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18458 Heyden St
C+ Composite 61.97
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

18458 Heyden St · Detroit, MI 48219
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 975 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1955 4,356 sqft lot Est $72k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bedroom, 1-1/2 bathroom brick ranch offers an incredible opportunity to own a home in City of Detroit at a below-market price. The structure is sound, the lot is generous, and the location is convenient. With some vision and elbow grease, this could be a charming starter home or a solid rental property. Perfect for someone looking to build equity through sweat equity. Bring your contractor and your imagination! This one won't last long.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1955
  • Listed 44 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $444 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $85k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $82,353 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
12.56%
Cash-on-cash
22.39%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$72,150
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18555 Edinborough Rd 0.31mi 3/1.0 950 (-3%) 2mo $70,000 $74 79
18418 Heyden St 0.04mi 2/1.0 (-1) 865 (-11%) 3mo $17,000 $20 72
19145 Fielding St 0.40mi 3/1.5 924 (-5%) 1mo $98,000 $106 70
17511 Westmoreland Rd 0.44mi 3/2.0 939 (-4%) 1mo $100,000 $106 68
18424 Fielding St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+13%) 3mo $40,000 $36 68
18452 Shaftsbury Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 927 (-5%) 4mo $55,000 $59 65
19352 Margareta St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,060 (+9%) 3mo $105,000 $99 64
18631 Margareta St 0.74mi 3/1.0 950 (-3%) 0mo $62,000 $65 61
18924 Bentler St 0.66mi 3/1.0 920 (-6%) 3mo $74,900 $81 57
18925 Bentler St 0.68mi 3/2.0 937 (-4%) 1mo $79,900 $85 57
18801 Margareta St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,045 (+7%) 3mo $60,000 $57 52
19333 Grandville Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 851 (-13%) 3mo $45,000 $53 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
1.90×
Total profit
$21,308
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
32.0%
Equity multiple
4.62×
Total profit
$85,937
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
305
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,287 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,111/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$444

Break-even live

Break-even rent $726
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18461 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 5d 1 0.05mi
18556 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 952 $1,250 $1.31 3d 1 0.14mi
18191 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 917 $1,100 $1.20 24d 1 0.15mi
18134 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,150 $1.08 17d 1 0.20mi
18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 17d 1 0.20mi
18205 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 901 $1,078 $1.20 24d 1 0.21mi
18450 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 44d 1 0.30mi
18452 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,500 $1.62 17d 1 0.49mi
18659 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 763 $1,373 $1.80 13d 1 0.49mi
18437 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 875 $1,364 $1.56 15d 1 0.50mi
18699 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 44d 1 0.50mi
19176 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 941 $1,300 $1.38 5d 1 0.58mi
19457 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 44d 1 0.62mi
17721 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1040 $1,125 $1.08 24d 1 0.62mi
17654 Sunderland Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 44d 1 0.67mi
19372 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 733 $1,050 $1.43 15d 1 0.69mi
21434 Karl St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 44d 1 0.72mi
21455 Pickford St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 44d 1 0.74mi
18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 728 $1,250 $1.72 24d 1 0.74mi
21451 Glenco St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,400 $1.36 17d 1 0.78mi
19329 Stahelin Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 833 $1,250 $1.50 44d 1 0.79mi
21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1037 $1,394 $1.34 17d 1 0.80mi
19781 Fielding St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,294 $1.29 5d 1 0.80mi
17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $838 $1.20 24d 2 0.83mi
17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 44d 2 0.83mi
17270 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 44d 1 0.83mi
17274 Bentler St #46 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 17d 1 0.84mi
19445 Avon Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,550 $1.52 44d 1 0.92mi
16717 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1101 $1,250 $1.14 44d 1 1.02mi
18494 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 17d 1 1.02mi
21422 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,695 $1.70 17d 1 1.09mi
16194 Fielding St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 15d 1 1.10mi
20011 Avon Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 5d 1 1.17mi
20271 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,550 $1.53 24d 1 1.19mi
16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 44d 1 1.28mi
20068 Faust Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 24d 1 1.30mi
18276 Oakfield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,175 $1.62 44d 1 1.30mi
22570 Seven Mile W Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 890 $875 $0.98 44d 1 1.34mi
19928 Houghton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 880 $1,495 $1.70 11d 1 1.35mi
19970 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 44d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-02-27
    status Pending 447-char remark
    Show marketing remark (447 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-1/2 bathroom brick ranch offers an incredible opportunity to own a home in City of Detroit at a below-market price. The structure is sound, the lot is generous, and the location is convenient. With some vision and elbow grease, this could be a charming starter home or a solid rental property. Perfect for someone looking to build equity through sweat equity. Bring your contractor and your imagination! This one won't last long.

  2. 2026-02-27
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (447 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-1/2 bathroom brick ranch offers an incredible opportunity to own a home in City of Detroit at a below-market price. The structure is sound, the lot is generous, and the location is convenient. With some vision and elbow grease, this could be a charming starter home or a solid rental property. Perfect for someone looking to build equity through sweat equity. Bring your contractor and your imagination! This one won't last long.

  3. 2026-02-05
    price $84,900 447-char remark
    Show marketing remark (447 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-1/2 bathroom brick ranch offers an incredible opportunity to own a home in City of Detroit at a below-market price. The structure is sound, the lot is generous, and the location is convenient. With some vision and elbow grease, this could be a charming starter home or a solid rental property. Perfect for someone looking to build equity through sweat equity. Bring your contractor and your imagination! This one won't last long.

  4. 2026-02-04
    price $84,900
  5. 2026-01-20
    price $95,000 447-char remark
    Show marketing remark (447 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-1/2 bathroom brick ranch offers an incredible opportunity to own a home in City of Detroit at a below-market price. The structure is sound, the lot is generous, and the location is convenient. With some vision and elbow grease, this could be a charming starter home or a solid rental property. Perfect for someone looking to build equity through sweat equity. Bring your contractor and your imagination! This one won't last long.

  6. 2026-01-19
    price $95,000
  7. 2026-01-14
    listed $105,000 Active 447-char remark
    Show marketing remark (447 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-1/2 bathroom brick ranch offers an incredible opportunity to own a home in City of Detroit at a below-market price. The structure is sound, the lot is generous, and the location is convenient. With some vision and elbow grease, this could be a charming starter home or a solid rental property. Perfect for someone looking to build equity through sweat equity. Bring your contractor and your imagination! This one won't last long.

  8. 2026-01-14
    listed $105,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (447 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-1/2 bathroom brick ranch offers an incredible opportunity to own a home in City of Detroit at a below-market price. The structure is sound, the lot is generous, and the location is convenient. With some vision and elbow grease, this could be a charming starter home or a solid rental property. Perfect for someone looking to build equity through sweat equity. Bring your contractor and your imagination! This one won't last long.

  9. 2019-06-09
    historical
  10. 2019-06-09
    historical
  11. 2019-05-04
    listed $34,900 Active
  12. 2019-05-04
    listed $34,900 Active
  13. 2008-07-26
    historical
  14. 2008-04-15
    listed $11,500
  15. 2006-01-16
    soldstatus $38,125
  16. 2005-06-17
    listed $38,000
  17. 1997-08-18
    soldstatus $55,000
  18. 1997-08-18
    soldstatus $24,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,111 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,209 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$98/yr (+$8/mo · 8.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,445
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$1,111
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,236
− Management
−$1,236
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$4,213
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,011
After-tax cash flow
$4,312/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+54.4% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-27 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $84,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Price Changed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-06-09 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-06-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-05-04 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-05-04 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
  • 2008-07-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-04-15 Listed $11,500 REALCOMP
  • 2006-01-16 Sold (MLS) $38,125 REALCOMP
  • 2005-06-17 Listed $38,000 REALCOMP
  • 1997-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
  • 1997-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,111 · -53.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…