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439 Ward Ave
B Composite 71.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.7/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

439 Ward Ave · San Antonio, TX 78223
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1949 5,662 sqft lot Est $200k · 50% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This ranch style home offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathrooms in a straightforward floor plan. The property provides practical living space for residents or first-time buyers seeking a solid foundation in San Antonio. The interior layout centers on essential living areas with direct connections between main spaces. Bedrooms are positioned for privacy while maintaining convenient access to the full bathrooms. The home's design prioritizes functional room placement and efficient use of available square footage. Outside, the property features a private fenced backyard, offering secure outdoor space for recreation, gardening, or relaxation. The fenced perimeter provides privacy and containment for ho

Key facts

  • Secure outdoor space
  • 5,662 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

PRIVATE FENCED BACKYARDSECURE OUTDOOR SPACEFUNCTIONAL ROOM PLACEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession at closing/funding; For sale
  • Financial info: Not a down payment resource participant

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: City water; Saws water supplier; CPS gas supplier; CPS electricity supplier
  • Home design: Siding exterior; Pre-owned (approx. 77 years old)
  • Construction: Slab foundation; Heavy composition roof
  • Exterior features: Chain link fence; Corner lot; City street access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (10 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom located on lower level; Additional bedroom (11 x 12)
  • Flooring: Saltillo tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heat; Other heating (see remarks)
  • Interior features: One living area; Separate dining room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $310 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Eloise Japhet Academy (math 9% / reading 18%, grade F, #4,138 of 4,322 statewide, top 96%, 770 students, 92% FRL); Brackenridge H S (math 12% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,436 of 1,632 statewide, top 88%, 1,568 students, 88% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 325 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
10.02%
Cash-on-cash
13.30%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$199,680
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
398 Fairview Ave 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+5%) 5mo $109,000 $81 73
314 Haggin 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,227 (-4%) 6mo $172,900 $141 68
230 Glenwood 0.49mi 2/1.0 1,212 (-5%) 4mo $225,000 $186 65
131 Imogene Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,286 (+0%) 4mo $175,000 $136 58
118 Stratford Ct 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,223 (-4%) 4mo $300,000 $245 54
126 Stratford 0.65mi 2/2.0 1,354 (+6%) 3mo $75,000 $55 54
1434 Hicks Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,340 (+5%) 0mo $150,000 $112 53
430 Merry Ann 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,431 (+12%) 2mo $255,000 $178 48
1118 Mckinley 0.57mi 2/2.0 1,401 (+10%) 7mo $218,000 $156 48
134 Arlington Ct 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,162 (-9%) 4mo $238,000 $205 44
934 Schley 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,124 (-12%) 3mo $99,900 $89 41
211 Bailey Ave 0.75mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,454 (+14%) 6mo $379,000 $261 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-538
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$9,150
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78223

Home prices YoY
-16.4%
Rents YoY
-3.4%
Active inventory
325
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,432 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$256 /mo · $3,071/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$310

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,040
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $367 -5% $338 +0% $310 +5% $282 +10% $253
Rent -10% $197 -5% $253 +0% $310 +5% $367 +10% $423
Rate -1.0pp $360 -0.5pp $335 base $310 +0.5pp $284 +1.0pp $258

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
534 Chicago Blvd Unit NA San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,550 $1.24 18d 1 0.12mi
534 Chicago Blvd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,550 $1.24 20d 1 0.12mi
134 Lilla Jean Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1349 $1,595 $1.18 24d 1 0.16mi
518 Topeka Blvd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1135 $1,375 $1.21 24d 1 0.18mi
704 Fair Ave Unit 200 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.5 1600 $1,200 $0.75 24d 1 0.23mi
232 Regina St Unit 1 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 1085 $1,399 $1.29 3d 1 0.36mi
134 Ward Ave San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 1063 $1,150 $1.08 44d 1 0.40mi
125 Ada St Unit 1 San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1563 $1,295 $0.83 44d 1 0.42mi
123 Fairview Ave #3 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1776 $1,800 $1.01 44d 1 0.43mi
1510 Steves Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1330 $1,800 $1.35 24d 1 0.47mi
1528 Steves Ave Unit 1 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 940 $1,025 $1.09 44d 1 0.48mi
510 Vanderbilt St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 1208 $1,150 $0.95 44d 1 0.51mi
1039 McKinley Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 3.0 1650 $2,300 $1.39 2d 1 0.57mi
1131 McKinley Ave San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 5d 1 0.58mi
414 Stanfield Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,300 $1.04 44d 1 0.63mi
515 Stratford Ct Unit NA San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 895 $1,550 $1.73 44d 1 0.67mi
454 Bailey Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1674 $1,495 $0.89 44d 1 0.73mi
142 Avant Ave #1 San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1314 $1,495 $1.14 18d 1 0.75mi
220 Hansford St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1269 $1,600 $1.26 4d 1 0.77mi
1444 McKinley Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1618 $2,500 $1.55 24d 1 0.78mi
331 Avant Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,825 $1.52 24d 1 0.79mi
523 Bailey Ave San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 24d 1 0.79mi
517 Hicks Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,700 $1.12 44d 1 0.82mi
510 Avant Ave San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 956 $700 $0.73 3d 1 0.82mi
1914 S Pine St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 1025 $1,250 $1.22 44d 1 0.88mi
927 VFW Blvd Unit 710 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 921 $932 $1.01 17d 1 0.93mi
927 Vfw Blvd San Antonio, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 937 $1,090 $1.16 4d 28 0.95mi
1124 Vanderbilt St San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1095 $1,350 $1.23 44d 1 0.95mi
439 Dunning Ave San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,500 $1.43 5d 1 0.95mi
508 Kayton Ave San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 1058 $1,200 $1.13 17d 1 0.97mi
312 Avondale Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 3.0 1757 $2,000 $1.14 17d 1 0.97mi
2914 Roosevelt Ave San Antonio, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 868 $1,271 $1.46 44d 1 0.98mi
1627 Schley Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1408 $1,650 $1.17 24d 1 0.99mi
2219 S New Braunfels Ave San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 952 $1,050 $1.10 24d 1 1.02mi
534 Rigsby Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1438 $1,950 $1.36 24d 1 1.05mi
636 Rigsby Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1327 $1,595 $1.20 44d 1 1.10mi
1811 McKinley Ave San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 1248 $975 $0.78 2d 1 1.14mi
1811 McKinley Ave San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1248 $975 $0.78 3d 1 1.14mi
311 Glamis Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,295 $1.18 4d 1 1.15mi
311 Glamis Ave Unit 2 San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 44d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 New 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 New 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 New 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 New 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $99,900 New 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,071 · $256/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,071 · $256/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,187
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$3,071
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,375
− Management
−$1,375
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$2,364
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$567
After-tax cash flow
$3,153/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Antonio ISD
NCES district ID
4838730
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$30,952
Composite
13.57/100
National rank
#9512
State rank
#805 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
58,983
Household income
$52,088
Rent vs Own
42.4% rent · 57.6% own
Severe rent burden
2809.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 76% Two or more races 28% White 16% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 67%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 36%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.06%
Current HPI
265.2235
Rent YoY
▼ -3.36%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $99,900 LERA
  • 2000-11-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,071 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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