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205 W Short St
D Composite 41.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.4/10.0

$199,000

205 W Short St · Cole Camp, MO 65325
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,366 sqft · Other public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1900 0.31 ac lot ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fall in love with this charming 5-bedroom, 2-bath home that blends timeless character with everyday comfort! From the moment you arrive, the welcoming covered front porch sets the tone. Inside, beautiful hardwood floors lead you through a spacious living area that flows seamlessly into a bright sunroom—an ideal spot to unwind or enjoy your morning coffee. The dining room is filled with natural light and features built-in bench seating, creating a warm and inviting space for meals and gatherings. The kitchen offers generous cabinet storage, ample workspace, and select appliances for added convenience. Upstairs, you’ll find three bedrooms, including a private primary suite with an updated en-suite bath, along with a flexible landing area perfect for a reading corner or play space. The main level offers two additional bedrooms and a full bath, providing plenty of room for family or guests. With newer windows, an updated HVAC system, a detached garage, and off-street parking, this home offers both comfort and peace of mind. Schedule your showing today and see all it has to offer!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Ample workspace
  • Bright sunroom

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHHARDWOOD FLOORSBRIGHT SUNROOMBUILT-IN BENCH SEATINGGENEROUS CABINET STORAGEAMPLE WORKSPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-202 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (17.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (36.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (36.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#123 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cole Camp R-I (rural): math 49% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #61 of 324 in MO (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Benton County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $126,600 (36.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.64%
Cap rate
5.07%
Cash-on-cash
-4.35%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
13.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
2.71×
Total profit
$95,422
Equity at exit
$179,275
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
6.22×
Total profit
$290,952
Equity at exit
$386,613

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65325

Home prices YoY
14.5%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
13.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,266 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $909/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$-202

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,522
Max offer price $163,301
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-89 -5% $-146 +0% $-202 +5% $-258 +10% $-315
Rent -10% $-302 -5% $-252 +0% $-202 +5% $-152 +10% $-102
Rate -1.0pp $-102 -0.5pp $-151 base $-202 +0.5pp $-254 +1.0pp $-306

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $199,000 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,000 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,000 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $199,000 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,000 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,000 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,000 Active 58 DOM
  17. 2026-04-02
    listed $199,000 Active 1104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1104 chars)

    Fall in love with this charming 5-bedroom, 2-bath home that blends timeless character with everyday comfort! From the moment you arrive, the welcoming covered front porch sets the tone. Inside, beautiful hardwood floors lead you through a spacious living area that flows seamlessly into a bright sunroom—an ideal spot to unwind or enjoy your morning coffee. The dining room is filled with natural light and features built-in bench seating, creating a warm and inviting space for meals and gatherings. The kitchen offers generous cabinet storage, ample workspace, and select appliances for added convenience. Upstairs, you’ll find three bedrooms, including a private primary suite with an updated en-suite bath, along with a flexible landing area perfect for a reading corner or play space. The main level offers two additional bedrooms and a full bath, providing plenty of room for family or guests. With newer windows, an updated HVAC system, a detached garage, and off-street parking, this home offers both comfort and peace of mind. Schedule your showing today and see all it has to offer!

  18. 2025-10-17
    status Pending
  19. 2025-07-29
    listed $210,000 Active
  20. 1989-12-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$909 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,930 · $161/mo
Expected delta
+$1,022/yr (+$85/mo · 112.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,192
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$909
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,215
− Management
−$1,215
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$6,079
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,459
After-tax cash flow
$-966/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cole Camp R-I
NCES district ID
2909900
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$37,598
Composite
40.78/100
National rank
#3641
State rank
#61 of 324 in MO

Livability — Cole Camp

Score
70/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#7335

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cole Camp, MO
Population (ZIP)
3,134

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,355 people
By 2030
16,513 · -4.9%
By 2040
14,898 · -14.2%
By 2050
13,662 · -21.3%
By 2075
11,308 · -34.8%
By 2100
8,755 · -49.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.1) · D 20.1% · R 79.2%
2008→2024 swing
-36.8pp toward R · 2008: -22.3pp · 2024: -59.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.1 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+54.1 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+22.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 30.98%
Current HPI
244.3929
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $199,000 WCAR
  • 2025-10-17 Pending WCAR
  • 2025-07-29 Listed $210,000 WCAR
  • 1989-12-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $909 · +15.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…