140 Phipps Dr · Rutledge, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.8/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is an Investor special or a first time home that is budget friendly! Rare opportunity! Discover the charm and character of this traditional-style home nestled in the peaceful countryside of Washburn, TN. This investor special offers incredible potential with 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a layout full of opportunity. The home features a metal roof, appealing exterior siding, and appealing painted foundation block that enhances its classic look. Inside, you'll find LVP flooring, standard rooms, and year-round mountain views that add to the property's appeal. The home is being sold AS-IS, and the seller is in the process of removing items left behind by previous tenants. A storage shed on the property provides additional space for tools, equipment, or hobby use. Whether you're looking to renovate, flip, or create a cozy country retreat, this property offers a solid foundation in a beautiful rural setting. Bring your vision and make this home shine again.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Storage shed
- 0.76 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (15.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $102k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 1.9% in Rutledge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#281 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Grainger County (rural): math 15% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #123 of 139 in TN (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 74 units permitted in Grainger County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Grainger County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $120k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.52%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $266,523
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -55.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $71,511
- Equity at exit
- $108,015
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.12×
- Total profit
- $205,540
- Equity at exit
- $232,939
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37888
- Home prices YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,020 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $341/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $98
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $119,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $119,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $129,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-15$129,900 Active 972-char remark
Show marketing remark (972 chars)
This is an Investor special or a first time home that is budget friendly! Rare opportunity! Discover the charm and character of this traditional-style home nestled in the peaceful countryside of Washburn, TN. This investor special offers incredible potential with 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a layout full of opportunity. The home features a metal roof, appealing exterior siding, and appealing painted foundation block that enhances its classic look. Inside, you'll find LVP flooring, standard rooms, and year-round mountain views that add to the property's appeal. The home is being sold AS-IS, and the seller is in the process of removing items left behind by previous tenants. A storage shed on the property provides additional space for tools, equipment, or hobby use. Whether you're looking to renovate, flip, or create a cozy country retreat, this property offers a solid foundation in a beautiful rural setting. Bring your vision and make this home shine again.
-
2020-12-22soldstatus $58,500
-
2018-02-12soldstatus $39,000 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This cozy 3br rancher has a lot to offer. Features 2 covered porches, handicap accessible, country setting, mountain view & tons more. Would make a great investment property. TLC needed but has great potential.
-
2018-02-12soldstatus $39,000
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This cozy 3br rancher has a lot to offer. Features 2 covered porches, handicap accessible, country setting, mountain view & tons more. Would make a great investment property. TLC needed but has great potential.
-
2018-01-04$45,900 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This cozy 3br rancher has a lot to offer. Features 2 covered porches, handicap accessible, country setting, mountain view & tons more. Would make a great investment property. TLC needed but has great potential.
-
2018-01-04$45,900
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This cozy 3br rancher has a lot to offer. Features 2 covered porches, handicap accessible, country setting, mountain view & tons more. Would make a great investment property. TLC needed but has great potential.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $341 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $851 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- +$510/yr (+$43/mo · 149.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,237
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$341
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$979
- − Management
- −$979
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable loss
- −$866
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$208
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grainger County
- NCES district ID
- 4701440
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,163
- Composite
- 15.64/100
- National rank
- #9289
- State rank
- #123 of 139 in TN
Livability — Rutledge
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #281
- US rank
- #19814
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,385
Population outlook (Grainger County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,117 people
- By 2030
- 23,037 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 22,435 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 21,236 · -8.1%
- By 2075
- 17,595 · -23.9%
- By 2100
- 13,157 · -43.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Slovak 3% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Grainger
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.7) · D 12.9% · R 86.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.6pp toward R · 2008: -43.1pp · 2024: -73.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.7 2020: R+70.0 2016: R+68.4 2012: R+52.4 2008: R+43.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.54%
- Current HPI
- 456.4064
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+183.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $129,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2020-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records
- 2018-02-12 Sold (MLS) $39,000 LAAR
- 2018-02-12 Sold (MLS) $39,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2018-01-04 Listed $45,900 LAAR
- 2018-01-04 Listed $45,900 Knoxville MLS
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $341 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…