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4921 Kashmere St
A- Composite 83.15
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$109,500

4921 Kashmere St · Houston, TX 77026
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,332 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1930 7,474 sqft lot $82/sqft · 18% below area Est $133k · 18% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

WHAT A DEAL! Large corner lot in Kashmere Gardens! Easy access to hwy 610 for commutes! This 2 bedroom 1 bath home has original hardwood floors, an open floorplan and a recent roof! Roof's age approx. 1 to 2 years old. Don't wait! Make your offer today!

Key facts

  • Open floorplan
  • Recent roof
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTEASY ACCESS TO HWY 610ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSOPEN FLOORPLANRECENT ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Full ownership; Built in 1930; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Construction: Composition roof; Unknown exterior construction material
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Corner lot; Asphalt road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Open kitchen integrated with family room
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (12 x 11); Second bedroom on the first floor (10 x 11); Two total rooms
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window-unit heating; Window-unit cooling
  • Interior features: Kitchen/family room combo; Tub with shower; Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-7 ($-89/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $108k (1.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Kashmere Gardens El (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #4,307 of 4,322 statewide, top 100%, 355 students, 98% FRL); Key Middle (math 10% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,569 of 1,662 statewide, top 95%, 615 students, 100% FRL); Kashmere H S (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 725 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 13% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 445 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 69% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($757 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $107,857 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
10.89%
Cash-on-cash
16.40%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,488
List price
$109,500
Delta
-17.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4921 Kashmere St 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,332 (0%) 0mo $109,500 $82 100
4603 Wayne St 0.25mi 2/1.0 1,218 (-9%) 19mo $159,000 $131 58
4315 Fairbanks St 0.31mi 2/1.5 1,465 (+10%) 14mo $100,000 $68 55
4814 Caplin St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,212 (-9%) 7mo $180,000 $149 42
3409 Lebadie St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,388 (+4%) 17mo $250,000 $180 41
4114 Sayers St 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-6%) 18mo $120,000 $96 36
5015 Caplin St 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,137 (-15%) 1mo $170,000 $150 35
3407 Coal St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,410 (+6%) 21mo $215,000 $152 32
4506 Russell St 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,184 (-11%) 19mo $205,000 $173 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.89% appreciation · 3.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$18,413
Equity at exit
$54,833
10-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$60,571
Equity at exit
$89,142

Cash invested: $30,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77026

Home prices YoY
1.5%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
445
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,541 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$574
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,143/yr
Insurance
$46
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$-7

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,551
Max offer price $108,184
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,375
Closing costs
$3,285
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5414 Pardee St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 43d 1 0.46mi
4711 Sayers St Unit A Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,650 $1.38 43d 1 0.50mi
5435 Pardee St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1634 $1,000 $0.61 43d 1 0.54mi
4030 Reid St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1680 $2,000 $1.19 43d 1 0.73mi
4626 Shreveport Blvd Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,490 $1.30 13d 1 0.97mi
3503 Wyrick St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1746 $2,850 $1.63 43d 1 1.00mi
6315 Sandra St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,399 $1.22 43d 1 1.01mi
3910 Woolworth St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,750 $1.52 43d 1 1.02mi
3812 Lynnfield St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1298 $1,545 $1.19 5d 1 1.12mi
3810 Lynnfield St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1298 $1,599 $1.23 14d 1 1.13mi
3802 Dabney St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $990 $1.20 43d 2 1.15mi
3802 Dabney St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 910 $875 $0.96 2d 1 1.15mi
3107 Melbourne St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 956 $1,500 $1.57 43d 1 1.23mi
2516 Ivy St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 43d 1 1.33mi
5124 Gold St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1650 $1,895 $1.15 43d 1 1.40mi
2704 Sam Wilson St Unit 1391353P Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1001 $1,916 $1.91 7d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 258-char remark
  2. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 258-char remark
  3. 2026-04-24
    listed $109,500 Active 258-char remark
  4. 2026-04-24
    status Active
  5. 2025-12-31
    historical
  6. 2025-11-08
    status Pending
  7. 2025-09-30
    price $109,500
  8. 2025-08-29
    listed $119,900 Active
  9. 2024-12-02
    soldstatus
  10. 2024-11-12
    soldstatus
  11. 2022-08-30
    soldstatus
  12. 2018-04-25
    soldstatus
  13. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,143 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,143 · $179/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 97% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,495
− Mortgage interest
−$6,134
− Property taxes
−$2,143
− Insurance
−$5,666
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,480
− Management
−$1,480
− Depreciation
−$3,185
Taxable loss
−$1,593
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$382
After-tax cash flow
$293/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
21,981
Household income
$39,211
Rent vs Own
56.3% rent · 43.7% own
Severe rent burden
1531.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 18% White 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 39%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.89%
Current HPI
267.5995
Rent YoY
▲ 3.08%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.7% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2026-05-16 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $109,500 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-11-08 Pending HARMLS
  • 2025-09-30 Price Changed $109,500 HARMLS
  • 2025-08-29 Listed $119,900 HARMLS
  • 2024-12-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-11-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-08-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-04-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,143 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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