1141 Sophie Blvd · Alafaya, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2BD, 2BA featuring ceramic tile in the kitchen & bathrooms. Located close to UCF and Waterford Lakes Town Center. Walk to Orange County Library or to Publix! Low HOA Fee. Community Pool. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down! This home is approved for HomePath Mortgage. All information recorded in the MLS is intended to be accurate but cannot be guaranteed, buyer advised to verify.
Key facts
- Ample closet space
- Minutes from ucf
- Tile flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: HOA: Bono Associates; Monthly HOA fee $43.25 (annual $519); HOA includes grounds maintenance and pool access; Community pool; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: 3 dedicated rear parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Broadband/high-speed internet available
- Home design: Residential townhouse; One story; Faces west; Entry level: One
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built area: 1,088 sq ft (building area)
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.08 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Walk-in closet(s); 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-156 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $197k (12.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (19.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.5% in Alafaya — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#60 in FL, #1,076 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: cost of living C-, schools D+.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 320 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $730 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-826 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $43k; list at $225k implies a 423% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.97%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.37% appreciation · 0.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-24,222
- Equity at exit
- $61,235
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-23,793
- Equity at exit
- $70,411
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32828
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 320
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,823 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$279 /mo · $3,349/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$43
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $-156
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1230 Sophie Blvd Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,550 | $1.43 | 4d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 12612 Victoria Place Cir Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1149 | $2,098 | $1.82 | 3d | 12 | 0.14mi |
| 12137 Ashton Manor Way Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1051 | $1,693 | $1.61 | 3d | 8 | 0.21mi |
| 1421 Sophie Blvd Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,795 | $1.65 | 18d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1301 Waterford Oak Dr Orlando, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 948 | $2,069 | $2.18 | 2d | 14 | 0.48mi |
| 1700 Woodbury Rd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 999 | $1,712 | $1.71 | 3d | 7 | 0.51mi |
| 12000 Bryonia Rd Alafaya, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 979 | $2,127 | $2.17 | 2d | 14 | 0.57mi |
| 12221 E Colonial Dr Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 817 | $2,015 | $2.47 | 3d | 10 | 0.61mi |
| 12500 Crest Springs Ln #1014 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1013 | $1,700 | $1.68 | 11d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 12500 Crest Springs Ln #1023 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1013 | $1,599 | $1.58 | 22d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 834 Oberry Hoover Rd Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1061 | $1,750 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 725 Crest Pines Dr Unit 1 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1013 | $1,895 | $1.87 | 8d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 725 Crest Pines Dr Orlando, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,895 | $1.72 | 24d | 2 | 0.79mi |
| 12602 Crest Springs Ln #1318 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1013 | $1,975 | $1.95 | 15d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 713 Crest Pines Dr #217 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1013 | $1,850 | $1.83 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 12932 Mallory Cir Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1173 | $2,180 | $1.86 | 16d | 49 | 0.85mi |
| 12932 Mallory Cir Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1096 | $2,099 | $1.91 | 2d | 39 | 0.85mi |
| 12101 Fountainbrook Blvd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 968 | $1,996 | $2.06 | 2d | 17 | 0.92mi |
| 2515 N Alafaya Trl Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,295 | $1.52 | 22d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2519 N Alafaya Trl #34 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,450 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2507 N Alafaya Trl #12 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 20d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2521 N Alafaya Trl #37 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,420 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2509 N Alafaya Trl #16 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,495 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2505 N Alafaya Trl Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,395 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2505 N Alafaya Trl #8 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,395 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2533 N Alafaya Trl #62 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,295 | $1.52 | 18d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2557 N Alafaya Trl #110 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 18d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2565 N Alafaya Trl Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,495 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2547 N Alafaya Trl #92 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,380 | $1.62 | 8d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 12352 Fox Hound Ct Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1006 | $1,600 | $1.59 | 8d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2549 N Alafaya Trl Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 4d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2612 Adela Ave Unit 2612 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,550 | $1.76 | 4d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 12222 Fox Hound Ln Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $1,900 | $1.79 | 4d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2550 N Alafaya Trl Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $1,512 | $1.74 | 8d | 4 | 1.14mi |
| 13645 E Colonial Dr Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $2,235 | $2.61 | 3d | 10 | 1.15mi |
| 12216 Fox Hound Ln Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,650 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1820 Bonneville Dr Unit 1820 Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 850 | $1,595 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2720 Gray Fox Ln Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $1,500 | $1.51 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2724 Gray Fox Ln Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $1,500 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2714 Adela Ave Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,525 | $1.73 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $43 · $516/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-06price $225,000
-
2026-03-13$235,000 Active
-
2011-11-29soldstatus $43,000 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
2BD, 2BA featuring ceramic tile in the kitchen & bathrooms. Located close to UCF and Waterford Lakes Town Center. Walk to Orange County Library or to Publix! Low HOA Fee. Community Pool. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down! This home is approved for HomePath Mortgage. All information recorded in the MLS is intended to be accurate but cannot be guaranteed, buyer advised to verify.
-
2011-09-28$49,900 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
2BD, 2BA featuring ceramic tile in the kitchen & bathrooms. Located close to UCF and Waterford Lakes Town Center. Walk to Orange County Library or to Publix! Low HOA Fee. Community Pool. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down! This home is approved for HomePath Mortgage. All information recorded in the MLS is intended to be accurate but cannot be guaranteed, buyer advised to verify.
-
2007-05-18soldstatus $145,000
-
1995-04-10soldstatus $27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,349 · $279/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,349 · $279/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,872
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,349
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,750
- − Management
- −$1,750
- − HOA
- −$516
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$5,767
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,384
- After-tax cash flow
- $-486/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Alafaya
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #60
- US rank
- #1076
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alafaya, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- City population
- 131,972
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,202
- Household income
- $101,767
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2213.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 23% Black 9% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 19% Cuban 4% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.37%
- Current HPI
- 284.5182
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.82%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+733.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-13 Listed $235,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-11-29 Sold (MLS) $43,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-28 Listed $49,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 1995-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,349 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…