439 Ward Ave · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This ranch style home offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathrooms in a straightforward floor plan. The property provides practical living space for residents or first-time buyers seeking a solid foundation in San Antonio. The interior layout centers on essential living areas with direct connections between main spaces. Bedrooms are positioned for privacy while maintaining convenient access to the full bathrooms. The home's design prioritizes functional room placement and efficient use of available square footage. Outside, the property features a private fenced backyard, offering secure outdoor space for recreation, gardening, or relaxation. The fenced perimeter provides privacy and containment for ho
Key facts
- Secure outdoor space
- 5,662 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing/funding; For sale
- Financial info: Not a down payment resource participant
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: City water; Saws water supplier; CPS gas supplier; CPS electricity supplier
- Home design: Siding exterior; Pre-owned (approx. 77 years old)
- Construction: Slab foundation; Heavy composition roof
- Exterior features: Chain link fence; Corner lot; City street access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (10 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom located on lower level; Additional bedroom (11 x 12)
- Flooring: Saltillo tile flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heat; Other heating (see remarks)
- Interior features: One living area; Separate dining room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $310 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Eloise Japhet Academy (math 9% / reading 18%, grade F, #4,138 of 4,322 statewide, top 96%, 770 students, 92% FRL); Brackenridge H S (math 12% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,436 of 1,632 statewide, top 88%, 1,568 students, 88% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 325 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.30%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $199,680
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 398 Fairview Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+5%) | 5mo | $109,000 | $81 | 73 |
| 314 Haggin | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,227 (-4%) | 6mo | $172,900 | $141 | 68 |
| 230 Glenwood | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 1,212 (-5%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $186 | 65 |
| 131 Imogene Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,286 (+0%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $136 | 58 |
| 118 Stratford Ct | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,223 (-4%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $245 | 54 |
| 126 Stratford | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,354 (+6%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $55 | 54 |
| 1434 Hicks Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,340 (+5%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $112 | 53 |
| 430 Merry Ann | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,431 (+12%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $178 | 48 |
| 1118 Mckinley | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,401 (+10%) | 7mo | $218,000 | $156 | 48 |
| 134 Arlington Ct | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,162 (-9%) | 4mo | $238,000 | $205 | 44 |
| 934 Schley | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,124 (-12%) | 3mo | $99,900 | $89 | 41 |
| 211 Bailey Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,454 (+14%) | 6mo | $379,000 | $261 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-538
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $9,150
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78223
- Home prices YoY
- -16.4%
- Rents YoY
- -3.4%
- Active inventory
- 325
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,432 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$256 /mo · $3,071/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $310
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $367 | -5% $338 | +0% $310 | +5% $282 | +10% $253 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $197 | -5% $253 | +0% $310 | +5% $367 | +10% $423 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $360 | -0.5pp $335 | base $310 | +0.5pp $284 | +1.0pp $258 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 534 Chicago Blvd Unit NA San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,550 | $1.24 | 18d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 534 Chicago Blvd San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,550 | $1.24 | 20d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 134 Lilla Jean Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $1,595 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 518 Topeka Blvd San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1135 | $1,375 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 704 Fair Ave Unit 200 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,200 | $0.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 232 Regina St Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,399 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 134 Ward Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1063 | $1,150 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 125 Ada St Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1563 | $1,295 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 123 Fairview Ave #3 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1776 | $1,800 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1510 Steves Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $1,800 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1528 Steves Ave Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,025 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 510 Vanderbilt St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $1,150 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1039 McKinley Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1650 | $2,300 | $1.39 | 2d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1131 McKinley Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 5d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 414 Stanfield Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 515 Stratford Ct Unit NA San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,550 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 454 Bailey Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1674 | $1,495 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 142 Avant Ave #1 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1314 | $1,495 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 220 Hansford St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $1,600 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1444 McKinley Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $2,500 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 331 Avant Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,825 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 523 Bailey Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 517 Hicks Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $1,700 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 510 Avant Ave San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $700 | $0.73 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1914 S Pine St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,250 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 927 VFW Blvd Unit 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $932 | $1.01 | 17d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 927 Vfw Blvd San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 937 | $1,090 | $1.16 | 4d | 28 | 0.95mi |
| 1124 Vanderbilt St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 439 Dunning Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 508 Kayton Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 312 Avondale Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1757 | $2,000 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2914 Roosevelt Ave San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 868 | $1,271 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1627 Schley Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1408 | $1,650 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2219 S New Braunfels Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $1,050 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 534 Rigsby Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $1,950 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 636 Rigsby Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1327 | $1,595 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1811 McKinley Ave San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $975 | $0.78 | 2d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1811 McKinley Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $975 | $0.78 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 311 Glamis Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 311 Glamis Ave Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 New 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 New 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 New 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 New 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$99,900 New 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,071 · $256/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,071 · $256/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,187
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$3,071
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,375
- − Management
- −$1,375
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $2,364
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$567
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,153/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838730
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,952
- Composite
- 13.57/100
- National rank
- #9512
- State rank
- #805 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,983
- Household income
- $52,088
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2809.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 76% Two or more races 28% White 16% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 67%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 36%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.06%
- Current HPI
- 265.2235
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.36%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $99,900 LERA
- 2000-11-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,071 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…