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624 S Main St
D Composite 42.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,000

624 S Main St · Canton, IL 61520
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,108 sqft · Other public records · 271 Days on market
Built 1886 8,250 sqft lot $23/sqft · 52% below area ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3 bedroom 2-story home has lots of room for you to make it to fit your needs. Main floor has laundry, 2 baths, formal dining room, kitchen, living room and dining room. Three bedrooms upstairs. Seller opened up two rooms to make one large bedroom. Previously was a bath upstairs that could be replaced. Laundry on main floor in 2 places. Outside service entrances are live but no wiring hooked up inside. Plumbing not connected. Seller has done much of the removal of the old walls and fixtures (ready for you to finish as you like). Upstairs windows are newer. Floor plan on main and upper can be re-arranged to fit your needs as you finish remodeling. Seller had planned to use radiant heat upstairs and GFA downstairs. Listing "Sold As Is" with no warranties,

Key facts

  • 8,250 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1886

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $742 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 41.9% vs local median 7.9% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#318 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Canton Union SD 66 (town): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #417 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 271 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1886 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $22,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 271 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1886 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.63%
Cap rate
41.91%
Cash-on-cash
127.22%
DSCR
6.66
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$103,323
List price
$25,000
Delta
-75.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.18×
Total profit
$43,231
Equity at exit
$3,728
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.08×
Total profit
$98,577
Equity at exit
$2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61520

Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,158 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax est. 1.5%
$31 /mo · $375/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$742

Break-even live

Break-even rent $219
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 31%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $759 -5% $751 +0% $742 +5% $733 +10% $725
Rent -10% $651 -5% $696 +0% $742 +5% $788 +10% $834
Rate -1.0pp $755 -0.5pp $748 base $742 +0.5pp $736 +1.0pp $729

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $25,000 Active 271 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $25,000 Active 269 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $25,000 Active 268 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $25,000 Active 267 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $25,000 Active 266 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $25,000 Active 264 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $25,000 Active 263 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $25,000 Active 260 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,000 Active 259 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,000 Active 258 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $25,000 Active 257 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $28,000 Active 254 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $28,000 Active 253 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $28,000 Active 252 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $28,000 Active 251 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $28,000 Active 250 DOM
  17. 2025-12-18
    price $30,000 787-char remark
    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    This 3 bedroom 2-story home has lots of room for you to make it to fit your needs. Main floor has laundry, 2 baths, formal dining room, kitchen, living room and dining room. Three bedrooms upstairs. Seller opened up two rooms to make one large bedroom. Previously was a bath upstairs that could be replaced. Laundry on main floor in 2 places. Outside service entrances are live but no wiring hooked up inside. Plumbing not connected. Seller has done much of the removal of the old walls and fixtures (ready for you to finish as you like). Upstairs windows are newer. Floor plan on main and upper can be re-arranged to fit your needs as you finish remodeling. Seller had planned to use radiant heat upstairs and GFA downstairs. Listing "Sold As Is" with no warranties,

  18. 2025-09-19
    listed $35,000 Active 787-char remark
    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    This 3 bedroom 2-story home has lots of room for you to make it to fit your needs. Main floor has laundry, 2 baths, formal dining room, kitchen, living room and dining room. Three bedrooms upstairs. Seller opened up two rooms to make one large bedroom. Previously was a bath upstairs that could be replaced. Laundry on main floor in 2 places. Outside service entrances are live but no wiring hooked up inside. Plumbing not connected. Seller has done much of the removal of the old walls and fixtures (ready for you to finish as you like). Upstairs windows are newer. Floor plan on main and upper can be re-arranged to fit your needs as you finish remodeling. Seller had planned to use radiant heat upstairs and GFA downstairs. Listing "Sold As Is" with no warranties,

  19. 2016-05-20
    soldstatus $28,000 125-char remark
    Show marketing remark (125 chars)

    Investment opportunity! Three bedroom, two story home in Canton, IL. All measurements are approximate & not guaranteed.

  20. 2016-01-24
    listed $34,900 125-char remark
    Show marketing remark (125 chars)

    Investment opportunity! Three bedroom, two story home in Canton, IL. All measurements are approximate & not guaranteed.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,897
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$375
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,112
− Management
−$1,112
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$9,046
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,171
After-tax cash flow
$6,734/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canton Union SD 66
NCES district ID
1708280
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$42,657
Composite
18.03/100
National rank
#8980
State rank
#417 of 620 in IL

Livability — Canton

Score
72/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#6313

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Canton, IL
Population (ZIP)
16,098

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,356 people
By 2030
32,144 · -3.6%
By 2040
29,518 · -11.5%
By 2050
26,775 · -19.7%
By 2075
19,972 · -40.1%
By 2100
13,580 · -59.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.8) · D 37.1% · R 60.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-45.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.3pp · 2024: -23.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+15.1 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+21.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.00%
Current HPI
123.8086
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-18 Price Changed $30,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-19 Listed $35,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-20 Sold (MLS) $28,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-01-24 Listed $34,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+67.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,417 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…