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2045 Desoto St
B+ Composite 79.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$115,000

2045 Desoto St · Needles, CA 92363
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1971 7,500 sqft lot Est $173k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUD OWNED-SOLD AS-IS W/ O WARRANTY. SOLD BY ELECTRONIC BIDS ONLY. BROKERS USE HUD NAID NUMBER TO BID. BIDS DUE BY 01/27/04 11:59PM, OR DAILY THEREAFTER UNTIL SOLD. ACTIVE LIST DATE 12/12/03. FOR ADD'L INFO CALL LISTING OFFICE. FOR INFO RE:LEAD BASE PAINT NOTIFICATION, BIDDING & EARNEST MONEY PROCEDURES, & ANY KNOWN DEFECT CALL LISTING OFFICE. USE HUD KEY TO ACCESS OR CALL LISTING OFFICE TO OBTAIN KEY. SELLING COMM UP TO * 5%. ATTENTION SAN BERNARDINO BROKERS: BROKERS SHOULD ADVISE PURCHASERS THAT THE PROPERTIES MAY CONTAIN CODE AND/OR ZONING VIOLATIONS. CODE AND ZONING STATUS MUST BE DETERMINED BY THE PURCHASER

Key facts

  • 7,500 sq ft lot
  • Built 1971

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community amenities include watersports, golf course access, hiking, fishing, parks, dog park, biking, curbs, street lighting and hunting

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (concrete); Covered parking; Attached carport; Additional carport and boat parking
  • Security: No common walls (detached)
  • Utilities: Public/district water; Public sewer (sewer connected); Standard electric service; Natural gas available; Cable available; Telephone in street; Water connected
  • Home design: House (single-family); Single-story; Raised foundation; Entry at ground level; Has a view
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Raised foundation
  • Exterior features: Front and back yard; Covered concrete patio; Block wall and chain link fencing; No pool; Community fishing access/view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Water heater unit; Eating area
  • Bedrooms: 3 main level bedrooms (including primary bedroom)
  • Flooring: Laminated flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Shower-in-tub in at least one bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central furnace heating; Central and ductless cooling
  • Interior features: One-level home with no interior steps; Main floor primary bedroom; All bedrooms on main floor; Primary bathroom; Living room
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry with washer hookup; Gas and electric dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $495 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 5.1% in Needles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#492 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Needles Unified (town): math 22% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #1,194 of 1,400 in CA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Needles Middle (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #419 of 498 statewide, top 85%, 192 students, 80% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $115k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
11.46%
Cash-on-cash
18.46%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$172,800
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2025 Rio Vis 0.17mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (0%) 8mo $191,000 $159 81
1933 Rio 0.23mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,184 (-1%) 11mo $170,000 $144 68
1920 Flora 0.28mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,184 (-1%) 10mo $150,000 $127 68
2032 Luna 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (0%) 19mo $172,500 $144 68
2004 Cortez St 0.15mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,104 (-8%) 14mo $155,000 $140 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$37,339
Equity at exit
$43,164
10-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
4.08×
Total profit
$99,240
Equity at exit
$60,512

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92363

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,514 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $599/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$495

Break-even live

Break-even rent $887
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $561 -5% $528 +0% $495 +5% $463 +10% $430
Rent -10% $376 -5% $436 +0% $495 +5% $555 +10% $615
Rate -1.0pp $553 -0.5pp $525 base $495 +0.5pp $466 +1.0pp $435

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1929 Flora Vis Needles, CA 3.0 1.0 1184 $1,700 $1.44 14d 1 0.25mi
1514 4th St Unit 1514 Needles, CA 3.0 1.0 968 $1,375 $1.42 14d 1 0.95mi
804 Valley Ave Needles, CA 3.0 1.0 840 $1,300 $1.55 14d 1 1.05mi
512 E St Needles, CA 3.0 1.0 895 $1,300 $1.45 14d 1 1.07mi
503 California Ave Needles, CA 3.0 2.0 1428 $1,500 $1.05 14d 1 1.15mi
316 Cibola St Unit Frt Needles, CA 3.0 2.0 1270 $1,300 $1.02 22d 1 1.41mi
316 Bazoobuth St Needles, CA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 14d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    listed $115,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$599 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$874 · $73/mo
Expected delta
+$275/yr (+$23/mo · 46.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥116°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,171
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$599
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,454
− Management
−$1,454
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$4,303
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,033
After-tax cash flow
$4,912/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Needles Unified
NCES district ID
0626760
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$31,795
Composite
23.35/100
National rank
#13305
State rank
#1194 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Needles

Score
62/100
State rank
#492
US rank
#16661

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Needles, CA
Population (ZIP)
5,392

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 16% Native American 11% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.64%
Current HPI
279.7931
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+155.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $115,000 CRMLS
  • 2014-07-29 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2014-01-31 Listed $45,000 CRMLS
  • 2004-04-02 Sold (MLS) $50,000 CRMLS
  • 1998-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
  • 1983-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1981-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $599 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…