1225 4th Pl N · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity in up and coming Fountain Heights neighborhood with lots of room for appreciation. Close to all major interstate on-ramps, BJCC, and the new entertainment district. New electrical and sewer service. HVAC replaced 2019. Tenant occupied at $1,000/mo. Please have offer ready before scheduling tour. Photos are very recent.
Key facts
- Hvac replaced
- New sewer service
- 7,405 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $512 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $80k implies a 539% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.94%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $61,197
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- 30.56%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 331 14th Ct N | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,284 (+5%) | 4mo | $34,900 | $27 | 74 |
| 1305 11th St N | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,148 (-6%) | 9mo | $25,000 | $22 | 72 |
| 1124 2nd St N | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,368 (+12%) | 2mo | $16,500 | $12 | 66 |
| 1319 16th St N | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,204 (-2%) | 10mo | $35,000 | $29 | 60 |
| 1614 11th Ct N | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,244 (+2%) | 18mo | $40,000 | $32 | 55 |
| 1428 16th St N | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (+13%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $105 | 51 |
| 1324 2nd St N | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,320 (+8%) | 20mo | $145,500 | $110 | 50 |
| 213 10th Ave N | 0.46mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,370 (+12%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $80 | 49 |
| 117 10th Ct | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+14%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $107 | 49 |
| 1629 4th St N | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,108 (-10%) | 11mo | $99,999 | $90 | 48 |
| 1123 14th St N | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,340 (+10%) | 18mo | $89,000 | $66 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $17,839
- Equity at exit
- $25,794
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.31×
- Total profit
- $51,681
- Equity at exit
- $33,160
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35204
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,015 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $850/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$213
- Net cashflow
- $279
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1153 2nd St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 19d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1317 11th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1340 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1500 12th St N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 353 16th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $995 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1305 16th St N Unit 1305 D Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $595 | $0.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1113 15th St N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $880 | $1.26 | 44d | 2 | 0.51mi |
| 1802 14th Ct N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 19d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1608 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $950 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1742 17th St N Unit 2 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 963 3rd St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,295 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1906 15th Ct N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1311 | $1,000 | $0.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1906 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1428 F L Shuttlesworth Dr Fl Shuttlesworth Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 803 | $825 | $1.03 | 24d | 3 | 0.91mi |
| 517 11th Ct W Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $795 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1938 18th Pl N Unit 1938 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1940 18th Pl N Unit 1940 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1954 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $975 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1994 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2004 18th Pl N Unit 2004 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2010 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 10d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2012 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 10d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1917 18th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1909 18th St N Unit 1909 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $799 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1576 20th St N Apt D Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $725 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 451 2nd St N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2212 20th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1141 | $895 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 410 8th Ter W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,200 | $0.83 | 16d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 600 19th St N Unit 604 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $2,895 | $2.89 | 12d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 600 19th St N Unit 601 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $2,544 | $2.54 | 12d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 600 19th St N Apt 202 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $3,050 | $2.44 | 12d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 600 19th St N Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1398 | $4,560 | $3.26 | 19d | 83 | 1.09mi |
| 600 19th St N Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1120 | $3,550 | $3.17 | 16d | 30 | 1.09mi |
| 915 6th St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1332 | $1,075 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1911 19th Ct N Apt 1 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $845 | $1.13 | 12d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 905 7th St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2000 Stouts Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $880 | $1.26 | 44d | 2 | 1.23mi |
| 2413 14th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $675 | $0.94 | 2d | 3 | 1.25mi |
| 757 10th Ave W Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,000 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 451 2nd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2300 21st Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $880 | $1.26 | 44d | 2 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-18historical Contingent 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Great investment opportunity in up and coming Fountain Heights neighborhood with lots of room for appreciation. Close to all major interstate on-ramps, BJCC, and the new entertainment district. New electrical and sewer service. HVAC replaced 2019. Tenant occupied at $1,000/mo. Please have offer ready before scheduling tour. Photos are very recent.
-
2026-04-22price $79,900 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Great investment opportunity in up and coming Fountain Heights neighborhood with lots of room for appreciation. Close to all major interstate on-ramps, BJCC, and the new entertainment district. New electrical and sewer service. HVAC replaced 2019. Tenant occupied at $1,000/mo. Please have offer ready before scheduling tour. Photos are very recent.
-
2026-04-07$89,900 Active 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Great investment opportunity in up and coming Fountain Heights neighborhood with lots of room for appreciation. Close to all major interstate on-ramps, BJCC, and the new entertainment district. New electrical and sewer service. HVAC replaced 2019. Tenant occupied at $1,000/mo. Please have offer ready before scheduling tour. Photos are very recent.
-
2010-07-14soldstatus $12,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $850 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $850 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,177
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$850
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$974
- − Management
- −$974
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $2,179
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$523
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,819/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,953
- Household income
- $35,420
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 422.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.64%
- Current HPI
- 201.0777
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+539.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $79,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $89,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2010-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $850 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…