Duplex
13399 Davenport St · North Edwards, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$320,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Discover this rare cash-flowing quadraplex perfectly positioned in a high-demand rental market. Nestled in a low-density, suburban-rural mix neighborhood, this unique property offers tenants the peaceful, small-town vibe they crave, complete with plenty of open space and room to roam. The property serves as a highly desirable housing hub for personnel working at nearby Edwards Air Force Base, ensuring a steady stream of qualified, reliable tenants. Investors will love the low-vacancy risk and excellent rental history. Tenants will love the quiet community atmosphere, easy commutes, and wide-open skies. Whether you want to add a stable performer to your portfolio or execute a value-add strat
Key facts
- Low vacancy risk
- 0.23 acre lot
- Built 1964
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Price per unit listed at $150,000; Rents reported: $575, $700, $475 (individual unit rents shown); Gross rent multiplier: 11.49; Buyer to verify rent control
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity paid by tenants (individual); No master electric account; Gas paid by tenants; Water heater: some paid by landlord, some paid by tenant; Water paid by tenants
- Home design: Stucco construction; Shingle roof
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Approximately 20-year-old roof; Zoned R-3
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units; Two 1-bedroom units
- Bathrooms: Four 1-bath units
- Heating & cooling: Central air/evaporator; Wall furnace
- Interior features: Two-unit building
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $119/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $287k (10.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $287k (10.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#930 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Muroc Joint Unified (rural): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #340 of 517 in CA (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $35 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-2k appreciation (-0.7% local appreciation)).
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask is 7% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $191k; list at $320k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.86%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-4,403
- Equity at exit
- $82,179
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $46,285
- Equity at exit
- $90,574
Cash invested: $89,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93523
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 18.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,874 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,157/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$604
- Net cashflow
- $237
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $419 | -5% $328 | +0% $237 | +5% $147 | +10% $56 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $10 | -5% $124 | +0% $237 | +5% $351 | +10% $464 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $399 | -0.5pp $319 | base $237 | +0.5pp $154 | +1.0pp $70 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 1 | — | $2,874 |
| #1 | 1 | — | $1,437 |
| #2 | 1 | — | $1,437 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,874 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,000
- Closing costs
- $9,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $320,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $320,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $320,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $320,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $320,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $320,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $320,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $320,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $320,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $320,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $320,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $320,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $320,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $320,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $320,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-19$300,000 Active
-
2025-10-23historical
-
2025-09-25price $289,000
-
2025-04-22$299,000 Active
-
2011-09-20historical
-
2011-08-31$80,000
-
2005-12-20soldstatus $191,000
-
1995-01-04soldstatus $81,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,157 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,432 · $203/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,275/yr (+$106/mo · 110.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,488
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,925
- − Property taxes
- −$1,157
- − Insurance
- −$3,102
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,759
- − Management
- −$2,759
- − Depreciation
- −$9,309
- Taxable loss
- −$2,524
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$606
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,454/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muroc Joint Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0626490
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,457
- Composite
- 26.31/100
- National rank
- #7241
- State rank
- #340 of 517 in CA
Livability — North Edwards
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #930
- US rank
- #24267
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Edwards, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,681
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Two or more races 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.68%
- Current HPI
- 354.8553
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+295.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $320,000 AVMLS
- 2026-05-19 Listed $300,000 AVMLS
- 2025-10-23 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-09-25 Price Changed $289,000 CRMLS
- 2025-04-22 Listed $299,000 CRMLS
- 2011-09-20 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2011-08-31 Listed $80,000 AVMLS
- 2005-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $191,000 Public Records
- 1995-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,157 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…