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1580 University Ave
D- Composite 37.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +1.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

1580 University Ave · Lincoln Park, MI 48146
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 816 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1954 3,485 sqft lot Est $122k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special offering flexibility for both investors and owner occupants alike. This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom ranch in Lincoln Park presents an excellent opportunity to expand your portfolio or secure an affordable primary residence. Featuring an attached garage, functional layout, central air, and a fenced backyard, this home offers strong long term potential with immediate usability. The property is currently tenant occupied, however the tenant may remain for investors seeking immediate rental income or vacate for buyers planning to occupy the home personally. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, schools, and major freeways. Unique opportunity to purchase one property individually or package together with additional available homes from the same portfolio. Buy one, two, or all three. A versatile opportunity for investors, first time buyers, or those looking to expand their real estate holdings. Welcome Home.

Key facts

  • Attached garage
  • Functional layout
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

ATTACHED GARAGEFENCED BACKYARDCENTRAL AIRFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Asphalt construction materials; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.08-acre lot (approx. 35 x 105)
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; No pool

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Three total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $36 ($430/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (1.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (1.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,720 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Lincoln Park School District (suburban): math 15% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #440 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Lafayette School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,149 of 1,397 statewide, top 84%, 500 students, 98% FRL); Lincoln Park Middle School (math 12% / reading 35%, grade F, #399 of 493 statewide, top 81%, 1,105 students, 86% FRL); Lincoln Park High School (math 5% / reading 33%, grade F, #630 of 713 statewide, top 88%, 1,367 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 72% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $29k; list at $140k implies a 383% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $137,428 (1.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.10%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$122,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1587 Reo Ave 0.18mi 3/1.0 816 (0%) 5mo $122,000 $150 87
1383 Cicotte Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 850 (+4%) 6mo $135,000 $159 77
1807 Hanford Ave 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-3%) 2mo $130,000 $164 72
1770 Council Ave 0.42mi 3/1.0 864 (+6%) 0mo $125,000 $145 70
1807 Morris Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (-6%) 5mo $133,000 $173 64
1539 Oconnor Ave 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 725 (-11%) 4mo $70,000 $97 57
1473 Austin Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 864 (+6%) 6mo $126,150 $146 55
1260 Marion Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 874 (+7%) 1mo $155,000 $177 55
2040 Paris Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 894 (+10%) 4mo $147,500 $165 55
1921 Hanford Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 912 (+12%) 4mo $80,000 $88 55
1428 Chandler Ave 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (-12%) 2mo $75,000 $104 48
1312 Ferris Ave 0.65mi 3/1.5 930 (+14%) 4mo $117,000 $126 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-18,015
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-2,618
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48146

Home prices YoY
-32.7%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,374 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$257 /mo · $3,088/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$36

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,329
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $115 -5% $75 +0% $36 +5% $-4 +10% $-43
Rent -10% $-73 -5% $-18 +0% $36 +5% $90 +10% $144
Rate -1.0pp $106 -0.5pp $71 base $36 +0.5pp $0 +1.0pp $-37

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1524 Cicotte Ave Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 16d 1 0.12mi
1774 College Ave Lincoln Park, MI 3.0 1.0 944 $1,525 $1.62 0d 1 0.28mi
1532 Euclid St #1 Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,450 $1.71 26d 1 0.29mi
1774 Council Ave Lincoln Park, MI 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 0d 1 0.40mi
1552 Hanover St Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 26d 1 0.54mi
875 Raupp Pl Unit 2 Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $970 $1.21 18d 1 0.59mi
1537 Chandler Ave Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 725 $1,100 $1.52 19d 1 0.65mi
3575 S Ethel St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $1,350 $1.51 19d 1 0.95mi
1581 Empire Ave Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 26d 1 1.07mi
1331 Pingree Ave Lincoln Park, MI 2.0 1.0 725 $1,300 $1.79 1d 1 1.08mi
3748 15th St Ecorse, MI 2.0 1.0 528 $1,099 $2.08 18d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    listed $140,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (954 chars)

    Investor special offering flexibility for both investors and owner occupants alike. This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom ranch in Lincoln Park presents an excellent opportunity to expand your portfolio or secure an affordable primary residence. Featuring an attached garage, functional layout, central air, and a fenced backyard, this home offers strong long term potential with immediate usability. The property is currently tenant occupied, however the tenant may remain for investors seeking immediate rental income or vacate for buyers planning to occupy the home personally. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, schools, and major freeways. Unique opportunity to purchase one property individually or package together with additional available homes from the same portfolio. Buy one, two, or all three. A versatile opportunity for investors, first time buyers, or those looking to expand their real estate holdings. Welcome Home.

  2. 2026-05-19
    listed $140,000 Active 954-char remark
    Show marketing remark (954 chars)

    Investor special offering flexibility for both investors and owner occupants alike. This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom ranch in Lincoln Park presents an excellent opportunity to expand your portfolio or secure an affordable primary residence. Featuring an attached garage, functional layout, central air, and a fenced backyard, this home offers strong long term potential with immediate usability. The property is currently tenant occupied, however the tenant may remain for investors seeking immediate rental income or vacate for buyers planning to occupy the home personally. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, schools, and major freeways. Unique opportunity to purchase one property individually or package together with additional available homes from the same portfolio. Buy one, two, or all three. A versatile opportunity for investors, first time buyers, or those looking to expand their real estate holdings. Welcome Home.

  3. 1991-08-23
    soldstatus $29,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,088 · $257/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,088 · $257/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,491
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$3,088
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,319
− Management
−$1,319
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$1,850
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$444
After-tax cash flow
$874/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lincoln Park School District
NCES district ID
2621600
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$41,486
Composite
19.93/100
National rank
#8678
State rank
#440 of 540 in MI

Livability — Lincoln Park

Score
80/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#1720

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lincoln Park, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
39,257
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,257
Household income
$58,616
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
1142.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 17% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.25%
Current HPI
222.8545
Rent YoY
▲ 4.65%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+382.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $140,000 REALCOMP
  • 1991-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,088 · +143.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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