102 Masonic Dr · Elgin, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This oversized R-3-zoned lot spans more than 14,000 sq ft—nearly twice the size of nearby parcels—and is approved for single-family, duplex, or manufactured home development within Elgin city limits. Situated on a quiet cul-de-sac just minutes from downtown Elgin, 102 Masonic Drive offers an exceptional opportunity for investors, builders, or homeowners seeking flexibility and location. City water and sewer are already in place, and the property sits high and dry in Flood Zone X, safely outside the 100- and 500-year floodplains. The existing 1945 structure can be removed or incorporated into a new build, offering multiple paths for redevelopment. With no HOA and duplex construction allowed by right, the property provides immediate potential for rental income, resale, or infill development. Elgin has quickly become a key player in Bastrop County’s transformation—one of Central Texas’s most dynamic growth corridors. Supported by major investments from Starlink, The Boring Company, and X, plus expanding manufacturing anchors such as Carr Lane Manufacturing and Yerico Industries, the region is attracting billions in new development. Nearby projects like Silo Ranch and Epitome at Elgin are bringing new housing, retail, and industrial space, while the county’s $43 million broadband initiative and designation as a Texas Media Production Zone are fueling long-term innovation and job creation. Combining small-town charm with direct access to US-290 and SH-130, Elgin delivers strong connectivity and steady population growth—making this property an ideal platform for investors to build now and benefit from the city’s accelerating momentum.
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- R-3-zoned lot
- City water and sewer
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $206 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.4% in Elgin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#167 in TX, #4,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Elgin ISD (rural): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #741 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 807 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,841 units permitted in Bastrop County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Bastrop County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 237 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 237 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.53%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $206,342
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -34.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 S Avenue C | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 836 (+6%) | 10mo | $199,000 | $238 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $86,963
- Equity at exit
- $121,619
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.52×
- Total profit
- $246,488
- Equity at exit
- $262,275
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78621
- Home prices YoY
- 7.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 807
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,680 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$357 /mo · $4,285/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $206
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 Hall St Unit A Elgin, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,195 | $1.31 | 1d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 200 Maple Ln Elgin, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 891 | $1,400 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 110 S Main St #206 Elgin, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,500 | $2.11 | 12d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 110 S Main St #104 Elgin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $1,700 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 805 Lexington Rd Unit A Elgin, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 889 | $1,400 | $1.57 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 805 Lexington Rd Unit B Elgin, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 889 | $1,350 | $1.52 | 1d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 817 Lloyd Ln Unit A Elgin, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 838 | $1,260 | $1.50 | 1d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 220 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 219 DOM
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2026-03-10price $135,000 1704-char remark
Show marketing remark (1704 chars)
This oversized R-3-zoned lot spans more than 14,000 sq ft—nearly twice the size of nearby parcels—and is approved for single-family, duplex, or manufactured home development within Elgin city limits. Situated on a quiet cul-de-sac just minutes from downtown Elgin, 102 Masonic Drive offers an exceptional opportunity for investors, builders, or homeowners seeking flexibility and location. City water and sewer are already in place, and the property sits high and dry in Flood Zone X, safely outside the 100- and 500-year floodplains. The existing 1945 structure can be removed or incorporated into a new build, offering multiple paths for redevelopment. With no HOA and duplex construction allowed by right, the property provides immediate potential for rental income, resale, or infill development. Elgin has quickly become a key player in Bastrop County’s transformation—one of Central Texas’s most dynamic growth corridors. Supported by major investments from Starlink, The Boring Company, and X, plus expanding manufacturing anchors such as Carr Lane Manufacturing and Yerico Industries, the region is attracting billions in new development. Nearby projects like Silo Ranch and Epitome at Elgin are bringing new housing, retail, and industrial space, while the county’s $43 million broadband initiative and designation as a Texas Media Production Zone are fueling long-term innovation and job creation. Combining small-town charm with direct access to US-290 and SH-130, Elgin delivers strong connectivity and steady population growth—making this property an ideal platform for investors to build now and benefit from the city’s accelerating momentum.
-
2026-03-10price $135,000 1704-char remark
Show marketing remark (1704 chars)
This oversized R-3-zoned lot spans more than 14,000 sq ft—nearly twice the size of nearby parcels—and is approved for single-family, duplex, or manufactured home development within Elgin city limits. Situated on a quiet cul-de-sac just minutes from downtown Elgin, 102 Masonic Drive offers an exceptional opportunity for investors, builders, or homeowners seeking flexibility and location. City water and sewer are already in place, and the property sits high and dry in Flood Zone X, safely outside the 100- and 500-year floodplains. The existing 1945 structure can be removed or incorporated into a new build, offering multiple paths for redevelopment. With no HOA and duplex construction allowed by right, the property provides immediate potential for rental income, resale, or infill development. Elgin has quickly become a key player in Bastrop County’s transformation—one of Central Texas’s most dynamic growth corridors. Supported by major investments from Starlink, The Boring Company, and X, plus expanding manufacturing anchors such as Carr Lane Manufacturing and Yerico Industries, the region is attracting billions in new development. Nearby projects like Silo Ranch and Epitome at Elgin are bringing new housing, retail, and industrial space, while the county’s $43 million broadband initiative and designation as a Texas Media Production Zone are fueling long-term innovation and job creation. Combining small-town charm with direct access to US-290 and SH-130, Elgin delivers strong connectivity and steady population growth—making this property an ideal platform for investors to build now and benefit from the city’s accelerating momentum.
-
2025-10-24$140,000 Active 1704-char remark
Show marketing remark (1704 chars)
This oversized R-3-zoned lot spans more than 14,000 sq ft—nearly twice the size of nearby parcels—and is approved for single-family, duplex, or manufactured home development within Elgin city limits. Situated on a quiet cul-de-sac just minutes from downtown Elgin, 102 Masonic Drive offers an exceptional opportunity for investors, builders, or homeowners seeking flexibility and location. City water and sewer are already in place, and the property sits high and dry in Flood Zone X, safely outside the 100- and 500-year floodplains. The existing 1945 structure can be removed or incorporated into a new build, offering multiple paths for redevelopment. With no HOA and duplex construction allowed by right, the property provides immediate potential for rental income, resale, or infill development. Elgin has quickly become a key player in Bastrop County’s transformation—one of Central Texas’s most dynamic growth corridors. Supported by major investments from Starlink, The Boring Company, and X, plus expanding manufacturing anchors such as Carr Lane Manufacturing and Yerico Industries, the region is attracting billions in new development. Nearby projects like Silo Ranch and Epitome at Elgin are bringing new housing, retail, and industrial space, while the county’s $43 million broadband initiative and designation as a Texas Media Production Zone are fueling long-term innovation and job creation. Combining small-town charm with direct access to US-290 and SH-130, Elgin delivers strong connectivity and steady population growth—making this property an ideal platform for investors to build now and benefit from the city’s accelerating momentum.
-
2025-10-24$140,000 Active 1704-char remark
Show marketing remark (1704 chars)
This oversized R-3-zoned lot spans more than 14,000 sq ft—nearly twice the size of nearby parcels—and is approved for single-family, duplex, or manufactured home development within Elgin city limits. Situated on a quiet cul-de-sac just minutes from downtown Elgin, 102 Masonic Drive offers an exceptional opportunity for investors, builders, or homeowners seeking flexibility and location. City water and sewer are already in place, and the property sits high and dry in Flood Zone X, safely outside the 100- and 500-year floodplains. The existing 1945 structure can be removed or incorporated into a new build, offering multiple paths for redevelopment. With no HOA and duplex construction allowed by right, the property provides immediate potential for rental income, resale, or infill development. Elgin has quickly become a key player in Bastrop County’s transformation—one of Central Texas’s most dynamic growth corridors. Supported by major investments from Starlink, The Boring Company, and X, plus expanding manufacturing anchors such as Carr Lane Manufacturing and Yerico Industries, the region is attracting billions in new development. Nearby projects like Silo Ranch and Epitome at Elgin are bringing new housing, retail, and industrial space, while the county’s $43 million broadband initiative and designation as a Texas Media Production Zone are fueling long-term innovation and job creation. Combining small-town charm with direct access to US-290 and SH-130, Elgin delivers strong connectivity and steady population growth—making this property an ideal platform for investors to build now and benefit from the city’s accelerating momentum.
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2025-09-11price
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2025-09-11price
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2025-09-10price
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2025-09-10price
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2025-08-27price
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2025-08-26Active
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2025-07-09price
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2025-04-15price
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2025-03-12Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,285 · $357/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,285 · $357/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,155
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$4,285
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,612
- − Management
- −$1,612
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $481
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$115
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,352/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elgin ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818360
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,176
- Composite
- 19.62/100
- National rank
- #8749
- State rank
- #741 of 826 in TX
Livability — Elgin
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #4404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elgin, TX
- County
- Bastrop County · 68,601 people
- City population
- 27,860
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,411
- Household income
- $98,534
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 235.0
Population outlook (Bastrop County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 94,260 people
- By 2030
- 101,355 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 115,578 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 129,464 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 168,068 · +78.3%
- By 2100
- 194,857 · +106.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 38% Two or more races 19% Black 11% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 36%
Political lean MEDSL · Bastrop
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.4) · D 40.2% · R 58.6% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.2pp · 2024: -18.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.4 2020: R+13.8 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+8.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 29.47%
- Current HPI
- 416.87
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.12%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-3.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $135,000 Unlock MLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $135,000 Unlock MLS
- 2025-10-24 Listed $140,000 Unlock MLS
- 2025-10-24 Listed $140,000 Unlock MLS
- 2025-09-11 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2025-09-11 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2025-08-26 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2025-07-09 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2025-04-15 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2025-03-12 Listed — Unlock MLS
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,285 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…