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54 Dart St 🏷️ Likely Rental
A Composite 85.8
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0

$139,000

54 Dart St · Buffalo, NY 14213
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,520 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1890 Est $242k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

?? 54 Dart Street & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; Buffalo, NY 14213 Two-Unit Multifamily | 7 Bedrooms | Fully Occupied | Off-Street Parking ?? Investor Opportunity in Buffalo & acirc; & euro; & trade; s West Side! ?? Welcome to 54 Dart Street, a fully occupied two-family home generating immediate rental income in one of Buffalo & acirc; & euro; & trade; s consistently strong rental corridors. ?? Property Breakdown: Lower Unit: 4 Bedrooms & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; Currently Rented at $1,000/month Upper Unit: 3 Bedrooms & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; Currently Rented at $1,150/month Total Monthly Rent: $2,150 Annual Gross Income: $25,

Key facts

  • Two-unit multifamily
  • Large backyard
  • Fully occupied

Tags

TWO-UNIT MULTIFAMILYFULLY OCCUPIEDOFF-STREET PARKINGLARGE BACKYARDSEPARATE LIVING SPACESSTRONG RENTAL DEMAND AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1890
  • Construction: Original construction from 1890
  • Exterior features: Located in the Forest subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $139,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$241,920) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×4bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive. Per door: $991/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $139k).
  • Cap rate 23.4% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,553/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 1501% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($961 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $139,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.56%
Cap rate
23.41%
Cash-on-cash
61.14%
DSCR
3.72
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$241,920
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
414 Hoyt St 0.33mi 5/2.0 2,640 (+5%) 6mo $209,900 $80 71
81 East St 0.51mi 5/2.0 2,469 (-2%) 5mo $170,000 $69 69
88 Pooley Pl 0.17mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,288 (-9%) 7mo $270,000 $118 66
343 Baynes St 0.48mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,464 (-2%) 10mo $400,000 $162 61
315 Herkimer St 0.54mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,303 (-9%) 2mo $148,000 $64 54
433 Parkdale Ave 0.29mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,200 (-13%) 9mo $280,000 $127 53
448 W Delavan Ave 0.66mi 4/4.5 (-1) 2,477 (-2%) 3mo $488,750 $197 49
215 Baynes St 0.65mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,660 (+6%) 8mo $255,000 $96 48
289 Hoyt St 0.50mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,232 (-11%) 8mo $270,000 $121 46
1130 West Ave 0.62mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,715 (+8%) 8mo $235,000 $87 43
238 Barton St 0.71mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,246 (-11%) 2mo $195,000 $87 42
330 Potomac Ave 0.42mi 6/4.0 (+1) 2,896 (+15%) 6mo $263,000 $91 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.51% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
68.1%
Equity multiple
5.34×
Total profit
$168,802
Equity at exit
$101,021
10-year hold
IRR
62.8%
Equity multiple
10.68×
Total profit
$376,753
Equity at exit
$196,309

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14213

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Rents YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,553 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $446/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$746
Net cashflow
$1,983

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,043
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 39%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 4 1 $1,906
1× unit 3 1 $1,648
Total (2 units) $3,553

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
836 Richmond Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 3.5 1982 $4,500 $2.27 43d 1 0.58mi
11 Hoyt St Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 2848 $1,775 $0.62 14d 1 0.95mi
664 Auburn Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.5 3500 $5,000 $1.43 43d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    remarks 639-char remark
  5. 2026-06-10
    listed $139,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$446 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,397 · $116/mo
Expected delta
+$952/yr (+$79/mo · 213.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,636
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$446
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,411
− Management
−$3,411
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$22,844
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,482
After-tax cash flow
$18,312/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,107
Household income
$53,870
Rent vs Own
60.5% rent · 39.5% own
Severe rent burden
1501.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 18% Asian 12% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
16% · Philippines, Canada, India
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Arabic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.51%
Current HPI
448.4879
Rent YoY
▼ -0.49%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $139,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+14.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $446 · +165.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…