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921 NE 140 Ave
B+ Composite 79.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$70,000

921 NE 140 Ave · Claflin, KS 67525
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,755 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 124 Days on market
Built 1910

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Existing farmhouse
  • Hobby farm
  • Good water well

Tags

EXISTING FARMHOUSEGOOD WATER WELLSEPTIC SYSTEMWIDE OPEN KANSAS LANDSCAPEHOBBY FARM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $542 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#104 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Barton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
  • Barton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $47k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.77%
Cap rate
15.59%
Cash-on-cash
33.19%
DSCR
2.48
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.9%
Equity multiple
3.83×
Total profit
$55,445
Equity at exit
$44,771
10-year hold
IRR
40.8%
Equity multiple
7.93×
Total profit
$135,845
Equity at exit
$81,859

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67525

Home prices YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,236 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $454/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$542

Break-even live

Break-even rent $549
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 124 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 123 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 122 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 121 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 119 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $70,000 Active 118 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 115 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 114 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 113 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $70,000 Active 111 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $70,000 Active 109 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 108 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 107 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 106 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 105 DOM
  16. 2026-02-10
    listed $70,000 Active
  17. 2006-09-01
    soldstatus $47,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$454 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$987 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$533/yr (+$44/mo · 117.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,828
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$454
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,186
− Management
−$1,186
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$5,694
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,367
After-tax cash flow
$5,139/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Claflin

Score
72/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#6070

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
816

Population outlook (Barton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,088 people
By 2030
25,418 · -2.6%
By 2040
24,010 · -8.0%
By 2050
22,719 · -12.9%
By 2075
20,690 · -20.7%
By 2100
18,869 · -27.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Barton

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.8) · D 20.9% · R 77.6% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-13.4pp toward R · 2008: -43.3pp · 2024: -56.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.8 2020: R+56.4 2016: R+58.9 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+43.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.17%
Current HPI
178.8024
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+48.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $70,000 Fizber.com
  • 2006-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $454 · -16.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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