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419 N Arapaho Ave
B Composite 71.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,000

419 N Arapaho Ave · Hydro, OK 73048
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,583 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1946 9,945 sqft lot ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Large two-story duplex, two-family, could be converted to single family. Great potential for investment, flip, or sweat-equity. The downstairs and the upstairs are each complete 2 bed home units. Double garage with large attached workroom (15x20) and storm shelter off garage, with possible 1/2 bath plumbing started. The ground floor unit has a large living, separate dining, separate breakfast area and kitchen with updated cabinetry plus an over-size laundry/office/hobby room. Approx 1500 sf on main level, 1200 sf on second level. Second level has a supersized living room and an over-sized main bedroom. The second bedroom is near a hall bath. There has been water damage in the past but the r

Key facts

  • Double garage
  • Storm shelter
  • Two story duplex

Tags

TWO STORY DUPLEXDOUBLE GARAGELARGE ATTACHED WORKROOMSTORM SHELTERUPDATED CABINETRYOVER SIZE LAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Hydro (directions available); Homestead not claimed
  • Financial info: Offered as-is; Accepts cash and conventional financing; Not assumable
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public utilities; Above-ground storm shelter
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Two levels; Existing property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Combination foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Covered porch; Interior lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Interior features: Two living areas; Three dining areas; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $326 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#25 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Hydro-Eakly (rural): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 270 in OK (top 5%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hydro-Eakly Es (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #34 of 845 statewide, top 5%, 254 students, 0% FRL); Hydro-Eakly Ms (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #24 of 345 statewide, top 8%, 98 students, 0% FRL); Hydro-Eakly Hs (math 44% / reading 34%, grade F, #37 of 447 statewide, top 9%, 135 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • Caddo County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
10.24%
Cash-on-cash
14.11%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$216,972
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
801 N Hunt St 0.41mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,552 (-1%) 11mo $215,000 $84 61
732 N Arapaho Ave 0.32mi 2/2.0 (-1) 2,275 (-12%) 19mo $128,000 $56 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$23,491
Equity at exit
$34,751
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
3.41×
Total profit
$66,830
Equity at exit
$46,928

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73048

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,212 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $855/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$326

Break-even live

Break-even rent $800
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $382 -5% $354 +0% $326 +5% $298 +10% $270
Rent -10% $230 -5% $278 +0% $326 +5% $374 +10% $422
Rate -1.0pp $376 -0.5pp $351 base $326 +0.5pp $300 +1.0pp $274

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    pricedays on marketlisting id $99,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-04-13
    price $109,000
  5. 2025-11-26
    listed $119,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$855 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$891 · $74/mo
Expected delta
+$36/yr (+$3/mo · 4.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,545
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$855
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,164
− Management
−$1,164
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$2,443
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$586
After-tax cash flow
$3,325/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hydro-Eakly
NCES district ID
4000032
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$42,179
Composite
35.42/100
National rank
#4937
State rank
#14 of 270 in OK

Livability — Hydro

Score
72/100
State rank
#25
US rank
#6136

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hydro, OK
Population (ZIP)
2,260

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,391 people
By 2030
27,844 · -1.9%
By 2040
27,057 · -4.7%
By 2050
26,484 · -6.7%
By 2075
26,266 · -7.5%
By 2100
26,077 · -8.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.4% · R 72.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: -30.7pp · 2024: -47.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.1 2020: R+44.0 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+28.5 2008: R+30.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.18%
Current HPI
275.5007
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $109,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-11-26 Listed $119,000 MLSOK

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $855 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…