157 NE 172nd Ave · Silver Springs Shores East, FL 34488

$99,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,012 sqft · Manufactured public records · 112 Days on market

Built 1988 0.29 ac lot $98/sqft · 45% above area Est $68k · 45% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home with strong investment potential. Many updates have already been completed, including updated flooring throughout most of the home, an updated porch, and a window enclosed Florida room in great condition perfect for relaxing or entertaining. While some areas could benefit from cosmetic updates, the major improvements are already done, making this an ideal opportunity for an investor, flipper, or rental property. Located in a desirable area for outdoor enthusiasts, hunters, and fishing lovers, this property offers both lifestyle appeal and upside. Priced competitively and ready for its next owner to add finishing touches and maximize value.

Key facts

• Updated porch
• Updated flooring
• Investment potential

Tags

• UPDATED FLOORING
• UPDATED PORCH
• WINDOW ENCLOSED FLORIDA ROOM
• INVESTMENT POTENTIAL
• DESIRABLE AREA

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $494 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
• Recommended offer: $90k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 5.2% in Silver Springs Shores East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $38k; list at $99k implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $90,090 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.51% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.29%
• Cash-on-cash: 21.40%
• DSCR: 1.95
• GRM: 5.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $68,248
• List price: $99,000
• Delta: 45.06%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 14.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.56×
• Total profit: $15,467
• Equity at exit: $14,761

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.95×
• Total profit: $54,103
• Equity at exit: $8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34488

• Home prices YoY: -26.1%
• Active inventory: 201
• Price-to-rent: 5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,491 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$519
• Tax from tax record: −$123 /mo · $1,480/yr
• Insurance: −$41
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$313
• Net cashflow: $494

Break-even live

Break-even rent $865

Max offer price $99,000

Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,750
• Closing costs: $2,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-02-04
   listed $99,000 Active 694-char remark

   Show marketing remark (694 chars)

   Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home with strong investment potential. Many updates have already been completed, including updated flooring throughout most of the home, an updated porch, and a window enclosed Florida room in great condition perfect for relaxing or entertaining. While some areas could benefit from cosmetic updates, the major improvements are already done, making this an ideal opportunity for an investor, flipper, or rental property. Located in a desirable area for outdoor enthusiasts, hunters, and fishing lovers, this property offers both lifestyle appeal and upside. Priced competitively and ready for its next owner to add finishing touches and maximize value.

2. 2019-10-08
   soldstatus $38,000
3. 2011-08-23
   soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,480 · $123/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,480 · $123/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,895
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,546
• − Property taxes: −$1,480
• − Insurance: −$495
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,432
• − Management: −$1,432
• − Depreciation: −$2,880
• Taxable income: $4,632
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,112
• After-tax cash flow: $4,821/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Marion
• NCES district ID: 1201260
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $40,015
• Composite: 35.61/100
• National rank: #4890
• State rank: #61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Silver Springs Shores East

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 11,525

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 365,905 people
• By 2030: 376,768 · +3.0%
• By 2040: 396,555 · +8.4%
• By 2050: 412,723 · +12.8%
• By 2075: 446,090 · +21.9%
• By 2100: 436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (79%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 8%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 6%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -80.45%
• Current HPI: 227.3763
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+98.0% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-04 Listed $99,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2019-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
• 2011-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+16.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,480 · +22.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.