🏷️ Likely Rental
414 E Virginia St · Evansville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention Investors: Package Deal includes 5 properties. Total for all 5 is $325.000. Current Tenant pays $600.00 month.
Key facts
- 2,178 sq ft lot
- Built 1894
- Listed 119 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family site-built home; One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Crawl space and partial basement; Main-level laundry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #862 of 994 statewide, top 88%, 236 students, 88% FRL); Central High School (math 38% / reading 74%, grade C, #73 of 369 statewide, top 20%, 1,090 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 50% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 10733% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1894 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1894 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.81%
- DSCR
- 2.15
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $103,395
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311 E Oregon St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 950 (+4%) | 5mo | $17,000 | $18 | 75 |
| 812 N Garvin St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 978 (+7%) | 6mo | $64,900 | $66 | 73 |
| 1108 Garvin St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 976 (+7%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $113 | 64 |
| 715 E Louisiana St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 875 (-4%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $131 | 62 |
| 638 E Missouri St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-8%) | 3mo | $25,500 | $30 | 59 |
| 16 W Tennessee St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 894 (-2%) | 10mo | $119,000 | $133 | 58 |
| 317 Enlow Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 950 (+4%) | 9mo | $155,500 | $164 | 52 |
| 1311 N Garvin St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 1,016 (+11%) | 6mo | $126,000 | $124 | 51 |
| 1006 Cherry St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 976 (+7%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $97 | 51 |
| 313 E Tennessee St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 824 (-10%) | 10mo | $64,500 | $78 | 49 |
| 416 S Garvin St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 1,024 (+12%) | 3mo | $38,750 | $38 | 48 |
| 424 S Linwood Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 990 (+8%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $157 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $18,302
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 33.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.59×
- Total profit
- $65,332
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47711
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 229
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,008 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $442/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $391
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610 N Main St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 751 | $675 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 200 N Main St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $1,599 | $1.86 | 13d | 7 | 0.39mi |
| 41 W Division St Apt 200 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1083 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 41 W Division St Unit 101 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 634 | $1,100 | $1.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1018 Baker Ave Unit B Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $625 | $0.78 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 109 E Eichel Ave Unit A Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $745 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 32 W Tennessee St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $925 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 304 S Grand Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $955 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 706 Court St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 406 Edgar St Unit 1 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 530 | $1,500 | $2.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 507 S Evans Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 24 NW 6th St Apt 103 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,300 | $1.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 400 NW 5th St Unit 4 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $725 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1303 E Indiana St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,195 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 329 Main St Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 717 | $1,505 | $2.10 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1321 E Indiana St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 300 Main St Unit 1 D3 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,000 | $2.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 734 Bayard Park Dr Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,425 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1415 E Indiana St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $795 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 500 Richardt Ave Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $700 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1440 E Division St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 689 | $1,250 | $1.81 | 13d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 101 SE 2nd St Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 530 | $750 | $1.42 | 13d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 827 Judson St Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 100 SE 1st St Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 715 | $1,725 | $2.41 | 13d | 17 | 1.23mi |
| 202 SE 1st St Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $2,449 | $2.64 | 21d | 4 | 1.24mi |
| 615 SE 3rd St Unit D Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $895 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 322 SE 1st St Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 21d | 6 | 1.28mi |
| 924 SE 6th St Unit A Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $875 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1680 E Franklin St #1682 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $855 | $1.27 | 21d | 7 | 1.29mi |
| 8 E Blackford Ave Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $825 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1133 Bayard Park Dr Unit B Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $800 | $0.81 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 17 Washington Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,455 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2501 N Evans Ave Unit A Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 856 | $900 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 820 Negley Ave Unit B Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $695 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1306 W Missouri St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2511 N Kentucky Ave Unit 23 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 584 | $650 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 941 Stanley Ave Unit A Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $800 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1219 Joan Ave Unit 1219 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $845 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 605 Madison Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,375 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-10status $65,000 Pending 119 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-03-20historical $600
-
2026-02-25$600
-
2026-02-10$65,000 Active
-
2025-05-14$325,000 Active
-
2024-03-18price $53,000
-
2024-01-20historical $600
-
2024-01-04$600
-
2023-10-03$44,000 Active
-
2022-12-06historical
-
2020-09-23$39,900
-
2018-12-19$27,900
-
2016-05-09$27,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $442 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $497 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- +$55/yr (+$5/mo · 12.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,096
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$442
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$968
- − Management
- −$968
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $3,861
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$927
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,771/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803450
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,270
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5471
- State rank
- #153 of 301 in IN
Livability — Evansville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #15047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evansville, IN
- County
- Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
- City population
- 146,793
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,944
- Household income
- $66,320
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 659.0
Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,038 people
- By 2030
- 188,907 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 190,272 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 188,871 · +1.0%
- By 2075
- 180,751 · -3.4%
- By 2100
- 163,015 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.98%
- Current HPI
- 205.62
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+133.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Rental Removed $600 APPFOLIO
- 2026-02-25 Listed for Rent $600 APPFOLIO
- 2026-02-10 Listed $65,000 IRMLS
- 2025-05-14 Listed $325,000 IRMLS
- 2024-03-18 Price Changed $53,000 IRMLS
- 2024-01-20 Rental Removed $600 APPFOLIO
- 2024-01-04 Listed for Rent $600 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-03 Listed $44,000 IRMLS
- 2022-12-06 Rental Removed — APPFOLIO
- 2020-09-23 Listed $39,900 IRMLS
- 2018-12-19 Listed $27,900 IRMLS
- 2016-05-09 Listed $27,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
-4.9%/yrLatest (2024): $442 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…