4921 Kashmere St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WHAT A DEAL! Large corner lot in Kashmere Gardens! Easy access to hwy 610 for commutes! This 2 bedroom 1 bath home has original hardwood floors, an open floorplan and a recent roof! Roof's age approx. 1 to 2 years old. Don't wait! Make your offer today!
Key facts
- Open floorplan
- Recent roof
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Full ownership; Built in 1930; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Construction: Composition roof; Unknown exterior construction material
- Exterior features: Private yard; Corner lot; Asphalt road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Open kitchen integrated with family room
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (12 x 11); Second bedroom on the first floor (10 x 11); Two total rooms
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Window-unit heating; Window-unit cooling
- Interior features: Kitchen/family room combo; Tub with shower; Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-7 ($-89/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $108k (1.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Kashmere Gardens El (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #4,307 of 4,322 statewide, top 100%, 355 students, 98% FRL); Key Middle (math 10% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,569 of 1,662 statewide, top 95%, 615 students, 100% FRL); Kashmere H S (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 725 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 13% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 445 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 69% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($757 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.40%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,488
- List price
- $109,500
- Delta
- -17.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4921 Kashmere St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,332 (0%) | 0mo | $109,500 | $82 | 100 |
| 4603 Wayne St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 1,218 (-9%) | 19mo | $159,000 | $131 | 58 |
| 4315 Fairbanks St | 0.31mi | 2/1.5 | 1,465 (+10%) | 14mo | $100,000 | $68 | 55 |
| 4814 Caplin St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,212 (-9%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $149 | 42 |
| 3409 Lebadie St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,388 (+4%) | 17mo | $250,000 | $180 | 41 |
| 4114 Sayers St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-6%) | 18mo | $120,000 | $96 | 36 |
| 5015 Caplin St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,137 (-15%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $150 | 35 |
| 3407 Coal St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,410 (+6%) | 21mo | $215,000 | $152 | 32 |
| 4506 Russell St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,184 (-11%) | 19mo | $205,000 | $173 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.89% appreciation · 3.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $18,413
- Equity at exit
- $54,833
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $60,571
- Equity at exit
- $89,142
Cash invested: $30,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77026
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 445
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,541 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$574
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,143/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$324
- Net cashflow
- $-7
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,375
- Closing costs
- $3,285
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5414 Pardee St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 4711 Sayers St Unit A Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 5435 Pardee St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1634 | $1,000 | $0.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4030 Reid St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,000 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4626 Shreveport Blvd Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,490 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3503 Wyrick St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1746 | $2,850 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6315 Sandra St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,399 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3910 Woolworth St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3812 Lynnfield St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,545 | $1.19 | 5d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3810 Lynnfield St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,599 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3802 Dabney St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $990 | $1.20 | 43d | 2 | 1.15mi |
| 3802 Dabney St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $875 | $0.96 | 2d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3107 Melbourne St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,500 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2516 Ivy St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5124 Gold St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $1,895 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2704 Sam Wilson St Unit 1391353P Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $1,916 | $1.91 | 7d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 258-char remark
-
2026-05-11status Pending 258-char remark
-
2026-04-24$109,500 Active 258-char remark
-
2026-04-24status Active
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-11-08status Pending
-
2025-09-30price $109,500
-
2025-08-29$119,900 Active
-
2024-12-02soldstatus
-
2024-11-12soldstatus
-
2022-08-30soldstatus
-
2018-04-25soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,143 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,143 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,495
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,134
- − Property taxes
- −$2,143
- − Insurance
- −$5,666
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,480
- − Management
- −$1,480
- − Depreciation
- −$3,185
- Taxable loss
- −$1,593
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$382
- After-tax cash flow
- $293/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,981
- Household income
- $39,211
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1531.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 18% White 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 39%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.89%
- Current HPI
- 267.5995
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-8.7% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2026-05-16 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $109,500 HARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-11-08 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $109,500 HARMLS
- 2025-08-29 Listed $119,900 HARMLS
- 2024-12-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-11-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-08-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-04-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,143 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…