CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5 Thornton Dr
B- Composite 69.48
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$59,900

5 Thornton Dr · Dannemora, NY 12929
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,361 sqft · SingleFamily · 73 Days on market
Built 1895 Poor condition 8,999 sqft lot $44/sqft · 65% below area ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Old style home on dead end street in village of Dannemora close to stores and dining. There are three bedrooms, one down and two upstairs and a large eat in kitchen with cooktop on the main level. Bathroom is located on the second floor. A laundry area, living room and dining room are loacted on the main level. There is a large covered front porch and nice sized backyard to enjoy the outdoors. There is a one car garag and shed for added storage.

Key facts

  • Large eat in kitchen
  • Added storage
  • Nice sized backyard

Tags

WALKING DISTANCE TO STORESLARGE EAT IN KITCHENLARGE COVERED FRONT PORCHNICE SIZED BACKYARDADDED STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,079 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Saranac Central School District (rural): math 43% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #374 of 590 in NY (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Morrisonville Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 358 students, 33% FRL); Saranac Middle School (math 31% / reading 57%, grade D, #363 of 729 statewide, top 50%, 371 students, 38% FRL); Saranac High School (math 98% / reading 70%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 414 students, 36% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 192 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clinton County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask is 25% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $56,306 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.09%
Cap rate
17.85%
Cash-on-cash
41.26%
DSCR
2.84
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$169,997
List price
$59,900
Delta
-64.76%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1209 Cook St 0.21mi 3/1.5 1,404 (+3%) 6mo $40,500 $29 78
29 Bouck St 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,380 (+1%) 4mo $89,900 $65 76
201 Smith St 0.05mi 3/1.5 1,248 (-8%) 7mo $99,200 $79 76
3 Bouck St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,380 (+1%) 12mo $155,000 $112 73
35 Bouck St 0.17mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,255 (-8%) 3mo $157,978 $126 72
1182 Cook Street St 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,163 (-14%) 6mo $162,000 $139 64
216 Smith St 0.08mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,431 (+5%) 22mo $204,900 $143 62
217 Smith St St 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,160 (-15%) 7mo $55,888 $48 60
31 Mountain View Rd 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,528 (+12%) 9mo $219,000 $143 57
17 Hammond St 0.33mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,536 (+13%) 3mo $165,000 $107 56
1031 Cook St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-1%) 22mo $165,000 $122 47
52 Smith St 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,194 (-12%) 21mo $264,000 $221 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.8%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$27,043
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
44.4%
Equity multiple
5.23×
Total profit
$70,922
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12929

Home prices YoY
-2.8%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,254 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$577

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $618 -5% $597 +0% $577 +5% $556 +10% $535
Rent -10% $478 -5% $527 +0% $577 +5% $626 +10% $676
Rate -1.0pp $607 -0.5pp $592 base $577 +0.5pp $561 +1.0pp $545

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $59,900 Pending 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,900 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 65 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 64 DOM
  9. 2026-05-14
    price $59,900 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Old style home on dead end street in village of Dannemora close to stores and dining. There are three bedrooms, one down and two upstairs and a large eat in kitchen with cooktop on the main level. Bathroom is located on the second floor. A laundry area, living room and dining room are loacted on the main level. There is a large covered front porch and nice sized backyard to enjoy the outdoors. There is a one car garag and shed for added storage.

  10. 2026-03-28
    price $74,900 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Old style home on dead end street in village of Dannemora close to stores and dining. There are three bedrooms, one down and two upstairs and a large eat in kitchen with cooktop on the main level. Bathroom is located on the second floor. A laundry area, living room and dining room are loacted on the main level. There is a large covered front porch and nice sized backyard to enjoy the outdoors. There is a one car garag and shed for added storage.

  11. 2026-03-27
    listed $47,900 Active 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Old style home on dead end street in village of Dannemora close to stores and dining. There are three bedrooms, one down and two upstairs and a large eat in kitchen with cooktop on the main level. Bathroom is located on the second floor. A laundry area, living room and dining room are loacted on the main level. There is a large covered front porch and nice sized backyard to enjoy the outdoors. There is a one car garag and shed for added storage.

  12. 2016-08-31
    soldstatus $76,000 156-char remark
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    It would be hard to find a better value than this. 3 Bedrooms with one on the main floor. Well maintained with newer roof and vinyl siding. Large back yard.

  13. 2015-09-21
    listed $79,000 156-char remark
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    It would be hard to find a better value than this. 3 Bedrooms with one on the main floor. Well maintained with newer roof and vinyl siding. Large back yard.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,048
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,204
− Management
−$1,204
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$6,344
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,523
After-tax cash flow
$5,398/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and renovations to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant work is needed on the exterior, roof, flooring, interior walls, bathrooms, kitchen, HVAC system, and landscaping.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exterior siding — Significant damage and wear
  • Major Roof — Missing shingles and visible damage
  • Major Flooring — Worn-out and in need of replacement
  • Major Interior walls — Painted walls with visible wear
  • Major Bathrooms — Exposed framing, missing fixtures
  • Major Kitchen — Worn-out countertops, outdated cabinets
  • Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible systems, likely outdated
  • Major Landscaping — Overgrown yard, unkempt appearance

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale New exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Resale New roof — Improves structural integrity and longevity
  • Resale New flooring — Enhances living space and property value
  • Resale Paint interior walls — Freshens up the interior and improves property value
  • Resale Renovate bathrooms — Modernizes the space and improves property value
  • Resale Update kitchen — Modernizes the space and improves property value
  • Resale Install HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Resale Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Significant damage and wear Major $15,000–50,000
Roof · Missing shingles and visible damage Major $15,000–50,000
Flooring · Worn-out and in need of replacement Major $15,000–50,000
Interior walls · Painted walls with visible wear Major $15,000–50,000
Bathrooms · Exposed framing, missing fixtures Major $15,000–50,000
Kitchen · Worn-out countertops, outdated cabinets Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · No visible systems, likely outdated Major $15,000–50,000
Landscaping · Overgrown yard, unkempt appearance Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 8 items $120,000–400,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale New exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Resale New roof — Improves structural integrity and longevity
  • Resale New flooring — Enhances living space and property value
  • Resale Paint interior walls — Freshens up the interior and improves property value
  • Resale Renovate bathrooms — Modernizes the space and improves property value
  • Resale Update kitchen — Modernizes the space and improves property value
  • Resale Install HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Resale Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saranac Central School District
NCES district ID
3600009
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$59,066
Composite
43.19/100
National rank
#3065
State rank
#374 of 590 in NY

Livability — Dannemora

Score
57/100
State rank
#1079
US rank
#21686

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dannemora, NY
City population
2,882
Population (ZIP)
2,882

Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
78,791 people
By 2030
76,848 · -2.5%
By 2040
71,579 · -9.2%
By 2050
66,471 · -15.6%
By 2075
57,361 · -27.2%
By 2100
47,232 · -40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% German 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Clinton

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.9% · R 51.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: -2.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.2 2020: D+5.2 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+25.6 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.37%
Current HPI
259.4451
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-24.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $59,900 ACVMLS
  • 2026-03-28 Price Changed $74,900 ACVMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $47,900 ACVMLS
  • 2016-08-31 Sold (MLS) $76,000 ACVMLS
  • 2015-09-21 Listed $79,000 ACVMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…