388 N Perry St · Pontiac, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
An enduring presence at 388 N Perry ST, Pontiac, MI, USA, this single family residence, constructed in 1920, presents an exceptional opportunity for a new chapter, offering a foundation for a cherished existence. This home offers 3 bedroom, 2 full bath and partially finished basement. This property also includes two adjacent vacant lots, offering additional space and possibilities. Don't miss this opportunity to own a Fantastic home with extra land included and great location. BBATVAI. Basement appliances are excluded from the sale. Adjacent vacant lots: Parcel ID 1428108002 – Lot size: 54' x 116' Parcel ID 1428108004 – Lot size: 30' x 44'
Key facts
- Adjacent vacant lots
- Great location
- 6,970 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Ellwood & Belangers Add subdivision; Directions: North of University Dr, west of Paddock St, south of Chamberlain St, east of N Saginaw St
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Home warranty included
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.16 acre (45.75 x 150)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan cooling; no central air
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Ceiling fans
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $394 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 6.7% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 17 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.01%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $130,520
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- 1.90%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Lewis St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,614 (+4%) | 10mo | $62,500 | $39 | 72 |
| 54 Nelson St | 0.25mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,558 (+0%) | 12mo | $149,900 | $96 | 72 |
| 68 Kimball St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,564 (+0%) | 3mo | $141,000 | $90 | 60 |
| 320 Cesar E Chavez Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,530 (-2%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $111 | 59 |
| 103 N Roselawn St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,487 (-4%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $71 | 52 |
| 93 Poplar Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,344 (-14%) | 1mo | $191,500 | $142 | 48 |
| 73 Poplar Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 1,367 (-12%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $95 | 48 |
| 51 Forest St | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 | 1,361 (-12%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $99 | 42 |
| 55 N Roselawn Street St | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 1,400 (-10%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $129 | 39 |
| 53 N Roselawn St | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 1,400 (-10%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $129 | 39 |
| 107 Hamilton St | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,350 (-13%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $100 | 32 |
| 21 Bellevue St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-14%) | 12mo | $69,900 | $52 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $4,037
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $35,762
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48342
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,546 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,103/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $394
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 Oakhill St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,575 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 90 Marquette St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1886 | $1,800 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 264 Nelson St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1478 | $1,590 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 188 Vernon Dr Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 107 N Sanford St Pontiac, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1467 | $1,750 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 38 N Shirley St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $1,425 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 23 Henry Clay Ave Unit 1 Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 18d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 128 S Edith St Pontiac, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $1,700 | $1.47 | 17d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-19$129,900 Active 685-char remark
Show marketing remark (685 chars)
An enduring presence at 388 N Perry ST, Pontiac, MI, USA, this single family residence, constructed in 1920, presents an exceptional opportunity for a new chapter, offering a foundation for a cherished existence. This home offers 3 bedroom, 2 full bath and partially finished basement. This property also includes two adjacent vacant lots, offering additional space and possibilities. Don't miss this opportunity to own a Fantastic home with extra land included and great location. BBATVAI. Basement appliances are excluded from the sale. Adjacent vacant lots: Parcel ID 1428108002 – Lot size: 54' x 116' Parcel ID 1428108004 – Lot size: 30' x 44'
-
2026-05-19$129,900 Active 665-char remark
Show marketing remark (685 chars)
An enduring presence at 388 N Perry ST, Pontiac, MI, USA, this single family residence, constructed in 1920, presents an exceptional opportunity for a new chapter, offering a foundation for a cherished existence. This home offers 3 bedroom, 2 full bath and partially finished basement. This property also includes two adjacent vacant lots, offering additional space and possibilities. Don't miss this opportunity to own a Fantastic home with extra land included and great location. BBATVAI. Basement appliances are excluded from the sale. Adjacent vacant lots: Parcel ID 1428108002 – Lot size: 54' x 116' Parcel ID 1428108004 – Lot size: 30' x 44'
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2026-05-18historical
-
2026-05-15price $130,000
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2026-05-15price $130,000
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2026-05-06status Active
-
2026-05-05historical
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2026-04-16price $133,000
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2026-04-16price $133,000
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2026-04-07$134,999 Active
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2026-04-07$134,999 Active
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2026-04-06historical
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2026-03-31$135,000 Active
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2026-03-31$135,000 Active
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2026-03-24historical
-
2026-03-24historical
-
2026-03-03$149,000 Active
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2026-03-03$149,000 Active
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2026-03-03historical
-
2026-03-03historical
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2025-10-06price $149,900
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2025-10-06price $149,900
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2025-10-04status Active
-
2025-10-03historical
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2025-10-02price $150,000
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2025-10-02price $150,000
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2025-08-29$159,000 Active
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2025-08-29$159,000 Active
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2025-08-26historical
-
2024-10-30soldstatus $115,000
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2024-10-25soldstatus $115,000 Sold
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2024-10-25soldstatus $115,000 Closed
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2024-10-12status Pending
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2024-10-12status Pending
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2024-09-06$139,900 Active
-
2024-09-06$139,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,103 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,552 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$449/yr (+$37/mo · 40.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,553
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,103
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,484
- − Management
- −$1,484
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $2,777
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$667
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,064/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pontiac City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628740
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,888
- Composite
- 10.12/100
- National rank
- #9802
- State rank
- #514 of 540 in MI
Livability — Pontiac
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #14703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pontiac, MI
- City population
- 44,593
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,227
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 13% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.18%
- Current HPI
- 214.3258
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+173.5% since first listed43 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-19 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $130,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $133,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $133,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-07 Listed $134,999 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-07 Listed $134,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-03 Listed $149,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $149,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-06 Price Changed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-06 Price Changed $149,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-04 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-29 Listed $159,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-29 Listed $159,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-26 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2024-10-25 Sold (MLS) $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-25 Sold (MLS) $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-10-12 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-12 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-09-06 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-06 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $38,750 Public Records
- 2010-12-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-12-17 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-06-29 Listed $27,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-06-29 Listed $27,500 REALCOMP
- 2003-12-08 Sold (MLS) $42,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-11-18 Listed $47,500 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,103 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…