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223 W Locust St
D+ Composite 45.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,000

223 W Locust St · Canton, IL 61520
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,324 sqft · Other public records · 215 Days on market
Built 1911 7,840 sqft lot $48/sqft · 24% below area Est $97k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

For Sale: Fixer-Upper in Canton! Don't miss out on this opportunity to transform a charming property into your dream home or investment! Address: 223 W Locust Bedrooms: 3 Bathrooms: 2 Square Footage: 1516 sqft This home is brimming with potential and just needs a little TLC to shine! Perfect for a savvy fixer and flipper or anyone looking for a project home. Priced to sell FAST! Contact Us for More Info: Jon Olson: [email protected] | 727-263-3034 Cash Buyers only $500 EMD 7 day inspection 30 day close

Key facts

  • 7,840 sq ft lot
  • Built 1911
  • Listed 215 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $64k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-331/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $59k (7.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($698 rent vs $64k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 7.8% in Canton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#318 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Canton Union SD 66 (town): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #417 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Westview Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 398 students, 0% FRL); Ingersoll Middle School (math 18% / reading 24%, grade F, #405 of 665 statewide, top 61%, 645 students, 0% FRL); Canton High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 641 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $442 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $64k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $56,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
5.78%
Cash-on-cash
-1.85%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$96,754
List price
$64,000
Delta
-33.85%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.2%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-12,033
Equity at exit
$9,543
10-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-12,356
Equity at exit
$5,534

Cash invested: $17,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61520

Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$698 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$336
Tax from tax record
$217 /mo · $2,601/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$147
Net cashflow
$-28

Break-even live

Break-even rent $733
Max offer price $59,128
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $9 -5% $-9 +0% $-28 +5% $-46 +10% $-64
Rent -10% $-83 -5% $-55 +0% $-28 +5% $0 +10% $28
Rate -1.0pp $5 -0.5pp $-11 base $-28 +0.5pp $-44 +1.0pp $-61

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,000
Closing costs
$1,920
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1100 W Locust St Unit 32 Canton, IL 3.0 2.0 952 $698 $0.73 16d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $64,000 Active 215 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $64,000 Active 214 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $64,000 Active 213 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,000 Active 211 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,000 Active 210 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,000 Active 209 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,000 Active 208 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,000 Active 206 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $64,000 Active 205 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,000 Active 202 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,000 Active 201 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,000 Active 200 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,000 Active 199 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $64,000 Active 196 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,000 Active 195 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,000 Active 194 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,000 Active 193 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,000 Active 192 DOM
  19. 2026-04-08
    historical
  20. 2026-03-02
    price
  21. 2026-02-11
    listed Active
  22. 2026-02-04
    price $64,000 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    For Sale: Fixer-Upper in Canton! Don't miss out on this opportunity to transform a charming property into your dream home or investment! Address: 223 W Locust Bedrooms: 3 Bathrooms: 2 Square Footage: 1516 sqft This home is brimming with potential and just needs a little TLC to shine! Perfect for a savvy fixer and flipper or anyone looking for a project home. Priced to sell FAST! Contact Us for More Info: Jon Olson: [email protected] | 727-263-3034 Cash Buyers only $500 EMD 7 day inspection 30 day close

  23. 2025-11-19
    listed $65,000 Active 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    For Sale: Fixer-Upper in Canton! Don't miss out on this opportunity to transform a charming property into your dream home or investment! Address: 223 W Locust Bedrooms: 3 Bathrooms: 2 Square Footage: 1516 sqft This home is brimming with potential and just needs a little TLC to shine! Perfect for a savvy fixer and flipper or anyone looking for a project home. Priced to sell FAST! Contact Us for More Info: Jon Olson: [email protected] | 727-263-3034 Cash Buyers only $500 EMD 7 day inspection 30 day close

  24. 2025-05-08
    historical $689
  25. 2025-05-01
    listed $689
  26. 2021-08-06
    historical
  27. 2021-04-16
    soldstatus $20,000
  28. 2021-02-02
    listed $29,900
  29. 2000-06-30
    soldstatus $48,000
  30. 2000-01-04
    listed $49,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,601 · $217/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,601 · $217/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,376
− Mortgage interest
−$3,585
− Property taxes
−$2,601
− Insurance
−$320
− Repairs & maintenance
−$670
− Management
−$670
− Depreciation
−$1,862
Taxable loss
−$1,331
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$320
After-tax cash flow
$-11/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canton Union SD 66
NCES district ID
1708280
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$42,657
Composite
18.03/100
National rank
#8980
State rank
#417 of 620 in IL

Livability — Canton

Score
72/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#6313

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Canton, IL
Population (ZIP)
16,098

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,356 people
By 2030
32,144 · -3.6%
By 2040
29,518 · -11.5%
By 2050
26,775 · -19.7%
By 2075
19,972 · -40.1%
By 2100
13,580 · -59.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.8) · D 37.1% · R 60.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-45.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.3pp · 2024: -23.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+15.1 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+21.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.00%
Current HPI
123.8086
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+28.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-11 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $64,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2025-11-19 Listed $65,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2025-05-08 Rental Removed $689 Hemlane
  • 2025-05-01 Listed for Rent $689 Hemlane
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-16 Sold (MLS) $20,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-02-02 Listed $29,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-06-30 Sold (MLS) $48,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-01-04 Listed $49,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,601 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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