207 W Washington St · Coleman, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great family home. Has the old world charm but with all the updates. The home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Updates include second floor bathroom, roof, kitchen. Move right in a enjoy summer on the deck. Home is priced to sell.
Key facts
- Tall ceilings
- Double lot
- Large side yard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (12 x 28) with space for 1 vehicle
- Utilities: Public water; Public sanitary sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; 1 1/2-story design; Built in 1900
- Construction: Cinder block construction; Michigan-style basement
- Exterior features: Cinder block exterior; Frontage on a road; Approximately 0.33 acres (120 ft frontage)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 11 x 12)
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; Two bedrooms on the upper level; Main level bedrooms approximately 13 x 13 and 11 x 11; Upper level bedrooms approximately 13 (width) and 10 x 13
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
- Interior features: Has basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#525 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Coleman Community Schools (rural): math 16% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #400 of 540 in MI (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 320 units permitted in Midland County in 2024 (204 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Midland County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $64k; list at $99k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.86%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $176,130
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 W Washington St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,762 (-5%) | 0mo | $85,500 | $49 | 87 |
| 206 W Railway St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,768 (-5%) | 7mo | $189,500 | $107 | 85 |
| 208 W Washington St | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,728 (-7%) | 0mo | $96,000 | $56 | 82 |
| 306 W Adams St | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,746 (-6%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $97 | 75 |
| 815 N Coleman Rd | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,756 (-5%) | 19mo | $147,000 | $84 | 56 |
| 309 N Sixth St | 0.15mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 2,100 (+13%) | 17mo | $199,900 | $95 | 48 |
| 401 E Railway St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-14%) | 18mo | $172,000 | $108 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,440
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $23,863
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48618
- Home prices YoY
- -19.1%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,247 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,809/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $274
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $330 | -5% $302 | +0% $274 | +5% $246 | +10% $218 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $175 | -5% $225 | +0% $274 | +5% $323 | +10% $372 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $324 | -0.5pp $299 | base $274 | +0.5pp $248 | +1.0pp $222 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313 Hamilton St Coleman, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1099 | $1,247 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-20$99,000 Active
-
2014-12-08soldstatus $64,000
-
2014-12-02soldstatus $64,000 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Great family home. Has the old world charm but with all the updates. The home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Updates include second floor bathroom, roof, kitchen. Move right in a enjoy summer on the deck. Home is priced to sell.
-
2014-12-02soldstatus $64,000 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Great family home. Has the old world charm but with all the updates. The home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Updates include second floor bathroom, roof, kitchen. Move right in a enjoy summer on the deck. Home is priced to sell.
-
2014-05-31$69,900 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Great family home. Has the old world charm but with all the updates. The home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Updates include second floor bathroom, roof, kitchen. Move right in a enjoy summer on the deck. Home is priced to sell.
-
2014-05-31$69,900 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Great family home. Has the old world charm but with all the updates. The home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Updates include second floor bathroom, roof, kitchen. Move right in a enjoy summer on the deck. Home is priced to sell.
-
2008-11-07soldstatus $44,100
-
2005-04-29soldstatus $98,700
-
2003-12-09historical
-
2003-10-10$94,500
-
2001-05-25soldstatus $67,000
-
2000-11-22soldstatus $45,000
-
1995-04-01soldstatus $21,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,809 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,809 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,964
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,809
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,197
- − Management
- −$1,197
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $1,840
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$442
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,846/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coleman Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2610200
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,079
- Composite
- 23.28/100
- National rank
- #7927
- State rank
- #400 of 540 in MI
Livability — Coleman
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #525
- US rank
- #15768
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Coleman, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,110
Population outlook (Midland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 83,968 people
- By 2030
- 83,368 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 80,713 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 76,698 · -8.7%
- By 2075
- 67,617 · -19.5%
- By 2100
- 57,529 · -31.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Midland
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.6% · R 56.8% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+14.6 2016: R+19.4 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.15%
- Current HPI
- 225.8726
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+371.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
- 2014-12-02 Sold (MLS) $64,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-12-02 Sold (MLS) $64,000 REALCOMP
- 2014-05-31 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-05-31 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
- 2008-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $44,100 Public Records
- 2005-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $98,700 Public Records
- 2003-12-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-10-10 Listed $94,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 2000-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1995-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2024): $1,809 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…