45315 Kensington St · Utica, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CASH ONLY - Exquisitely renovated townhome in the highly desirable Village Square Co-op. This owner-occupied community requires share purchase -- no mortgages, no rentals -- offering a sense of stability and pride of ownership. Featuring brand-new high-end LVP flooring throughout, a sleek epoxy-finished basement with additional flex room, newer roof, and newer windows -- this home is completely turnkey. Enjoy the park-like setting surrounded by large mature trees with dedicated kids' play areas in a safe, welcoming neighborhood. The $610/month HOA includes gas, water, heat, lawn care, snow removal, and trash -- an exceptional value that makes budgeting effortless
Key facts
- Renovated townhome
- $610 HOA
- Built 1970
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fee of $610 (includes water, trash, snow removal, lawn/yard care, and heat)
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Residential condominium; Built in 1970
- Construction: Brick, shingle siding, and vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level (11 x 13); Second bedroom on main level (10 x 12)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Living room (approximately 12 x 14); Kitchen (approximately 12 x 15); Primary bedroom (approximately 11 x 13); Second bedroom (approximately 10 x 12); Full basement (other type)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $105k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $67 ($808/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.6% in Utica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#106 in MI, #2,586 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, employment D.
- Utica Community Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #126 of 540 in MI (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 101 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.75%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.4% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-11,606
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $16
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48317
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 101
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,776 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$610
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $67
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11650 Weingartz W Utica, MI | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1497 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 11699 Weingartz W Utica, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1761 | $2,400 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 45631 Harry St Utica, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $1,295 | $1.70 | 5d | 5 | 0.67mi |
| 45845 Brownell St Unit 1f Utica, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 13367 Forest Ridge Blvd #7 Sterling Heights, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,700 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 14196 Lakeside Blvd N Shelby Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,645 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $610 · $7,320/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashgaslandscapingsnow removal
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-17status $105,000 Pending 30 DOM
Show marketing remark (671 chars)
CASH ONLY - Exquisitely renovated townhome in the highly desirable Village Square Co-op. This owner-occupied community requires share purchase -- no mortgages, no rentals -- offering a sense of stability and pride of ownership. Featuring brand-new high-end LVP flooring throughout, a sleek epoxy-finished basement with additional flex room, newer roof, and newer windows -- this home is completely turnkey. Enjoy the park-like setting surrounded by large mature trees with dedicated kids' play areas in a safe, welcoming neighborhood. The $610/month HOA includes gas, water, heat, lawn care, snow removal, and trash -- an exceptional value that makes budgeting effortless
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 30 DOM
Show marketing remark (671 chars)
CASH ONLY - Exquisitely renovated townhome in the highly desirable Village Square Co-op. This owner-occupied community requires share purchase -- no mortgages, no rentals -- offering a sense of stability and pride of ownership. Featuring brand-new high-end LVP flooring throughout, a sleek epoxy-finished basement with additional flex room, newer roof, and newer windows -- this home is completely turnkey. Enjoy the park-like setting surrounded by large mature trees with dedicated kids' play areas in a safe, welcoming neighborhood. The $610/month HOA includes gas, water, heat, lawn care, snow removal, and trash -- an exceptional value that makes budgeting effortless
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $105,000 Active 21 DOM
Show marketing remark (671 chars)
CASH ONLY - Exquisitely renovated townhome in the highly desirable Village Square Co-op. This owner-occupied community requires share purchase -- no mortgages, no rentals -- offering a sense of stability and pride of ownership. Featuring brand-new high-end LVP flooring throughout, a sleek epoxy-finished basement with additional flex room, newer roof, and newer windows -- this home is completely turnkey. Enjoy the park-like setting surrounded by large mature trees with dedicated kids' play areas in a safe, welcoming neighborhood. The $610/month HOA includes gas, water, heat, lawn care, snow removal, and trash -- an exceptional value that makes budgeting effortless
-
2026-06-07days on market $112,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $112,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $112,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $112,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $112,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $112,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$112,000 Active 665-char remark
Show marketing remark (671 chars)
CASH ONLY - Exquisitely renovated townhome in the highly desirable Village Square Co-op. This owner-occupied community requires share purchase -- no mortgages, no rentals -- offering a sense of stability and pride of ownership. Featuring brand-new high-end LVP flooring throughout, a sleek epoxy-finished basement with additional flex room, newer roof, and newer windows -- this home is completely turnkey. Enjoy the park-like setting surrounded by large mature trees with dedicated kids' play areas in a safe, welcoming neighborhood. The $610/month HOA includes gas, water, heat, lawn care, snow removal, and trash -- an exceptional value that makes budgeting effortless
-
2026-05-18$112,000 Active 665-char remark
Show marketing remark (671 chars)
CASH ONLY - Exquisitely renovated townhome in the highly desirable Village Square Co-op. This owner-occupied community requires share purchase -- no mortgages, no rentals -- offering a sense of stability and pride of ownership. Featuring brand-new high-end LVP flooring throughout, a sleek epoxy-finished basement with additional flex room, newer roof, and newer windows -- this home is completely turnkey. Enjoy the park-like setting surrounded by large mature trees with dedicated kids' play areas in a safe, welcoming neighborhood. The $610/month HOA includes gas, water, heat, lawn care, snow removal, and trash -- an exceptional value that makes budgeting effortless
-
2026-05-18$112,000 Active
Show marketing remark (671 chars)
CASH ONLY - Exquisitely renovated townhome in the highly desirable Village Square Co-op. This owner-occupied community requires share purchase -- no mortgages, no rentals -- offering a sense of stability and pride of ownership. Featuring brand-new high-end LVP flooring throughout, a sleek epoxy-finished basement with additional flex room, newer roof, and newer windows -- this home is completely turnkey. Enjoy the park-like setting surrounded by large mature trees with dedicated kids' play areas in a safe, welcoming neighborhood. The $610/month HOA includes gas, water, heat, lawn care, snow removal, and trash -- an exceptional value that makes budgeting effortless
-
2026-05-12$112,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,311
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,705
- − Management
- −$1,705
- − HOA
- −$7,320
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable loss
- −$455
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$109
- After-tax cash flow
- $917/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This exquisitely renovated townhome in Village Square Co-op is move-in ready with fresh paint and landscaping, making it an excellent investment.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace outdoor lighting — Modern lighting improves safety and enhances curb appeal
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase property value and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace outdoor lighting — Modern lighting improves safety and enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase property value and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Utica Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2634470
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,953
- Composite
- 40.52/100
- National rank
- #3709
- State rank
- #126 of 540 in MI
Livability — Utica
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #106
- US rank
- #2586
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Utica, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,565
- Household income
- $72,917
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1531.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Arabic 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -279.31%
- Current HPI
- 195.6447
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.40%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-6.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-17 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-17 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $105,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $112,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $112,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $112,000 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…