1618 Read Mountain Rd · Roanoke, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- ARV discount +2.8/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LARGE LOT, CENTRAL AIR, PLUMBING, FURNACE, HWH, ELECTRIC, ROOF UNDER 10 YRS OLD. ENCLOSED BACK PORCH UNDER 6 YRS OLD. GREAT VIEWS PINE FLOORS UNDER VINYL
Key facts
- 0.68 acre lot
- Built 1944
- Listed 94 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (9.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $127k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.2% in Roanoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
- Roanoke County Public School District (suburban): math 71% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #9 of 131 in VA (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Mountain View Elementary (math 52% / reading 67%, grade B-, #536 of 1,108 statewide, top 51%, 346 students, 68% FRL); Northside Middle (math 63% / reading 68%, grade A-, #116 of 342 statewide, top 35%, 627 students, 53% FRL); Northside High (math 80% / reading 87%, grade A, #30 of 319 statewide, top 10%, 950 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 22% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 175 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 360 units permitted in Roanoke County in 2024 (228 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.59%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $126,720
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1618 Read Mountain Rd | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+2%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $144 | 95 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-15,254
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-3,804
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24019
- Active inventory
- 175
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,267 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$91 /mo · $1,093/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $117
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $196 | -5% $157 | +0% $117 | +5% $78 | +10% $38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $17 | -5% $67 | +0% $117 | +5% $167 | +10% $217 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $188 | -0.5pp $153 | base $117 | +0.5pp $81 | +1.0pp $44 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4532 Tacoma Ave NE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,550 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 709 Drew Ave NE Apt 2 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,050 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-16status Active
-
2026-04-10status Pending
-
2026-01-14$140,000 Active
-
2021-01-08soldstatus $1,327,890
-
2001-08-29soldstatus $63,000 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
LARGE LOT, CENTRAL AIR, PLUMBING, FURNACE, HWH, ELECTRIC, ROOF UNDER 10 YRS OLD. ENCLOSED BACK PORCH UNDER 6 YRS OLD. GREAT VIEWS PINE FLOORS UNDER VINYL
-
2001-08-01soldstatus $63,000
-
2001-06-20historical
-
2000-12-21$66,950
-
2000-06-12$66,950 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
LARGE LOT, CENTRAL AIR, PLUMBING, FURNACE, HWH, ELECTRIC, ROOF UNDER 10 YRS OLD. ENCLOSED BACK PORCH UNDER 6 YRS OLD. GREAT VIEWS PINE FLOORS UNDER VINYL
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,093 · $91/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,148 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$55/yr (+$5/mo · 5.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 5 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,202
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,093
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,216
- − Management
- −$1,216
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$938
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$225
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,632/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103330
- Math proficiency
- 71% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,526
- Composite
- 64.08/100
- National rank
- #578
- State rank
- #9 of 131 in VA
Livability — Roanoke
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #5055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Roanoke County · 67,305 people
- City population
- 168,930
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,585
- Household income
- $77,870
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 512.0
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 98,162 people
- By 2030
- 99,793 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 101,965 · +3.9%
- By 2050
- 103,328 · +5.3%
- By 2075
- 108,641 · +10.7%
- By 2100
- 104,845 · +6.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 13% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.5) · D 38.2% · R 60.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: -21.1pp · 2024: -22.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.5 2020: R+21.8 2016: R+28.1 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+21.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -236.33%
- Current HPI
- 179.1326
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+109.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — MLSRV
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — MLSRV
- 2026-04-10 Pending — MLSRV
- 2026-01-14 Listed $140,000 MLSRV
- 2021-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $1,327,890 Public Records
- 2001-08-29 Sold (MLS) $63,000 MLSRV
- 2001-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2001-06-20 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2000-12-21 Listed $66,950 MLSRV
- 2000-06-12 Listed $66,950 MLSRV
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,093 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…