3877 S Fm 368 · Iowa Park, TX 76367

$199,900

4 bd · 0.5 ba · 1,838 sqft · Manufactured public records · 20 Days on market

Built 1997

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +19.9/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.3/10.0
• Schools +4.6/10.0
• 1% rule +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Country living on 2 fenced acres between Iowa Park and Holliday in Iowa Park ISD! This Solitaire manufactured home offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, spacious living area, dining plus breakfast area, and isolated master suite with walk-in shower. Detached 700+ sq ft garage/workshop with office or man cave space, Generac generator, storage shed, storm shelter, owned propane tank, and deck ready for above ground pool. Roof approx. 3 years old.

Key facts

• Workshop with office
• Generac generator
• Fenced acres

Tags

• FENCED ACRES
• DETACHED GARAGE
• WORKSHOP WITH OFFICE
• GENERAC GENERATOR
• STORAGE SHED
• STORM SHELTER

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/0.5-bath manufactured listed at $200k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (6.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $187k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#272 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Iowa Park CISD (town): math 57% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #129 of 826 in TX (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Kidwell El (467 students, 48% FRL); W F George Middle (math 52% / reading 41%, grade D+, #443 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 436 students, 42% FRL); Iowa Park H S (math 72% / reading 67%, grade B, #119 of 1,632 statewide, top 9%, 544 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 16558% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $187,068 (6.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.94% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.73%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.15%
• DSCR: 1.23
• GRM: 8.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 27.0%
• Equity multiple: 3.14×
• Total profit: $119,909
• Equity at exit: $180,086

10-year hold

• IRR: 23.6%
• Equity multiple: 7.15×
• Total profit: $344,379
• Equity at exit: $388,362

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 76367

• Home prices YoY: 6.7%
• Active inventory: 63
• Price-to-rent: 8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,871 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,048
• Tax from tax record: −$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$393
• Net cashflow: $174

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,651

Max offer price $199,900

Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $287	-5% $230	+0% $174	+5% $117	+10% $60
Rent	-10% $26	-5% $100	+0% $174	+5% $248	+10% $321
Rate	-1.0pp $274	-0.5pp $224	base $174	+0.5pp $122	+1.0pp $69

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $49,975
• Closing costs: $5,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 9 events

1. 2026-06-02
   days on market $199,900 Active 20 DOM
2. 2026-06-01
   days on market $199,900 Active 19 DOM
3. 2026-05-31
   days on market $199,900 Active 18 DOM
4. 2026-05-30
   days on market $199,900 Active 17 DOM
5. 2026-05-14
   listed $199,900 Active 440-char remark
6. 2025-02-12
   historical $1,200
7. 2025-01-25
   historical $1,200
8. 2025-01-25
   listed $1,200
9. 2025-01-22
   listed $700

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,274 · $106/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,658 · $305/mo
• Expected delta: +$2,384/yr (+$199/mo · 187.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,448
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,198
• − Property taxes: −$1,274
• − Insurance: −$1,797
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,796
• − Management: −$1,796
• − Depreciation: −$5,815
• Taxable loss: −$1,227
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$295
• After-tax cash flow: $2,378/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Iowa Park CISD
• NCES district ID: 4824260
• Math proficiency: 57% ▼ -1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 49% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $52,689
• Composite: 45.57/100
• National rank: #2597
• State rank: #129 of 826 in TX

Livability — Iowa Park

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #272
• US rank: #6350

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 14,013
• Population (ZIP): 14,013

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 129,638 people
• By 2030: 128,366 · -1.0%
• By 2040: 124,466 · -4.0%
• By 2050: 120,499 · -7.0%
• By 2075: 113,884 · -12.2%
• By 2100: 101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (70%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 70% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 13%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 24.29%
• Current HPI: 387.78
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2025-02-12 Rental Removed $1,200 Avail
• 2025-01-25 Rental Removed $1,200 Avail
• 2025-01-25 Listed for Rent $1,200 Avail
• 2025-01-22 Listed for Rent $700 Avail

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,274 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.