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102 Abilene St
B- Composite 69.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

102 Abilene St · Fritch, TX 79036
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,302 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1955 7,200 sqft lot $50/sqft · 61% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

What a charmer! Great home for a great price, located outside of Fritch city limits, this home features 3 graciously sized bedrooms, 2 living areas, and 1 bath. Newer roof, CHA & septic! Don't miss out on this awesome deal, schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Quiet street
  • Fenced back yard
  • Dead end street

Tags

LARGE BACKYARD FENCEQUIET STREET2 LIVING AREASFENCED BACK YARDOPEN VIEWS OVER FIELDDEAD END STREET

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Faces south
  • Construction: Metal siding and frame construction
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 120

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#329 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Sanford-Fritch ISD (town): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #417 of 826 in TX (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Hutchinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,050 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.77%
Cap rate
13.27%
Cash-on-cash
24.92%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$164,754
List price
$65,000
Delta
-60.55%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$13,611
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
3.37×
Total profit
$43,130
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79036

Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,151 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$163 /mo · $1,960/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$378

Break-even live

Break-even rent $673
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $415 -5% $396 +0% $378 +5% $360 +10% $341
Rent -10% $287 -5% $333 +0% $378 +5% $423 +10% $469
Rate -1.0pp $411 -0.5pp $395 base $378 +0.5pp $361 +1.0pp $344

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    price $65,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,000 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,000 Active 18 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,000 Active 17 DOM
  18. 2026-05-13
    listed $79,000 Active 379-char remark
  19. 2021-10-31
    listed $99,900
  20. 2021-03-10
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    What a charmer! Great home for a great price, located outside of Fritch city limits, this home features 3 graciously sized bedrooms, 2 living areas, and 1 bath. Newer roof, CHA & septic! Don't miss out on this awesome deal, schedule your showing today!

  21. 2021-03-10
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    What a charmer! Great home for a great price, located outside of Fritch city limits, this home features 3 graciously sized bedrooms, 2 living areas, and 1 bath. Newer roof, CHA & septic! Don't miss out on this awesome deal, schedule your showing today!

  22. 2020-10-10
    listed $86,000
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    What a charmer! Great home for a great price, located outside of Fritch city limits, this home features 3 graciously sized bedrooms, 2 living areas, and 1 bath. Newer roof, CHA & septic! Don't miss out on this awesome deal, schedule your showing today!

  23. 2016-05-25
    soldstatus
  24. 2016-05-24
    soldstatus
  25. 2016-03-10
    listed $54,900
  26. 1995-02-08
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,960 · $163/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,960 · $163/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,812
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,960
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,105
− Management
−$1,105
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$3,785
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$908
After-tax cash flow
$3,628/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sanford-Fritch ISD
NCES district ID
4839150
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$49,570
Composite
34.01/100
National rank
#5314
State rank
#417 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fritch

Score
71/100
State rank
#329
US rank
#7215

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,957

Population outlook (Hutchinson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,274 people
By 2030
21,089 · -0.9%
By 2040
20,938 · -1.6%
By 2050
20,999 · -1.3%
By 2075
21,433 · +0.7%
By 2100
21,243 · -0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Hutchinson

2024 margin
Solid R (+77.2) · D 11.1% · R 88.2%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -68.9pp · 2024: -77.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+77.2 2020: R+76.6 2016: R+76.1 2012: R+72.7 2008: R+68.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.35%
Current HPI
148.285
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $65,000 AARMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $79,000 AARMLS
  • 2021-10-31 Listed $99,900 AARMLS
  • 2021-03-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-03-10 Sold (MLS) AARMLS
  • 2020-10-10 Listed $86,000 AARMLS
  • 2016-05-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-05-24 Sold (MLS) AARMLS
  • 2016-03-10 Listed $54,900 AARMLS
  • 1995-02-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+11.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,960 · +33.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…