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9154 Wayburn St
B Composite 71.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,000

9154 Wayburn St · Detroit, MI 48224
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,290 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1937 4,792 sqft lot Est $93k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4 beds 1 bath!!! Very Nice block!! Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss this opportunity !

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1937

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 139 (0.11 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; 7 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $556 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
  • Recommended offer: $83k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 484 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $82,740 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.73%
Cap rate
14.24%
Cash-on-cash
28.38%
DSCR
2.26
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$92,880
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9817 Somerset Ave 0.42mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,290 (0%) 2mo $30,000 $23 74
10185 Beaconsfield St 0.49mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,300 (+1%) 2mo $73,000 $56 69
9500 Lakepointe St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,130 (-12%) 0mo $125,000 $111 66
9722 Wayburn St 0.21mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,464 (+14%) 2mo $84,900 $58 61
9988 Somerset Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,206 (-6%) 1mo $130,000 $108 59
5743 Buckingham Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,328 (+3%) 2mo $160,000 $120 58
5791 Bedford St 0.72mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,344 (+4%) 1mo $178,000 $132 52
13113 Camden St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,224 (-5%) 2mo $88,000 $72 52
13136 Maiden St 0.70mi 4/1.0 1,144 (-11%) 1mo $10,000 $9 48
10318 Beaconsfield St 0.61mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,146 (-11%) 1mo $78,000 $68 45
5574 Buckingham Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,430 (+11%) 2mo $105,000 $73 44
13406 Elmdale St 0.63mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,460 (+13%) 2mo $32,500 $22 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$18,595
Equity at exit
$12,525
10-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
3.09×
Total profit
$49,199
Equity at exit
$7,263

Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48224

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
484
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,453 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$441
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,393/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$556

Break-even live

Break-even rent $749
Max offer price $84,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,000
Closing costs
$2,520
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,300 $1.02 20d 1 0.01mi
9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,150 $0.88 4d 1 0.08mi
9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,400 $0.93 3d 1 0.24mi
9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 942 $1,375 $1.46 14d 1 0.30mi
10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,000 $0.90 43d 1 0.32mi
9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1195 $1,200 $1.00 43d 1 0.33mi
5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,473 $1.12 43d 1 0.35mi
9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,575 $1.29 43d 1 0.37mi
5791 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1660 $1,400 $0.84 17d 1 0.38mi
5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 14d 1 0.39mi
15857 Evanston St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1232 $1,250 $1.01 4d 1 0.47mi
10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 3.0 1425 $1,550 $1.09 17d 1 0.50mi
10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,350 $0.97 17d 1 0.56mi
5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1366 $1,500 $1.10 24d 1 0.58mi
13395 Maiden St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 1750 $1,600 $0.91 24d 1 0.61mi
11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $1,450 $1.27 10d 1 0.65mi
5574 Buckingham Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1430 $1,450 $1.01 4d 1 0.67mi
13400 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,400 $1.40 43d 1 0.69mi
13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,400 $1.26 24d 1 0.77mi
5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1458 $1,300 $0.89 16d 1 0.78mi
5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1458 $1,300 $0.89 17d 1 0.78mi
10803 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $900 $0.78 20d 1 0.80mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 3d 1 0.81mi
9635 Everts St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1450 $1,650 $1.14 43d 1 0.83mi
10030 Bishop St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 1721 $1,200 $0.70 17d 1 0.97mi
5028 Bedford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 4d 1 0.99mi
9142 Yorkshire Rd Detroit, MI 5.0 1.5 1450 $1,700 $1.17 1d 1 1.01mi
10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 3d 1 1.04mi
9171 Bishop St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1508 $1,300 $0.86 43d 1 1.04mi
15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $970 $0.85 17d 1 1.07mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 17d 1 1.11mi
9241 Boleyn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,350 $1.00 43d 1 1.13mi
12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,350 $1.19 17d 1 1.16mi
9313 Harvard Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1329 $1,200 $0.90 17d 1 1.16mi
4251 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1326 $1,650 $1.24 43d 1 1.20mi
10400 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 890 $1,100 $1.24 43d 1 1.21mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 1.22mi
11689 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,350 $1.18 43d 1 1.25mi
15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1018 $1,350 $1.33 43d 1 1.27mi
11620 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,200 $1.05 17d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 40 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,000 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $84,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,000 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,000 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-05-23
    listed $84,000 Active 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    4 beds 1 bath!!! Very Nice block!! Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss this opportunity !

  15. 2026-05-23
    listed $84,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    4 beds 1 bath!!! Very Nice block!! Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss this opportunity !

  16. 2026-04-16
    historical
  17. 2026-02-18
    price $84,500
  18. 2026-02-18
    price $84,500
  19. 2025-10-16
    price $86,500
  20. 2025-10-16
    price $86,500
  21. 2025-06-17
    status Active
  22. 2025-06-17
    status Active
  23. 2025-06-03
    status Pending
  24. 2025-06-03
    status Pending
  25. 2025-06-03
    historical
  26. 2025-04-04
    listed $89,000 Active
  27. 2025-04-04
    listed $89,000 Active
  28. 2020-02-26
    soldstatus $78,900
  29. 2010-08-27
    soldstatus $6,100
  30. 2010-07-19
    listed $8,500
  31. 2003-04-30
    soldstatus $89,000
  32. 2003-01-31
    soldstatus $89,000
  33. 2002-12-12
    historical
  34. 2002-12-05
    listed $89,900
  35. 2002-09-17
    soldstatus $25,000
  36. 2002-09-11
    soldstatus $25,000
  37. 2002-09-11
    soldstatus $25,000
  38. 2002-08-16
    historical
  39. 2002-08-04
    listed $29,900
  40. 2002-08-04
    listed $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,393 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,393 · $116/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,434
− Mortgage interest
−$4,705
− Property taxes
−$1,393
− Insurance
−$420
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,395
− Management
−$1,395
− Depreciation
−$2,444
Taxable income
$5,683
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,364
After-tax cash flow
$5,310/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,668
Household income
$44,856
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
2515.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -226.38%
Current HPI
161.886
Rent YoY
▲ 0.73%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+180.9% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $84,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $84,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $84,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $84,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $86,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $86,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-17 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-17 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-03 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-03 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-03 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-04 Listed $89,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-04 Listed $89,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $78,900 Public Records
  • 2010-08-27 Sold (MLS) $6,100 REALCOMP
  • 2010-07-19 Listed $8,500 REALCOMP
  • 2003-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
  • 2003-01-31 Sold (MLS) $89,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-12-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-12-05 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2002-09-11 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2002-09-11 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-08-16 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-08-04 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
  • 2002-08-04 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,393 · -9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…