314 Fifth St · Morgan City, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.64%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$121,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Charming Remodeled Home Is Located In The Heart Of Downtown Morgan City And Offers A Blend Of Classic Character And Modern Comfort With Refinished Hardwood Floors And Tasteful Update Through Throughout This Home Provides Both Warmth And Functionality. Interior Features: Two Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms With Update Finishes, Refinished, Hardwood Floors, Office Or Sunroom Could Easily Serve As A Third Bedroom, New Energy, Efficient Windows, Updated Kitchen, Cabinetry And Bathrooms, New Window Units For Improve Comfort And Efficiency. Exterior Features: Convenient Downtown Location Close To Restaurants, Shopping, And Parks, Low Maintenance Yard Perfect Family Home Or Investment Property.
Key facts
- Low maintenance yard
- Updated kitchen
- Remodeled home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $121k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $121k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.6% in Morgan City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- St. Mary Parish (town): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #37 of 98 in LA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 37 units permitted in St. Mary Parish in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $837 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Mary County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $121k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.84%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $86,747
- List price
- $121,000
- Delta
- 39.49%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 Seventh St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,474 (+1%) | 11mo | $174,900 | $119 | 76 |
| 609 Federal Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 1,374 (-6%) | 2mo | $348,000 | $253 | 71 |
| 813 Railroad Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,303 (-10%) | 13mo | $42,500 | $33 | 61 |
| 306 Railroad Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,332 (-8%) | 12mo | $42,500 | $32 | 56 |
| 222 Fourth St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,262 (-13%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $91 | 54 |
| 1421 Filmore St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,492 (+3%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $67 | 54 |
| 215 Third St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,585 (+9%) | 12mo | $75,000 | $47 | 52 |
| 816 Federal Ave | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,618 (+11%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $93 | 51 |
| 522 Sixth St | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,268 (-13%) | 16mo | $40,000 | $32 | 47 |
| 916 Fourth St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,621 (+12%) | 9mo | $125,000 | $77 | 46 |
| 1025 Second St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-4%) | 10mo | $129,900 | $93 | 43 |
| 305 Union St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,240 (-15%) | 12mo | $60,000 | $48 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $3,434
- Equity at exit
- $18,041
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $32,526
- Equity at exit
- $10,462
Cash invested: $33,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70380
- Home prices YoY
- -34.8%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,375 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$635
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $465/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $363
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,250
- Closing costs
- $3,630
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1009 Poplar St Morgan City, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,375 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $121,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $121,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $121,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $121,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $121,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $121,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $121,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $121,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $121,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $121,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-04days on market $121,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $121,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $121,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $121,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $121,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-03-17price $121,000 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
This Charming Remodeled Home Is Located In The Heart Of Downtown Morgan City And Offers A Blend Of Classic Character And Modern Comfort With Refinished Hardwood Floors And Tasteful Update Through Throughout This Home Provides Both Warmth And Functionality. Interior Features: Two Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms With Update Finishes, Refinished, Hardwood Floors, Office Or Sunroom Could Easily Serve As A Third Bedroom, New Energy, Efficient Windows, Updated Kitchen, Cabinetry And Bathrooms, New Window Units For Improve Comfort And Efficiency. Exterior Features: Convenient Downtown Location Close To Restaurants, Shopping, And Parks, Low Maintenance Yard Perfect Family Home Or Investment Property.
-
2026-03-17price $121,000 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
This Charming Remodeled Home Is Located In The Heart Of Downtown Morgan City And Offers A Blend Of Classic Character And Modern Comfort With Refinished Hardwood Floors And Tasteful Update Through Throughout This Home Provides Both Warmth And Functionality. Interior Features: Two Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms With Update Finishes, Refinished, Hardwood Floors, Office Or Sunroom Could Easily Serve As A Third Bedroom, New Energy, Efficient Windows, Updated Kitchen, Cabinetry And Bathrooms, New Window Units For Improve Comfort And Efficiency. Exterior Features: Convenient Downtown Location Close To Restaurants, Shopping, And Parks, Low Maintenance Yard Perfect Family Home Or Investment Property.
-
2026-02-26price $129,000 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
This Charming Remodeled Home Is Located In The Heart Of Downtown Morgan City And Offers A Blend Of Classic Character And Modern Comfort With Refinished Hardwood Floors And Tasteful Update Through Throughout This Home Provides Both Warmth And Functionality. Interior Features: Two Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms With Update Finishes, Refinished, Hardwood Floors, Office Or Sunroom Could Easily Serve As A Third Bedroom, New Energy, Efficient Windows, Updated Kitchen, Cabinetry And Bathrooms, New Window Units For Improve Comfort And Efficiency. Exterior Features: Convenient Downtown Location Close To Restaurants, Shopping, And Parks, Low Maintenance Yard Perfect Family Home Or Investment Property.
-
2026-02-26price $129,000 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
This Charming Remodeled Home Is Located In The Heart Of Downtown Morgan City And Offers A Blend Of Classic Character And Modern Comfort With Refinished Hardwood Floors And Tasteful Update Through Throughout This Home Provides Both Warmth And Functionality. Interior Features: Two Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms With Update Finishes, Refinished, Hardwood Floors, Office Or Sunroom Could Easily Serve As A Third Bedroom, New Energy, Efficient Windows, Updated Kitchen, Cabinetry And Bathrooms, New Window Units For Improve Comfort And Efficiency. Exterior Features: Convenient Downtown Location Close To Restaurants, Shopping, And Parks, Low Maintenance Yard Perfect Family Home Or Investment Property.
-
2025-11-12$135,000 Active 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
This Charming Remodeled Home Is Located In The Heart Of Downtown Morgan City And Offers A Blend Of Classic Character And Modern Comfort With Refinished Hardwood Floors And Tasteful Update Through Throughout This Home Provides Both Warmth And Functionality. Interior Features: Two Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms With Update Finishes, Refinished, Hardwood Floors, Office Or Sunroom Could Easily Serve As A Third Bedroom, New Energy, Efficient Windows, Updated Kitchen, Cabinetry And Bathrooms, New Window Units For Improve Comfort And Efficiency. Exterior Features: Convenient Downtown Location Close To Restaurants, Shopping, And Parks, Low Maintenance Yard Perfect Family Home Or Investment Property.
-
2025-11-12$135,000 Active 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (693 chars)
This Charming Remodeled Home Is Located In The Heart Of Downtown Morgan City And Offers A Blend Of Classic Character And Modern Comfort With Refinished Hardwood Floors And Tasteful Update Through Throughout This Home Provides Both Warmth And Functionality. Interior Features: Two Bedrooms, Two Bathrooms With Update Finishes, Refinished, Hardwood Floors, Office Or Sunroom Could Easily Serve As A Third Bedroom, New Energy, Efficient Windows, Updated Kitchen, Cabinetry And Bathrooms, New Window Units For Improve Comfort And Efficiency. Exterior Features: Convenient Downtown Location Close To Restaurants, Shopping, And Parks, Low Maintenance Yard Perfect Family Home Or Investment Property.
-
2024-10-04soldstatus $45,000
-
2024-09-21status Pending
-
2024-08-21historical
-
2024-07-07price $55,000
-
2024-03-08$55,000
-
2024-03-08$58,000 Active
-
1999-03-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $465 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $666 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$200/yr (+$17/mo · 43.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 64% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,500
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,778
- − Property taxes
- −$465
- − Insurance
- −$605
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,320
- − Management
- −$1,320
- − Depreciation
- −$3,520
- Taxable income
- $2,492
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$598
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,752/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Mary Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201620
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,843
- Composite
- 28.1/100
- National rank
- #6828
- State rank
- #37 of 98 in LA
Livability — Morgan City
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #11015
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Morgan City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,043
Population outlook (St. Mary County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 49,510 people
- By 2030
- 47,570 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 43,880 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 40,655 · -17.9%
- By 2075
- 37,190 · -24.9%
- By 2100
- 38,101 · -23.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 14%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Mary
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.5% · R 65.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.9 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.21%
- Current HPI
- 99.8137
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+120.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $121,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $121,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $129,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $129,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-11-12 Listed $135,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-11-12 Listed $135,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2024-09-21 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2024-08-21 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2024-07-07 Price Changed $55,000 GBRMLS
- 2024-03-08 Listed $58,000 GBRMLS
- 2024-03-08 Listed $55,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1999-03-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $465 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…