107 Rose St · Rosendale, NY 12401

$199,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 640 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1939 Est $354k · 44% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +17.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +5.3/10.0
• Rent growth +4.5/5.0
• 1% rule +4.2/10.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

& quot; & quot; Welcome to 107 Rose Street a charming single-family home nestled in the heart of Kingston NY & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; one of the Hudson Valleys most sought-after and rapidly growing cities. This 3-bedroom 1-bathroom home sits on a generous 7 405 sq ft lot offering plenty of outdoor space and a brand new shed for extra storage. With 950 sq ft of living space this home is the perfect opportunity for buyers looking to put their personal touch on a property and build instant equity. Whether youre a first-time buyer investor or renovator the bones are here & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; just waiting for your vision. Property Highlights: 3 Be

Key facts

• Brand new shed
• Built 1939

Tags

• GENEROUS OUTDOOR SPACE
• BRAND NEW SHED

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $135 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (7.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $183k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Rondout Valley Central School District (rural): math 39% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #447 of 590 in NY (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $48k; list at $199k implies a 315% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $183,269 (7.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.92% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.11%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.92%
• DSCR: 1.13
• GRM: 9.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $353,920
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
67 Kallop Rd	0.19mi	2/1.0	588 (-8%)	1mo	$325,000	$553	77

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.74×
• Total profit: $-14,330
• Equity at exit: $29,672

10-year hold

• IRR: 8.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.73×
• Total profit: $40,745
• Equity at exit: $17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 12401

• Rents YoY: 7.8%
• Active inventory: 225
• Price-to-rent: 9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,833 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,044
• Tax from tax record: −$186 /mo · $2,230/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$385
• Net cashflow: $135

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,661

Max offer price $199,000

Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $49,750
• Closing costs: $5,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-26
   listed $199,000 Active
2. 1996-01-05
   soldstatus $47,950
3. 1992-12-06
   soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,230 · $186/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,797 · $233/mo
• Expected delta: +$566/yr (+$47/mo · 25.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,992
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,147
• − Property taxes: −$2,230
• − Insurance: −$995
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,759
• − Management: −$1,759
• − Depreciation: −$5,789
• Taxable loss: −$1,688
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$405
• After-tax cash flow: $2,031/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Rondout Valley Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3624960
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▲ 5.00%
• Median HH income: $59,408
• Composite: 39.5/100
• National rank: #3949
• State rank: #447 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rosendale

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: Rosendale, NY
• County: Ulster County · 56,183 people
• City population: 1,118
• Metro: Kingston, NY
• Population (ZIP): 35,136
• Household income: $69,305
• Rent vs Own: 42.6% rent · 57.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 2045.0

Population outlook (Ulster County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 175,887 people
• By 2030: 171,876 · -2.3%
• By 2040: 161,771 · -8.0%
• By 2050: 151,470 · -13.9%
• By 2075: 133,023 · -24.4%
• By 2100: 113,504 · -35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 68% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ulster

• 2024 margin: D (+18.7) · D 59.3% · R 40.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -4.9pp toward R · 2008: 23.6pp · 2024: 18.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+18.7 2020: D+20.9 2016: D+9.1 2012: D+21.9 2008: D+23.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -262.90%
• Current HPI: 369.1984
• Rent YoY: ▲ 7.81%
• Metro: Kingston, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+342.2% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Listed $199,000 FSBO.com
• 1996-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $47,950 Public Records
• 1992-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,230 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.