CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
620 E Furlow St
D Composite 40.72
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$14,000

620 E Furlow St · Americus, GA 31709
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,424 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1942 0.25 ac lot ↓ 44% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Back on the market no fault to the seller. Investor special with serious potential! Located at 620 E Furlow St in the heart of Americus, this property is a true value-add opportunity perfect for a full rehab or tear-down and rebuild. Just minutes from downtown Americus, Georgia Southwestern State University, local shops, restaurants, and parks, with easy access to major roads. Whether you're looking to renovate, start fresh, or hold for future upside, this lot offers a solid footprint in an established area. Bring your vision and your crew, this one is all about the opportunity.

Key facts

  • Established area
  • Full rehab
  • Solid footprint

Tags

VALUE-ADD OPPORTUNITYFULL REHABTEAR-DOWN AND REBUILDSOLID FOOTPRINTESTABLISHED AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $14k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $889 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $14k).
  • Recommended offer: $13k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 82.5% vs local median 4.8% in Americus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#582 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Sumter County (rural): math 7% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #170 of 174 in GA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $97 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $420 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sumter County population projected at -38% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $13,160 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
9.16%
Cap rate
82.50%
Cash-on-cash
272.18%
DSCR
13.11
GRM
0.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$128,160
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
501 Varsity Dr 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,505 (+6%) 1mo $135,000 $90 82
726 Oglethorpe Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,488 (+4%) 8mo $52,000 $35 49
106 Cornelia Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,537 (+8%) 19mo $160,000 $104 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.88×
Total profit
$54,397
Equity at exit
$2,087
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
31.72×
Total profit
$120,435
Equity at exit
$1,210

Cash invested: $3,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31709

Home prices YoY
-26.8%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
0.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,283 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$73
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $540/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$889

Break-even live

Break-even rent $157
Max offer price $14,000
Occupancy floor 26%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $897 -5% $893 +0% $889 +5% $885 +10% $881
Rent -10% $788 -5% $838 +0% $889 +5% $940 +10% $990
Rate -1.0pp $896 -0.5pp $893 base $889 +0.5pp $886 +1.0pp $882

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,500
Closing costs
$420
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $14,000 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $14,000 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $14,000 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $14,000 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $14,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $14,000 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $14,000 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $14,000 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $14,000 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $14,000 Back On Market 52 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 585-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $14,000 Back On Market 51 DOM
  13. 2026-03-28
    status Under Contract
  14. 2026-03-03
    price $14,000
  15. 2026-02-23
    status Back On Market
  16. 2026-02-10
    status Under Contract
  17. 2026-02-09
    price $15,900
  18. 2026-01-24
    listed $19,900 New
  19. 2024-06-28
    historical
  20. 2024-06-28
    historical
  21. 2024-06-21
    listed $25,000 New
  22. 2024-06-21
    listed $25,000 Active
  23. 2024-06-13
    historical
  24. 2024-06-13
    historical
  25. 2024-06-11
    listed $25,000 Active
  26. 2024-06-11
    listed $25,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$540 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$540 · $45/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,394
− Mortgage interest
−$784
− Property taxes
−$540
− Insurance
−$70
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,231
− Management
−$1,231
− Depreciation
−$407
Taxable income
$11,129
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,671
After-tax cash flow
$7,999/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter County
NCES district ID
1304620
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$33,494
Composite
7.21/100
National rank
#9961
State rank
#170 of 174 in GA

Livability — Americus

Score
50/100
State rank
#582
US rank
#25593

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Americus, GA
Population (ZIP)
14,966

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,953 people
By 2030
24,861 · -7.8%
By 2040
20,500 · -23.9%
By 2050
16,694 · -38.1%
By 2075
9,901 · -63.3%
By 2100
5,570 · -79.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 40% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 48.7%
2008→2024 swing
-3.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: 2.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.2 2020: D+4.8 2016: D+2.2 2012: D+8.4 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.58%
Current HPI
154.3605
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-44.0% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-28 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $14,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $15,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-24 Listed $19,900 GAMLS
  • 2024-06-28 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2024-06-28 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2024-06-21 Listed $25,000 FMLS
  • 2024-06-21 Listed $25,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-06-13 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2024-06-13 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2024-06-11 Listed $25,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-06-11 Listed $25,000 FMLS

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $540 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…