206 N Main St · Numa, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$21,390
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Don't miss this wonderful opportunity to own this ranch home on a nice size lot in a quaint rural town. Wood floors. Covered front and rear decks. The home needs some updating but with the correct attention it could be a nice home. The property is being sold as-is. No repairs will be made. Call for your personal showing!
Key facts
- Nice size lot
- Ranch home
- Wood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete road access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential zoning
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Deck
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Hardwood flooring; Separate/formal dining room; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $21k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $534 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($877 rent vs $21k).
- Recommended offer: $21k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#929 in IA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, schools F.
- Centerville Community School District (town): math 57% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #251 of 289 in IA (top 87%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Appanoose County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $379 of equity ($148 loan paydown + $231 appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
- Appanoose County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($21k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 36.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 106.91%
- DSCR
- 5.76
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.76×
- Total profit
- $34,487
- Equity at exit
- $7,391
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.02×
- Total profit
- $77,992
- Equity at exit
- $9,892
Cash invested: $5,989 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52544
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $877 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$112
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $458/yr
- Insurance
- −$9
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $534
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,348
- Closing costs
- $642
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $21,390 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $21,390 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $21,390 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $21,390 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $21,390 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $21,390 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $21,390 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $21,390 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $21,390 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $21,390 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $21,390 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $21,390 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 322-char remark
-
2026-05-31$21,390 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $458 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $458 · $38/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,524
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,198
- − Property taxes
- −$458
- − Insurance
- −$107
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$842
- − Management
- −$842
- − Depreciation
- −$622
- Taxable income
- $6,455
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,549
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,854/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Centerville Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1906750
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,401
- Composite
- 50.48/100
- National rank
- #1854
- State rank
- #251 of 289 in IA
Livability — Numa
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #929
- US rank
- #23328
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Numa, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,110
Population outlook (Appanoose County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,726 people
- By 2030
- 11,194 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 10,063 · -14.2%
- By 2050
- 8,976 · -23.5%
- By 2075
- 6,785 · -42.1%
- By 2100
- 4,819 · -58.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Appanoose
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.7) · D 26.1% · R 72.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -46.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.7 2020: R+40.2 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+3.5 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.08%
- Current HPI
- 212.65
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-14.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Listed $21,390 DMMLS
- 2006-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $458 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…