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883 Watts Dr
B- Composite 68.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

883 Watts Dr · Sumter, SC 29154
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,367 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1963 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3 bedroom brick home is located in a nice neighborhood and located minutes to everything in Sumter. It's a great fixer upper for a couple looking for their first home or a great investment property! Storage building in the backyard and also offers a fenced in backyard. Home is being sold AS IS. No kitchen appliances & HVAC does not work, Inspections are for buyers information only.

Key facts

  • Storage building
  • Fenced in backyard
  • Brick home

Tags

BRICK HOMESTORAGE BUILDINGFENCED IN BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Public paved road access (public maintained road)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family house; One-level
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Chain link fencing; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: No built-in appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $845 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 3.4% in Sumter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#235 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sumter 01 (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #64 of 80 in SC (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Wilder Elementary (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #475 of 597 statewide, top 81%, 376 students, 100% FRL); Bates Middle (math 9% / reading 21%, grade F, #202 of 229 statewide, top 89%, 569 students, 100% FRL); Sumter High School (math 22% / reading 67%, grade F, #166 of 196 statewide, top 87%, 2,289 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 386 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sumter County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.82%
Cap rate
16.43%
Cash-on-cash
36.22%
DSCR
2.61
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$206,417
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2665 Mccrays Mill Rd 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,343 (-2%) 1mo $172,500 $128 84
120 Wells Ct 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,365 (-0%) 7mo $118,800 $87 75
2629 Hilldale Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,253 (-8%) 2mo $178,000 $142 71
2465 Edmunds Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+6%) 11mo $200,000 $137 54
2435 Stadium Rd 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,407 (+3%) 7mo $212,000 $151 50
794 Pitts Rd 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,448 (+6%) 10mo $200,000 $138 50
747 Bay Springs Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,565 (+14%) 1mo $257,000 $164 48
2411 Orvis St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,571 (+15%) 5mo $249,900 $159 47
2425 Stadium Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,477 (+8%) 7mo $190,000 $129 42
1055 Kentwood Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,559 (+14%) 10mo $240,000 $154 39
3075 Foxcroft Cir 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,555 (+14%) 8mo $249,900 $161 38
3200 Foxcroft Cir 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,561 (+14%) 9mo $250,000 $160 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.2%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$39,783
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
40.8%
Equity multiple
5.04×
Total profit
$113,051
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29154

Home prices YoY
-32.7%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
229
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,815 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $273/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$381
Net cashflow
$845

Break-even live

Break-even rent $745
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-18
    listed $100,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$273 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$570 · $48/mo
Expected delta
+$297/yr (+$25/mo · 108.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,781
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$273
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,742
− Management
−$1,742
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$9,012
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,163
After-tax cash flow
$7,978/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter 01
NCES district ID
4503902
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$40,423
Composite
19.45/100
National rank
#8775
State rank
#64 of 80 in SC

Livability — Sumter

Score
59/100
State rank
#235
US rank
#19754

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Sumter County · 76,912 people
City population
67,992
Metro
Sumter, SC
Population (ZIP)
29,454
Household income
$62,772
Rent vs Own
27.2% rent · 72.8% own
Severe rent burden
338.0

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
104,585 people
By 2030
102,282 · -2.2%
By 2040
96,258 · -8.0%
By 2050
89,592 · -14.3%
By 2075
74,715 · -28.6%
By 2100
60,235 · -42.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 36% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.9% · R 47.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: 15.4pp · 2024: 4.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.9 2020: D+13.0 2016: D+12.0 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+15.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.65%
Current HPI
157.8545
Rent YoY
▲ 4.19%
Metro
Sumter, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending SBOR
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $100,000 SBOR

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $273 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…