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78-01 95th Avenue Ave Duplex
C- Composite 50.03
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$729,000

78-01 95th Avenue Ave · New York, NY 11416
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,920 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 270 Days on market
Built 1915 2,000 sqft lot Est $908k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

2 Family house, in poor condition , Short sale, 5 bed rooms, LR, DR, only 1 Kitchen on 1st floor, no kitchen on 2nd fl. Basement in a terrible state, subject to asbestos, mold , damage walls etc. FHA Clause : "Seller may cancel this agreement prior to the ending date of the listing period without advance notice to the broker/agent and any other consideration if the property is conveyed to the mortgage insurer or the mortgage holder. "

Key facts

  • 2,000 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1915

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage; No carport
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available and connected
  • Home design: Duplex
  • Construction: Aluminum siding construction
  • Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Not waterfront; No additional parcels

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One 4-bedroom unit
  • Flooring: Combination flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Partially finished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $729k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($764/yr) — positive. Per door: $32/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $608k (16.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $608k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 270 days — a 12% lower offer ($642k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 39% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $535k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $607,500 (16.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 270 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.40%
Cash-on-cash
0.37%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$908,160
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
106-35 79th St 0.47mi 4/2.0 1,932 (+1%) 1mo $960,000 $497 76
9406 76th St 0.13mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,814 (-6%) 4mo $875,000 $482 72
80-60 90 Ave 0.34mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,848 (-4%) 2mo $875,000 $473 72
105-18 77th St 0.33mi 4/2.0 1,720 (-10%) 5mo $710,000 $413 63
9117 78th St 0.18mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,696 (-12%) 5mo $945,000 $557 63
85 Autumn Ave 0.63mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,904 (-1%) 4mo $725,000 $381 61
12 Danforth St 0.64mi 4/2.0 1,980 (+3%) 5mo $800,000 $404 61
89-10 91 Ave 0.53mi 4/2.0 2,080 (+8%) 4mo $990,000 $476 58
197 Nichols Ave 0.44mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,160 (+12%) 4mo $995,000 $461 46
88 Nichols Ave 0.57mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,720 (-10%) 7mo $960,000 $558 45
132 Euclid Ave 0.75mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,080 (+8%) 6mo $860,000 $413 41
8615 75th St 0.59mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,160 (+12%) 5mo $955,000 $442 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-114,166
Equity at exit
$108,696
10-year hold
IRR
-7.3%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-94,572
Equity at exit
$63,031

Cash invested: $204,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11416

Active inventory
55
Price-to-rent
20.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,075 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,823
Tax from tax record
$609 /mo · $7,306/yr
Insurance
$304
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,276
Net cashflow
$64

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,994
Max offer price $729,000
Occupancy floor 94%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $6,075

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$182,250
Closing costs
$21,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10124 78th St Ozone Park, NY 3.0 1.0 2299 $3,500 $1.52 24d 1 0.24mi
8836 77th St Woodhaven, NY 4.0 2.0 1500 $4,200 $2.80 24d 1 0.42mi
8812 86th St Woodhaven, NY 3.0 2.0 2200 $3,000 $1.36 14d 1 0.54mi
13214 81st St Ozone Park, NY 3.0 1.0 1280 $4,100 $3.20 11d 1 0.64mi
132-13 81st St #1 Jamaica, NY 3.0 1.0 1280 $4,100 $3.20 2d 1 0.65mi
88-16 Jamaica Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY 4.0 1.0 2280 $2,600 $1.14 24d 1 0.71mi
10541 90th St Ozone Park, NY 3.0 2.0 1264 $4,111 $3.25 24d 1 0.74mi
9309 103rd Ave Ozone Park, NY 3.0 1.5 1892 $3,000 $1.59 24d 1 0.77mi
10144 98th St Ozone Park, NY 3.0 1.0 2112 $3,450 $1.63 24d 1 0.95mi
14912 83rd St Howard Beach, NY 3.0 2.0 1250 $3,200 $2.56 24d 1 1.09mi
9210 104th St Richmond Hill, NY 4.0 2.0 2240 $3,600 $1.61 3d 1 1.16mi
8231 Woodhaven Blvd Glendale, NY 4.0 1.0 2000 $3,800 $1.90 24d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $729,000 Active 270 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $729,000 Active 269 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $729,000 Active 267 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $729,000 Active 265 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $729,000 Active 261 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $729,000 Active 260 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $729,000 Active 255 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $729,000 Active 253 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $729,000 Active 252 DOM
  10. 2026-03-12
    price $729,000
  11. 2026-01-09
    price $605,000
  12. 2026-01-09
    price $600,000
  13. 2025-09-15
    listed $525,000 Active
  14. 2020-03-27
    status Pending
  15. 2018-12-11
    status Under Contract
  16. 2018-12-10
    historical
  17. 2018-10-01
    listed $739,000 New
  18. 2009-07-16
    soldstatus $535,000
  19. 1993-01-11
    soldstatus $185,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,306 · $609/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,813 · $818/mo
Expected delta
+$2,507/yr (+$209/mo · 34.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$72,900
− Mortgage interest
−$40,835
− Property taxes
−$7,306
− Insurance
−$3,645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,832
− Management
−$5,832
− Depreciation
−$21,207
Taxable loss
−$11,758
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,822
After-tax cash flow
$3,586/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
City population
7,731,280
Population (ZIP)
26,660

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 43% Asian 33% Two or more races 17% White 12% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 11%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
54% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
35% English-only · Spanish 37% Other Indo-European 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -185.71%
Current HPI
274.1375
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+294.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $729,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $605,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $600,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-15 Listed $525,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-27 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-11 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-10 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-01 Listed $739,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $535,000 Public Records
  • 1993-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,306 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…