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3618 Archer Dr
B Composite 74.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

3618 Archer Dr · East Moline, IL 61244
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 816 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1948 1.76 ac lot Est $118k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity on 1.76 acres! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath sold as-is, bungalow offers plenty of potential for buyers ready to complete updates and improvements. The home does require work lots of work, but with the right vision and renovations, it could be transformed into a wonderful residence or a strong investment property. Features include a fenced yard, one-car garage, newer furnace and water heater. Central air and Convenient in-town location with the added bonus of acreage that provides space, privacy, and a country-like feel. A solid chance to build equity and make it your own! Seller is motivated and will look at all reasonable offers.

Key facts

  • Acreage
  • New furnace
  • Fenced yard

Tags

FENCED YARDNEW FURNACENEW WATER HEATERCENTRAL AIRIN-TOWN LOCATIONACREAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (garage owned); Parking for up to 4 vehicles total; One garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978 (approx. 71–80 years old)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Wooded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Main level master bedroom (12 x 12); Main level bedroom (9 x 9); Attic bedroom (11 x 17)
  • Flooring: Carpet in living room, master bedroom, and one bedroom; Vinyl flooring in kitchen, dining room, and attic bedroom
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Basement has a bathroom (yes)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Separate dining room; Family room; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.5% in East Moline — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#870 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools F.
  • United Twp Hsd 30 (suburban): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #536 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 116 units permitted in Rock Island County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rock Island County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $54k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $77,600 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
11.98%
Cash-on-cash
20.30%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$117,504
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3618 Archer Dr 0.00mi 3/1.5 927 (+14%) 1mo $65,000 $70 77
1116 34th Avenue Ct 0.21mi 3/2.0 832 (+2%) 13mo $192,000 $231 74
927 35th Ave 0.35mi 3/1.0 864 (+6%) 8mo $119,000 $138 65
1144 45th Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 864 (+6%) 0mo $135,000 $156 63
4521 11th Street Ct 0.59mi 3/1.0 864 (+6%) 8mo $124,000 $144 55
514 14th Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 856 (+5%) 14mo $103,000 $120 54
434 14th Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 858 (+5%) 16mo $133,600 $156 53
323 15th Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 748 (-8%) 8mo $88,000 $118 53
3922 8th St 0.53mi 3/1.0 864 (+6%) 14mo $107,500 $124 52
1155 46th Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 900 (+10%) 8mo $184,900 $205 48
3643 9th St 0.45mi 3/2.0 936 (+15%) 9mo $179,000 $191 45
1822 27 1/2 Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 902 (+10%) 13mo $53,000 $59 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.6%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$11,189
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$40,894
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61244

Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,180 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$379

Break-even live

Break-even rent $700
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $434 -5% $407 +0% $379 +5% $351 +10% $324
Rent -10% $286 -5% $332 +0% $379 +5% $426 +10% $472
Rate -1.0pp $419 -0.5pp $399 base $379 +0.5pp $358 +1.0pp $337

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4000 Archer Dr East Moline, IL 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 933 $1,499 $1.61 14d 2 0.18mi
4102 11th St Unit 4106-1D R East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 700 $880 $1.26 21d 1 0.36mi
4102 11th St Unit 1111-2D East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 700 $820 $1.17 21d 1 0.36mi
1111 Avenue Of The Cities Unit 4102-1A R East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 700 $820 $1.17 21d 1 0.37mi
1842 28th Ave East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 914 $1,100 $1.20 14d 1 0.70mi
2101 7th St Silvis, IL 3.0 1.0–2.5 905 $2,010 $2.22 14d 17 0.86mi
3341 5th St Unit 1 East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 21d 1 0.92mi
4700 7th St East Moline, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 704 $1,222 $1.73 14d 15 0.98mi
625 25th Ave Unit 625 East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 888 $900 $1.01 21d 1 1.07mi
1810 14th St Silvis, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 14d 1 1.15mi
777 20th Ave Unit 1 East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 1030 $1,090 $1.06 21d 1 1.32mi
735 20th Ave Unit 3 East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 690 $790 $1.14 21d 1 1.35mi
123 3rd St Unit House Silvis, IL 2.0 1.0 1017 $1,150 $1.13 21d 1 1.37mi
3500 70th St Moline, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 707 $1,275 $1.80 14d 7 1.43mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-29
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-29
    price $80,000
  4. 2026-03-22
    status Pending
  5. 2026-03-07
    price $110,000
  6. 2026-03-01
    listed $134,000 Active
  7. 2021-08-06
    historical
  8. 2021-08-06
    historical
  9. 2007-05-02
    soldstatus $74,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,154
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,132
− Management
−$1,132
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$3,481
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$835
After-tax cash flow
$3,712/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
United Twp Hsd 30
NCES district ID
1739870
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,647
Composite
11.91/100
National rank
#9670
State rank
#536 of 620 in IL

Livability — East Moline

Score
62/100
State rank
#870
US rank
#16964

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Moline, IL
County
Rock Island County · 103,822 people
City population
23,308
Metro
Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
Population (ZIP)
23,308
Household income
$63,819
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
746.0

Population outlook (Rock Island County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
140,982 people
By 2030
137,705 · -2.3%
By 2040
130,512 · -7.4%
By 2050
123,841 · -12.2%
By 2075
109,851 · -22.1%
By 2100
90,922 · -35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 18% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
English 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, United Kingdom, Philippines
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Rock Island

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.6) · D 53.9% · R 44.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 24.6pp · 2024: 9.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.6 2020: D+12.1 2016: D+8.4 2012: D+21.9 2008: D+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.05%
Current HPI
154.4012
Rent YoY
Metro
Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $80,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-22 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-07 Price Changed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-01 Listed $134,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $4,058 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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