est $582k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

As is, Where is.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 24 days

Tags

THIRD FLOOR RENOVATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $630k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $442/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $630k).
  • Recommended offer: $621k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 5.0% in Bridgeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#15 in CT, #1,374 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Bridgeport School District (urban): math 9% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #151 of 153 in CT (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 97% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 47 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 852 units permitted in Greater Bridgeport Planning Region in 2024 (698 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,035/mo this rent would consume 150% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 2367% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($621k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $320k; list at $630k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $620,550 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.92%
Cash-on-cash
9.39%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$581,977
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1033 Howard Ave 0.18mi 6/3.0 2,884 (-5%) 7mo $550,000 $191 77
324 Mountain Grove St 0.06mi 6/3.0 2,769 (-9%) 10mo $540,000 $195 73
766 Hancock Ave 0.25mi 6/4.0 2,906 (-5%) 10mo $467,000 $161 69
115 Denver Ave 0.24mi 6/2.5 3,382 (+11%) 6mo $485,000 $143 64
392 Laurel Ave 0.55mi 6/3.0 3,138 (+3%) 11mo $489,500 $156 61
73 Yale St 0.54mi 5/3.0 (-1) 3,044 (-0%) 14mo $580,000 $191 58
252 Villa Ave 0.66mi 6/3.0 2,822 (-7%) 1mo $975,000 $345 56
25-27 Poplar St 0.20mi 6/3.0 2,610 (-14%) 14mo $487,400 $187 55
533 Clinton Ave 0.34mi 6/2.0 3,459 (+14%) 4mo $690,000 $199 54
227-229 Laurel Ave 0.69mi 6/4.0 3,072 (+1%) 16mo $691,875 $225 49
414 Wood Ave 0.62mi 6/3.0 2,653 (-13%) 4mo $700,000 $264 46
201 Norman St 0.70mi 6/2.0 2,637 (-14%) 17mo $475,000 $180 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.0%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-26,018
Equity at exit
$93,935
10-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$52,752
Equity at exit
$54,471

Cash invested: $176,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06605

Home prices YoY
-14.5%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
22.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,035 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,304
Tax from tax record
$611 /mo · $7,335/yr
Insurance
$262
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,477
Net cashflow
$1,325

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,358
Max offer price $630,000
Occupancy floor 76%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $7,035

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$157,500
Closing costs
$18,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
241 Lewis St Unit 241 Bridgeport, CT 6.0 2.0 2300 $3,500 $1.52 43d 1 0.82mi
1566 North Ave Bridgeport, CT 5.0 1.0 2837 $2,500 $0.88 43d 1 1.10mi
108 New England Ave Fairfield, CT 5.0 4.5 3225 $7,500 $2.33 43d 1 1.40mi
107 Catherine St Bridgeport, CT 7.0 2.5 4104 $2,900 $0.71 14d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-01-03
    status Under Contract
  2. 2025-12-11
    listed $630,000 Active
  3. 2024-05-18
    historical
  4. 2024-04-10
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
  5. 2024-03-18
    status Active
  6. 2024-03-01
    status Under Contract
  7. 2024-02-06
    status Active
  8. 2024-01-31
    status Under Contract
  9. 2024-01-23
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
  10. 2024-01-18
    listed $525,000 Active
  11. 2021-08-03
    soldstatus $320,000
  12. 2021-07-30
    soldstatus $320,000 Closed 16-char remark
    Show marketing remark (16 chars)

    As is, Where is.

  13. 2021-05-24
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 16-char remark
    Show marketing remark (16 chars)

    As is, Where is.

  14. 2021-05-20
    listed $320,000 Active 16-char remark
    Show marketing remark (16 chars)

    As is, Where is.

  15. 2008-05-01
    historical
  16. 2007-07-08
    listed $360,000
  17. 2005-08-01
    soldstatus $295,000
  18. 2005-07-29
    soldstatus $295,000
  19. 2005-07-29
    listed $300,000
  20. 2003-11-26
    soldstatus $109,000
  21. 2001-06-15
    soldstatus $140,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,335 · $611/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,408 · $867/mo
Expected delta
+$3,074/yr (+$256/mo · 41.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$84,420
− Mortgage interest
−$35,290
− Property taxes
−$7,335
− Insurance
−$3,816
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,754
− Management
−$6,754
− Depreciation
−$18,327
Taxable income
$6,144
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,475
After-tax cash flow
$14,420/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bridgeport School District
NCES district ID
0900450
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$41,507
Composite
12.09/100
National rank
#9656
State rank
#151 of 153 in CT

Livability — Bridgeport

Score
81/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#1374

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bridgeport, CT
County
Fairfield County · 765,532 people
City population
149,153
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
Population (ZIP)
25,929
Household income
$56,179
Rent vs Own
67.9% rent · 32.1% own
Severe rent burden
2367.0

Population outlook (Greater Bridgeport County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
365,581

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 39% White 33% Black 19% Two or more races 12% Asian 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 17% Cuban 3% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Hispanic 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Guatemala, China
Languages at home
54% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Greater Bridgeport

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.3) · D 60.9% · R 37.6% · Other 1.5%
All cycles
2024: D+23.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.42%
Current HPI
238.1786
Rent YoY
▲ 1.81%
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+350.0% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-03 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2025-12-11 Listed $630,000 Smart MLS
  • 2024-05-18 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2024-04-10 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2024-03-18 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2024-03-01 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2024-02-06 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2024-01-31 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2024-01-23 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2024-01-18 Listed $525,000 Smart MLS
  • 2021-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records
  • 2021-07-30 Sold (MLS) $320,000 Smart MLS
  • 2021-05-24 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2021-05-20 Listed $320,000 Smart MLS
  • 2008-05-01 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2007-07-08 Listed $360,000 Smart MLS
  • 2005-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $295,000 Public Records
  • 2005-07-29 Listed $300,000 Smart MLS
  • 2005-07-29 Sold (MLS) $295,000 Smart MLS
  • 2003-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
  • 2001-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $7,335 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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