Fourplex
1965 E San Bernardino · San Bernardino, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 29 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 35 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +6.7/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$949,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
THIS GREAT INVESTMENT CONSISTS OF 2 BUILDINGS; THE FRONT VICTORIAN BUILDING HAS 5 UNITS AND THERE IS A DETACHED 3-BED/1-BATH HOUSE ON THE BACK AND A HUGE LOT TO BUILD MORE UNITS. ALL UNITS HAVE INDIVIDUAL METERS FOR GAS, ELECTRICITY AND WATER HEATERS. ALL UNITS ARE LOCATED WITHIN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE LARGE-SCALE DISTRIBUTION CENTERS, SUCH AS AMAZON, MATTEL, ASHLEY FURNITURE AND RESTAURANTS WHICH ARE SUSTAINING EMPLOYMENT LEVELS IN THE AREAS OF SAN BERNARDINO, REDLANDS AND LOMA LINDA. PROPERTY IS ALSO CLOSE TO SHOPPING CENTERS SUCH AS COSTCO, BEST BUY, HOME DEPOT, LOWES, ETC. AND CLOSE DISTANCE TO UNIVERSITY OF PHOENIX, AZUSA PACIFIC UNIVERSITY, AND LOMA LINDA UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER AND EASY ACCESS TO 10 AND 210 FREEWAYS.
Key facts
- Detached house
- Huge lot
- Individual meters
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $949k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $288/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $897k (5.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $835k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.5% in San Bernardino — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#661 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
- Redlands Unified (urban): math 44% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #390 of 1,400 in CA (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,970/mo this rent would consume 158% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 873% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($835k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $450k; list at $949k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.20%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $933,279
- List price
- $949,000
- Delta
- 1.68%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 8 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-80,742
- Equity at exit
- $141,499
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $23,051
- Equity at exit
- $82,052
Cash invested: $265,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92408
- Home prices YoY
- -16.7%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 35.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,970 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,977
- Tax from tax record
- −$564 /mo · $6,763/yr
- Insurance
- −$395
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,884
- Net cashflow
- $1,151
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 3 | — | $8,968 |
| #1 | 3 | — | $2,242 |
| #2 | 3 | — | $2,242 |
| #3 | 3 | — | $2,242 |
| #4 | 3 | — | $2,242 |
| Total (4 units) | $8,970 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $237,250
- Closing costs
- $28,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $949,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $949,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $949,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $949,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $949,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $949,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $949,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $949,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $949,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $949,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $949,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $949,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $949,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $949,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-02-11$949,000 Active 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
THIS GREAT INVESTMENT CONSISTS OF 2 BUILDINGS; THE FRONT VICTORIAN BUILDING HAS 5 UNITS AND THERE IS A DETACHED 3-BED/1-BATH HOUSE ON THE BACK AND A HUGE LOT TO BUILD MORE UNITS. ALL UNITS HAVE INDIVIDUAL METERS FOR GAS, ELECTRICITY AND WATER HEATERS. ALL UNITS ARE LOCATED WITHIN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE LARGE-SCALE DISTRIBUTION CENTERS, SUCH AS AMAZON, MATTEL, ASHLEY FURNITURE AND RESTAURANTS WHICH ARE SUSTAINING EMPLOYMENT LEVELS IN THE AREAS OF SAN BERNARDINO, REDLANDS AND LOMA LINDA. PROPERTY IS ALSO CLOSE TO SHOPPING CENTERS SUCH AS COSTCO, BEST BUY, HOME DEPOT, LOWES, ETC. AND CLOSE DISTANCE TO UNIVERSITY OF PHOENIX, AZUSA PACIFIC UNIVERSITY, AND LOMA LINDA UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER AND EASY ACCESS TO 10 AND 210 FREEWAYS.
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2025-11-06historical
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2025-01-04status Active
-
2025-01-01historical
-
2024-09-13$995,000 Active
-
2024-09-02historical
-
2024-06-24price $1,190,000
-
2024-04-22$1,350,000 Active
-
2016-04-27soldstatus $450,000 Closed Sale
-
2016-04-27soldstatus $450,000
-
2016-04-27soldstatus $450,000
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2016-04-10status Pending Sale
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2015-11-05$450,000 Active
-
2015-11-04$450,000
-
2015-10-13historical
-
2015-10-13historical
-
2015-09-07price $465,000
-
2015-07-30$480,000 Active
-
2015-07-29$465,000
-
2014-04-27historical
-
2013-11-19price $385,000
-
2013-10-28price $395,000
-
2013-09-21price $405,000 Active
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2013-09-21status Active
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2013-08-24status Pending
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2013-06-09$390,000 Active
-
2013-04-23historical
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2013-03-28price $359,000
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2013-03-17price $399,000
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2013-02-09price $449,000
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2013-01-27$475,000 Active
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2004-10-28soldstatus $471,000
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2004-10-27soldstatus $471,000
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2004-08-05$475,000
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2001-11-20soldstatus $169,954
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1984-02-13soldstatus $99,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,763 · $564/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,212 · $601/mo
- Expected delta
- +$449/yr (+$37/mo · 6.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 29 unhealthy d/yr today · 35 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $107,640
- − Mortgage interest
- −$53,159
- − Property taxes
- −$6,763
- − Insurance
- −$4,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,611
- − Management
- −$8,611
- − Depreciation
- −$27,607
- Taxable loss
- −$1,857
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$446
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,253/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Redlands Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0632070
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,959
- Composite
- 46.88/100
- National rank
- #5185
- State rank
- #390 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Bernardino
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #661
- US rank
- #20479
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Bernardino, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 255,614
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,325
- Household income
- $68,333
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 873.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 61% Asian 17% Two or more races 12% White 11% Black 8% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 49%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 43% English-only · Spanish 40% Tagalog/Filipino 5% Other Asian/Pacific 4%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.86%
- Current HPI
- 418.5453
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+858.6% since first listed36 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-11 Listed $949,000 CRMLS
- 2025-11-06 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-01-04 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-01-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-09-13 Listed $995,000 CRMLS
- 2024-09-02 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-06-24 Price Changed $1,190,000 CRMLS
- 2024-04-22 Listed $1,350,000 CRMLS
- 2016-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
- 2016-04-27 Sold (MLS) $450,000 SDMLS
- 2016-04-27 Sold (MLS) $450,000 CRMLS
- 2016-04-10 Pending — CRMLS
- 2015-11-05 Listed $450,000 CRMLS
- 2015-11-04 Listed $450,000 SDMLS
- 2015-10-13 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2015-10-13 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2015-09-07 Price Changed $465,000 CRMLS
- 2015-07-30 Listed $480,000 CRMLS
- 2015-07-29 Listed $465,000 SDMLS
- 2014-04-27 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2013-11-19 Price Changed $385,000 CRMLS
- 2013-10-28 Price Changed $395,000 CRMLS
- 2013-09-21 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2013-09-21 Price Changed $405,000 CRMLS
- 2013-08-24 Pending — CRMLS
- 2013-06-09 Listed $390,000 CRMLS
- 2013-04-23 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2013-03-28 Price Changed $359,000 CRMLS
- 2013-03-17 Price Changed $399,000 CRMLS
- 2013-02-09 Price Changed $449,000 CRMLS
- 2013-01-27 Listed $475,000 CRMLS
- 2004-10-28 Sold (MLS) $471,000 CRMLS
- 2004-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $471,000 Public Records
- 2004-08-05 Listed $475,000 CRMLS
- 2001-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $169,954 Public Records
- 1984-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $6,763 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…