6080 County Road 939 · Nevada, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +6.3/30.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.1/10.0
- DSCR +0.6/10.0
$649,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to a truly one-of-a-kind property that combines space, upgrades, and unforgettable character. Situated on 1.74 acres, this beautifully maintained 3,300 sqft home features 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, offering both comfort and flexibility for modern living. IN 2022, the property underwent major renovations, including a fully updated kitchen and bathrooms, bringing a clean, modern feel to the interior. The home also features a dedicated media room, perfect for entertainment, movie nights, or family gatherings. One of the most valuable features is the fully paid-off solar panel system (approx. $70,000 value), providing long-term energy savings and efficiency. Additionally, a full lawn
Key facts
- Dedicated media room
- 400 sqft barn
- 1.73 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is listed for sale (MLS status: Active)
- Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage (20' x 20'); 2-car carport; 4 covered parking spaces; 2-car single door configuration
- Utilities: Aerobic septic (no municipal utility district)
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 2006
- Exterior features: Approximately 1.73-acre lot; Subdivision: Community Corners; Directions: Google map
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1)
- Bathrooms: 4 bathrooms (3 full, 1 half)
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Two living areas; One dining area; Room count includes primary bedroom and living room
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry/utility details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $650k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $445k (31.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $395k (39.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $395k (39.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 1.9% in Nevada — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#881 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Community ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #479 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mcclendon El (math 29% / reading 35%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 697 students, 66% FRL); Leland E Edge Middle (math 25% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 931 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 36% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 421 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $69k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $65k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$112k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($630k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.61% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.63%
- DSCR
- 0.66
- GRM
- 13.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $727,316
- List price
- $649,900
- Delta
- -10.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 730 Evergreen | 0.23mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 2,858 (-11%) | 1mo | $731,648 | $256 | 65 |
| 802 Lexington Ln | 0.65mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,268 (+2%) | 23mo | $749,000 | $229 | 43 |
| 809 Republic Row | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 3,027 (-6%) | 23mo | $694,000 | $229 | 35 |
| 700 Republic Row | 0.71mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,487 (+9%) | 19mo | $880,900 | $253 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $280,173
- Equity at exit
- $585,481
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.85×
- Total profit
- $882,884
- Equity at exit
- $1,262,613
Cash invested: $181,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75173
- Home prices YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 421
- Price-to-rent
- 13.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,950 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,408
- Tax from tax record
- −$599 /mo · $7,186/yr
- Insurance
- −$271
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$830
- Net cashflow
- $-1,157
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-789 | -5% $-973 | +0% $-1,157 | +5% $-1,341 | +10% $-1,525 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,469 | -5% $-1,313 | +0% $-1,157 | +5% $-1,001 | +10% $-845 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-830 | -0.5pp $-992 | base $-1,157 | +0.5pp $-1,326 | +1.0pp $-1,497 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $162,475
- Closing costs
- $19,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 805 Concord Ct Nevada, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3027 | $3,950 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $649,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $649,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $649,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $649,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $649,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $649,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $649,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $649,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $680,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $680,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $680,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $680,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $680,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $680,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $680,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$680,000 Active 1779-char remark
-
2024-07-22historical $2,500
-
2024-07-04$2,500
-
2024-05-20price $669,000
-
2024-05-01price $699,000
-
2024-02-29$729,000 Active
-
2024-02-27historical
-
2024-02-23price $729,000
-
2024-01-30price $759,000
-
2023-12-08price $800,000
-
2023-09-28$820,000 Active
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2021-05-04soldstatus
-
2021-02-02soldstatus
-
2006-04-05soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,186 · $599/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,893 · $991/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,707/yr (+$392/mo · 65.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,405
- − Property taxes
- −$7,186
- − Insurance
- −$3,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,792
- − Management
- −$3,792
- − Depreciation
- −$18,906
- Taxable loss
- −$25,930
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,223
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,664/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Community ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814850
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,841
- Composite
- 31.58/100
- National rank
- #5951
- State rank
- #479 of 826 in TX
Livability — Nevada
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #881
- US rank
- #15880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,284
Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,210,074 people
- By 2030
- 1,358,201 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 1,654,061 · +36.7%
- By 2050
- 1,937,359 · +60.1%
- By 2075
- 2,567,039 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 2,952,048 · +144.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 15% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 24% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collin
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.09%
- Current HPI
- 331.12
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-20.7% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $649,900 NTREIS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $680,000 NTREIS
- 2024-07-22 Rental Removed $2,500 NTREIS
- 2024-07-04 Listed for Rent $2,500 NTREIS
- 2024-05-20 Price Changed $669,000 NTREIS
- 2024-05-01 Price Changed $699,000 NTREIS
- 2024-02-29 Listed $729,000 NTREIS
- 2024-02-27 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2024-02-23 Price Changed $729,000 NTREIS
- 2024-01-30 Price Changed $759,000 NTREIS
- 2023-12-08 Price Changed $800,000 NTREIS
- 2023-09-28 Listed $820,000 NTREIS
- 2021-05-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-02-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-04-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $7,186 · -12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…