223 Valleywood Dr · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very well maintained 3 bed 1 bath home. Large living room and dining room. The kitchen has been updated with new cabinets and newer appliances along with New Bathroom, New Seamless Gutters, and a New fence in the backyard. The Roof is 7 years old. Possession at closing - Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Seamless gutters
- Original wood floors
- Large living room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community features include curbs, street lights, and sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Space for 4 vehicles; Alley access and on-street parking
- Security: Security features noted (other)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (200+ amp service with circuit breakers); Natural gas connected; Cable, internet, and Wi-Fi available
- Home design: Single-family detached house; Two levels / two stories; No common walls; Listed as residential, single-family residence
- Construction: Wood siding and other construction materials; Block foundation; Year built from public records
- Exterior features: Awning(s); Fire pit; Front porch and rear patio; Shed(s); Block and wood fencing; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Gas oven and gas range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Gas range connection
- Bedrooms: Two upper-level bedrooms (each about 10 x 10); Additional upper-level room (13 x 10) with wood flooring; Main-level den (10 x 10)
- Flooring: Wood flooring in some upper rooms; Vinyl flooring in the kitchen; Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Double-pane windows with screens; Storm door(s); Total of 7 rooms; Has basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located inside in the basement; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 7.5% in Toledo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Garfield Elementary School (math 7% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,461 of 1,584 statewide, top 92%, 387 students, 0% FRL); Waite High School (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #687 of 781 statewide, top 88%, 997 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 8544% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $95k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.40%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $94,080
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256 Midvale Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,180 (+0%) | 4mo | $137,300 | $116 | 88 |
| 2017 Kelsey Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-2%) | 2mo | $119,900 | $104 | 79 |
| 128 Carbon St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,113 (-5%) | 3mo | $89,000 | $80 | 65 |
| 1940 Hurd St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+2%) | 4mo | $99,900 | $83 | 64 |
| 136 Steel St | 0.48mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,229 (+4%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $77 | 63 |
| 150 E Broadway St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,048 (-11%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $19 | 60 |
| 328 White St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-15%) | 1mo | $39,900 | $40 | 57 |
| 463 Howland Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,027 (-13%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $63 | 56 |
| 1320 Mott Ave | 0.39mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,299 (+10%) | 4mo | $85,400 | $66 | 56 |
| 130 Burger St | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,242 (+6%) | 3mo | $134,000 | $108 | 47 |
| 1133 Nevada St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,044 (-11%) | 4mo | $36,000 | $34 | 47 |
| 1012 Idaho St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,041 (-12%) | 1mo | $84,900 | $82 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $3,470
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $35,694
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43605
- Home prices YoY
- -25.6%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,134 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,262/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $253
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $306 | -5% $279 | +0% $253 | +5% $226 | +10% $199 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $163 | -5% $208 | +0% $253 | +5% $297 | +10% $342 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $300 | -0.5pp $277 | base $253 | +0.5pp $228 | +1.0pp $203 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223 Valleywood Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,099 | $1.00 | 26d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 221 Licking St Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,099 | $1.05 | 26d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 653 Oswald St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $800 | $0.87 | 46d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1306 Mott Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1282 | $1,149 | $0.90 | 46d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1305 Mott Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 46d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 508 Howland Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,000 | $1.19 | 46d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 557 Valleywood Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,100 | $1.30 | 46d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1614 Nevada St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,000 | $0.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 571 Howland Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $875 | $1.00 | 46d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2074 Starr Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,025 | $0.92 | 26d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 128 Carbon St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 26d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1123 Nevada St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $900 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 420 Platt St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1499 | $685 | $0.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 414 Platt St Unit ST-3 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,150 | $0.77 | 26d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 29 Garfield Pl Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 16d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 724 Plymouth St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 819 | $750 | $0.92 | 46d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1505 Navarre Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1331 | $1,145 | $0.86 | 46d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 470 2nd St Unit 1 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $799 | $0.84 | 46d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2129 Nevada St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $1,200 | $0.89 | 16d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 948 White St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,135 | $1.11 | 16d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1848 Genesee St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 46d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1848 Genesee St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,300 | $1.22 | 26d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 722 Coyne Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 16d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 625 Riverside Dr Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $1,767 | $2.05 | 16d | 37 | 0.88mi |
| 732 Coyne Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,145 | $1.18 | 16d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1964 Burr St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1159 | $1,250 | $1.08 | 46d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 537 Potter St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $625 | $0.52 | 26d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1106 White St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,015 | $0.85 | 16d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 908 Forsythe St Unit Upstairs Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $900 | $0.77 | 16d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 908 Forsythe St Unit Downstairs Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $950 | $0.82 | 46d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 921 Berry St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 16d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,890 | $1.26 | 46d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $1,750 | $1.43 | 26d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1023 | $1,750 | $1.71 | 16d | 2 | 1.10mi |
| 20 Greenwood Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1496 | $1,150 | $0.77 | 16d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 834 Oak St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $900 | $0.85 | 46d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 946 Butler St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $650 | $0.69 | 46d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1449 N Huron St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,045 | $0.73 | 16d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 630 Mulberry St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 26d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1205 Liberty St Unit NA Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,195 | $1.38 | 46d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-23days on market $95,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $95,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 300-char remark
-
2026-06-17$95,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,262 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,372 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$110/yr (+$9/mo · 8.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,603
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,262
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,088
- − Management
- −$1,088
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $1,605
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$385
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,646/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,441
- Household income
- $39,118
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1257.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 14% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.85%
- Current HPI
- 138.6894
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.37%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
-98.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed for Rent $1,099 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-06-16 Listed $95,000 NORIS
- 2026-06-11 Rental Removed $1,099 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-05-11 Listed for Rent $1,099 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-05-03 Rental Removed $1,099 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-04-29 Listed for Rent $1,099 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-04-28 Rental Removed $1,099 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-04-01 Listed for Rent $1,099 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-03-16 Rental Removed $1,099 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-02-13 Listed for Rent $1,099 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $58,000 NORIS
- 2021-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2021-08-18 Pending — NORIS
- 2021-08-17 Sold (MLS) $58,000 NORIS
- 2021-07-20 Listed — NORIS
- 2021-05-26 Listed $59,900 NORIS
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,262 · -5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…