1020 Sunset Strip St · Excelsior Springs, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
House has been vacant for years , in need of a complete rehab , selling as is including content
Key facts
- 0.35 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1964
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 1,698; Above-grade finished area reported as 1,198 (public records); Below-grade finished area reported as 500 (agent); Directions: 69 north to Jesse James, west to Sunset Strip, home on left
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Front-facing attached garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential; Split-entry design
- Construction: Metal siding; Composition roof; Built approximately 51–75 years ago
- Exterior features: Not in a flood plain; Lot about 15,246 square feet
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (has central cooling)
- Interior features: Finished basement; Split-entry floor plan
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 4.6% in Excelsior Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#228 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities F.
- Excelsior Springs 40 (town): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #225 of 324 in MO (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.79%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $218,228
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 824 Rowell Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+0%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $175 | 78 |
| 1210 Michele Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,212 (-1%) | 13mo | $229,900 | $190 | 72 |
| 902 Ley Cir | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (+6%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $165 | 57 |
| 344 Clark Rd | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,241 (+1%) | 10mo | $140,000 | $113 | 56 |
| 203 Sherri Ln | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,342 (+10%) | 15mo | $269,900 | $201 | 52 |
| 331 Persimmon Dr | 0.46mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,184 (-3%) | 17mo | $225,000 | $190 | 52 |
| 100 Sherri Ln | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,337 (+9%) | 8mo | $249,900 | $187 | 52 |
| 810 Rowell Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+14%) | 14mo | $249,900 | $178 | 47 |
| 209 Augustus Dr | 0.60mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,247 (+2%) | 21mo | $229,000 | $184 | 45 |
| 934 Williams St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $112 | 42 |
| 302 Milwaukee St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (+13%) | 17mo | $190,000 | $138 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $13,242
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $49,556
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64024
- Home prices YoY
- -15.3%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,493 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,821/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $462
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 Tiger Dr Excelsior Springs, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 1d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 410 N Titus Ave Excelsior Springs, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,476 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 317 Woods St Excelsior Springs, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,350 | $1.53 | 1d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1406 Magnolia W Excelsior Springs, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 21d | 2 | 1.14mi |
| 139 S Maple St Excelsior Springs, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $1,650 | $1.11 | 1d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-27$100,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,821 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,821 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,917
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,821
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,433
- − Management
- −$1,433
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $4,219
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,013
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,528/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Excelsior Springs 40
- NCES district ID
- 2911650
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,747
- Composite
- 29.32/100
- National rank
- #6548
- State rank
- #225 of 324 in MO
Livability — Excelsior Springs
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #228
- US rank
- #11166
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Excelsior Springs, MO
- County
- Clay County · 220,651 people
- City population
- 15,574
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,574
- Household income
- $77,895
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 329.0
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 266,022 people
- By 2030
- 280,057 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 306,153 · +15.1%
- By 2050
- 328,630 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 375,182 · +41.0%
- By 2100
- 392,861 · +47.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.6) · D 46.4% · R 52.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.6 2020: R+4.1 2016: R+11.1 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.83%
- Current HPI
- 302.9184
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $100,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,821 · -4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…