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140 Phipps Dr
C- Composite 53.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$119,900

140 Phipps Dr · Rutledge, TN 37888
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1972 0.76 ac lot $117/sqft · 55% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is an Investor special or a first time home that is budget friendly! Rare opportunity! Discover the charm and character of this traditional-style home nestled in the peaceful countryside of Washburn, TN. This investor special offers incredible potential with 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a layout full of opportunity. The home features a metal roof, appealing exterior siding, and appealing painted foundation block that enhances its classic look. Inside, you'll find LVP flooring, standard rooms, and year-round mountain views that add to the property's appeal. The home is being sold AS-IS, and the seller is in the process of removing items left behind by previous tenants. A storage shed on the property provides additional space for tools, equipment, or hobby use. Whether you're looking to renovate, flip, or create a cozy country retreat, this property offers a solid foundation in a beautiful rural setting. Bring your vision and make this home shine again.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Storage shed
  • 0.76 acre lot

Tags

METAL ROOFSTORAGE SHEDYEAR ROUND MOUNTAIN VIEWSPAINTED FOUNDATION BLOCK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (15.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 1.9% in Rutledge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#281 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Grainger County (rural): math 15% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #123 of 139 in TN (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 74 units permitted in Grainger County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Grainger County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $120k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $101,972 (15.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
7.28%
Cash-on-cash
3.52%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$266,523
List price
$119,900
Delta
-55.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.8%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$71,511
Equity at exit
$108,015
10-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
7.12×
Total profit
$205,540
Equity at exit
$232,939

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37888

Home prices YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,020 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $341/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$98

Break-even live

Break-even rent $895
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $119,900 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,900 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $119,900 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 46 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $129,900 Active 45 DOM
  17. 2026-04-15
    listed $129,900 Active 972-char remark
    Show marketing remark (972 chars)

    This is an Investor special or a first time home that is budget friendly! Rare opportunity! Discover the charm and character of this traditional-style home nestled in the peaceful countryside of Washburn, TN. This investor special offers incredible potential with 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a layout full of opportunity. The home features a metal roof, appealing exterior siding, and appealing painted foundation block that enhances its classic look. Inside, you'll find LVP flooring, standard rooms, and year-round mountain views that add to the property's appeal. The home is being sold AS-IS, and the seller is in the process of removing items left behind by previous tenants. A storage shed on the property provides additional space for tools, equipment, or hobby use. Whether you're looking to renovate, flip, or create a cozy country retreat, this property offers a solid foundation in a beautiful rural setting. Bring your vision and make this home shine again.

  18. 2020-12-22
    soldstatus $58,500
  19. 2018-02-12
    soldstatus $39,000 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This cozy 3br rancher has a lot to offer. Features 2 covered porches, handicap accessible, country setting, mountain view & tons more. Would make a great investment property. TLC needed but has great potential.

  20. 2018-02-12
    soldstatus $39,000
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This cozy 3br rancher has a lot to offer. Features 2 covered porches, handicap accessible, country setting, mountain view & tons more. Would make a great investment property. TLC needed but has great potential.

  21. 2018-01-04
    listed $45,900 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This cozy 3br rancher has a lot to offer. Features 2 covered porches, handicap accessible, country setting, mountain view & tons more. Would make a great investment property. TLC needed but has great potential.

  22. 2018-01-04
    listed $45,900
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This cozy 3br rancher has a lot to offer. Features 2 covered porches, handicap accessible, country setting, mountain view & tons more. Would make a great investment property. TLC needed but has great potential.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$341 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$851 · $71/mo
Expected delta
+$510/yr (+$43/mo · 149.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,237
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$341
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$979
− Management
−$979
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable loss
−$866
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$208
After-tax cash flow
$1,389/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grainger County
NCES district ID
4701440
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,163
Composite
15.64/100
National rank
#9289
State rank
#123 of 139 in TN

Livability — Rutledge

Score
59/100
State rank
#281
US rank
#19814

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,385

Population outlook (Grainger County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,117 people
By 2030
23,037 · -0.3%
By 2040
22,435 · -3.0%
By 2050
21,236 · -8.1%
By 2075
17,595 · -23.9%
By 2100
13,157 · -43.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 3% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Grainger

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.7) · D 12.9% · R 86.5%
2008→2024 swing
-30.6pp toward R · 2008: -43.1pp · 2024: -73.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.7 2020: R+70.0 2016: R+68.4 2012: R+52.4 2008: R+43.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.54%
Current HPI
456.4064
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+183.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $129,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2020-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records
  • 2018-02-12 Sold (MLS) $39,000 LAAR
  • 2018-02-12 Sold (MLS) $39,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2018-01-04 Listed $45,900 LAAR
  • 2018-01-04 Listed $45,900 Knoxville MLS

Property tax history

-1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $341 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…