5075 Central Ave · De Leon Springs, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
What a great, unique opportunity to own a flat, totally dry, buildable lot with living quarters already on the site. This sale includes the personal property jewel, a highly sought-after collectable vintage 1955 “Flat-Side” VAGABOND trailer made by the Vagabond company of New Hudson, Michigan. This property has a livable outbuilding in addition to the manufactured home, making it both rentable and a mid-century eclectic abode. The lot is fenced and not restricted by any association rules, so the owner can live freely. Should you wish to build additional dwellings, the infrastructure is already in place. Deep water well, septic system, and electric service exist and are ready for construction. If you have a desire to explore your imagination, don’t miss this opportunity to create your dream and own a piece of history while living in the urban/rural setting of historic Old Florida DeLeon Springs.
Key facts
- Deep water well
- Electric service
- Buildable lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $488 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#656 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $130k implies a 688% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.08%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $9,979
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $48,591
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32130
- Home prices YoY
- -11.2%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $957/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $488
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 Valley Dr De Leon Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $130,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-03-24$155,000 Active 966-char remark
Show marketing remark (966 chars)
What a great, unique opportunity to own a flat, totally dry, buildable lot with living quarters already on the site. This sale includes the personal property jewel, a highly sought-after collectable vintage 1955 “Flat-Side” VAGABOND trailer made by the Vagabond company of New Hudson, Michigan. This property has a livable outbuilding in addition to the manufactured home, making it both rentable and a mid-century eclectic abode. The lot is fenced and not restricted by any association rules, so the owner can live freely. Should you wish to build additional dwellings, the infrastructure is already in place. Deep water well, septic system, and electric service exist and are ready for construction. If you have a desire to explore your imagination, don’t miss this opportunity to create your dream and own a piece of history while living in the urban/rural setting of historic Old Florida DeLeon Springs.
-
2005-09-23historical
-
2005-09-15$99,000
-
1996-12-11soldstatus $16,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $957 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,079 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$122/yr (+$10/mo · 12.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$957
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,584
- − Management
- −$1,584
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $3,961
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$951
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,903/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Volusia
- NCES district ID
- 1201920
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,946
- Composite
- 39.2/100
- National rank
- #4019
- State rank
- #47 of 73 in FL
Livability — De Leon Springs
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #656
- US rank
- #13100
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- De Leon Springs, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,672
Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 572,749 people
- By 2030
- 598,695 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 644,880 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 681,451 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 759,957 · +32.7%
- By 2100
- 778,902 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Volusia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.21%
- Current HPI
- 348.7721
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+839.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Listed $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-23 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-15 Listed $99,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $957 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…