4391 Taney St · Ross, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a quiet country-type atmosphere? This petite one bedroom could be for you! Situated on a spacious 90 ft lot in Calumet Township in need of T. L. C. ! Needs rehabber, furnace has been removed. Fannie Mae owned - sold as is.
Key facts
- Built 1943
- Listed 34 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $540 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($978 rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Lake Ridge New Tech Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #287 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 66.11%
- DSCR
- 3.94
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $90,909
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3132 W 45th Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+10%) | 13mo | $159,900 | $178 | 57 |
| 4380 Roosevelt Pl | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 714 (-13%) | 20mo | $79,000 | $111 | 37 |
| 4790 Roosevelt St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 920 (+12%) | 8mo | $67,000 | $73 | 35 |
| 4518 Arthur St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 897 (+10%) | 16mo | $49,500 | $55 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 65.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.93×
- Total profit
- $28,722
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- 69.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.07×
- Total profit
- $69,323
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46408
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $978 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $412/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $540
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $560 | -5% $550 | +0% $540 | +5% $530 | +10% $520 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $463 | -5% $501 | +0% $540 | +5% $578 | +10% $617 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $557 | -0.5pp $549 | base $540 | +0.5pp $531 | +1.0pp $522 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2410 W 45th Ave #2 Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2410 W 45th Ave Unit 1 Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $895 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1220 W 41st Ave Gary, IN | — | 1.0 | 650 | $695 | $1.07 | 11d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4170 Fillmore St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $950 | $1.32 | 20d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4040 Fillmore St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3777 Lincoln St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,150 | $1.44 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $35,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $35,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $35,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $35,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$35,000 Active
-
2004-02-02$11,900 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Looking for a quiet country-type atmosphere? This petite one bedroom could be for you! Situated on a spacious 90 ft lot in Calumet Township in need of T. L. C. ! Needs rehabber, furnace has been removed. Fannie Mae owned - sold as is.
-
2001-09-12historical
-
2001-06-11$42,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $412 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $412 · $34/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,731
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$412
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$939
- − Management
- −$939
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $6,289
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,509
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,969/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake Ridge New Tech Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1805460
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,568
- Composite
- 12.67/100
- National rank
- #9607
- State rank
- #287 of 301 in IN
Livability — Ross
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ross, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 15,571
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,747
- Household income
- $47,453
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 619.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 41% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.08%
- Current HPI
- 155.6238
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-18.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $35,000 FSBO.com
- 2004-02-02 Listed $11,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-09-12 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-06-11 Listed $42,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2024): $412 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…